Big Sky Round-Up Week 5

The Big Sky Conference Round-Up is back for the week five edition and this past weekend saw some high scoring games across the league. The Big Sky Conference has always been known for its prolific offenses and this week was no exception. The Eastern Washington Eagles are doing what they always do, and UC-Davis is starting to find an offensive groove under first year head coach Dan Hawkins.

Montana got a conference road win in who knows how long this weekend as they took on Portland State in a high school stadium. Yes, a literal high school stadium, not that thing in Cheney. Montana used a balanced attack featuring transfer Alijah Lee and Gresch Jensen to run up 45 points on the Vikings. The Vikings, however, were not going to go quietly. Quaterback Josh Kraght piled up 381 total yards of offense to keep Portland State within striking distance most of the game. Montana running back Jeremy Calhoun had 124 yards and two scores to lead the Griz. Griz safety Justin Strong had three interceptions, and one pass intercepted on a two-point conversion to win Big Sky defensive player of the week honors. Montana will be at Idaho State, while Portland State will be at Montana State.

Weber State made the trip up north to Bozeman looking to continue its winning ways this season against the Bobcats. Stefan Cantwell passed for 206 yards and rushed for another 49 yards and a score. Montana State quarterback Chris Murray completed eight passes for 124 yards and a score, plus 123 yards rushing, and a 25 yard receiving pass. For a slow evolving game this game may have featured two of the better teams in the conference. Weber State leaned on a stiff defense to try to contain Chris Murray who had 282 total yards for the Cats. Montana State will host Portland State next week, Weber State will have the week off.

Cal Poly’s woes just aren’t getting any better this season. They’ve lost Joe Protheroe for the season and now they’ve lost every game so far this season. Idaho State continued to show off their much improved team and beat Cal Poly by four. Despite giving up 202 yards rushing to Cal Poly quarterback Khaleel Jenkins the Bengals did just enough to win. Tanner Gueller threw for 341 and three touchdowns in the win. The Bengals got a late score from James Madison (still not the president, nor the school) to put the Bengals up for good in this game. The Bengals overcame a 10 point deficit in the last ten minutes of game time to win. Idaho State will be hosting Montana next week, while Cal Poly will be at Southern Utah.

Sacramento State and Eastern Washington didn’t waste any time lighting up the scoreboard like a ping pong machine. The teams combined for over 1200 yards of offense in a wild Big Sky game. Gage Gabrud continued his MVP performance by doing everything in this one. The Eagles quarterback passed for 447 and five touchdowns, and caught a 43 yard touchdown pass to help himself. On the other side of the ball the Hornets rushed for 307 yards, 121 from quarterback Kevin Thomson. It wasn’t enough to overcome the onslaught of Eagles offense. After Eastern went up 21-0 on a 33 yard Antoine Custer touchdown catch from Gabrud the Eagles never had to worry about a threat from the Hornets. Eastern Washington will be at UC-Davis. Sacramento State will have a bye.

Northern Arizona is in the middle of a little bit of turmoil as a team, however, that didn’t stop them from beating Northern Colorado over the head for four quarters this past weekend. Case Cookus tossed three touchdowns and 271 yards to lead the Lumberjacks over the Bears on Saturday. Lumberjack receiver Elijah Marks continued his impressive season by hauling in 106 yards of passes and a score. On the other side of the ball Jacob Knipp threw for 301 yards with a touchdown, but had two interceptions. The Lumberjacks got out to a 20-0 lead right before halftime but the Bears got on the board right before the half with a Frank Stephens touchdown reception. The Bears would take over at the half and get a score from Trey Reik, but it was foot to the gas for NAU after that. The Bears will be at North Dakota, while NAU will host Illinois State in a Big Sky vs MVFC matchup.

In the Big Sky night cap we got North Dakota traveling to Davis to take on the Aggies. Gunslinger Jake Maier threw for 415 yards and four touchdowns in a 48-24 victory for the Aggies. Star receiver Keelan Doss caught 199 yards and a touchdown in the winning effort. On the other hand North Dakota got a nice rushing day from its two running backs John Santiago and Brady Oliveira for a combined 277 yards and a score, but wasn’t nearly enough to pull the Hawks out of this hole. North Dakota, facing a multitude of injuries including safety Cole Reyes, is seeing the effects on the season. The defending Big Sky champions are now 1-4 on the season. UC-Davis will host Eastern Washington, while North Dakota will host Northern Colorado.

Scores

Montana 45
Portland State 33

Weber State 25
Montana State 17

Cal Poly 34
Idaho State 38

Sacramento State 31
Eastern Washington 52

Northern Colorado 20
Northern Arizona 48

North Dakota 24
UC-Davis 48

Big Sky Player of the Week

This week’s Big Sky player of the week is UC-Davis receiver Keelan Doss. Doss had 11 receptions for 199 yards and one touchdown in their win vs North Dakota.

Big Sky MVP Candidates

Gage Gabrud, QB, Eastern Washington – 35/50 for 447 yards, 5 TD, one receiving TD
Cole Reyes, LB, North Dakota – Did not play
Tanner Gueller, QB, Idaho State – 14/24 for 341 yards, 3 TD
Elijah Marks, WR, Northern Arizona – 7 receptions, 106 yards and 1 TD
Keelan Doss, WR, UC-Davis – 11 receptions, 199 yards and 1 TD

Big Sky Power Rankings

1. Eastern Washington
2. Weber State
3. Montana
4. Idaho State
5. Northern Arizona
6. UC-Davis
7. Montana State
8. Northern Colorado
9. North Dakota
10. Southern Utah
11. Sacramento State
12. Portland State
13. Cal Poly

Final Thoughts and Hot Takes

Eastern Washington and UC-Davis has the potential to be a lot of fun next week. I’ll be interesting to see how the Aggies come out firing against the Eagles. UC-Davis is seeing an offensive resurgence under Dan Hawkins, who has hardly held a job over the last few years. We know what Eastern Washington will do, but this could be a potential 1200 yards of offense game.

Bad time for Northern Arizona to host Illinois State. That team is a very good team. Big Sky took it on the chops from the MVFC for the most part this year. Sad!

Didn’t predict Cal Poly to be the worst team in the Big Sky this year, that’s usually reserved for Idaho State and UC-Davis. What a world we live in nowadays.

Montana and Idaho State could feature a hell of a lot of offense. More than would make either coaching staff comfortable. Idaho State escaped a close one against Poly last week, Montana struggled at times with Portland State. Make or break game for both teams, you’d have to think.

So do we just hand the MVP to Gage Gabrud now, or nah?

Glad to see Cooper Kupp playing well on Sundays.. that’s a hell of a lot better than watching him wreck Big Sky secondaries week in and week out.

Wonder how much longer Portland State is going to deal with Barnum’s bluster and do something about the state of its football program. A really undisciplined team.

No Big Sky blog from me next week, I’ll be in Denver at the Great American Brew Fest. Pour one out for my liver.

AGS Poll: Top 25 Week 5 Results

Week 5 was another volatile week in the AGS top 25 with multiple top 25 matchups causing some pretty big shake ups throughout the rankings. For the first time since week 1 there is new blood in the top 5. James Madison and North Dakota State maintained their spots at #1 and #2, respectively, but defending national runner-up Youngstown State made their first appearance in the top 5 this year coming in at #3 following their impressive home win over SDSU. They were followed by Jacksonville State at #4 and South Dakota made their first appearance ever in the top 5 coming in at #5 following their big road win at Western Illinois giving the MVFC 3 of the top 5 teams.

Central Arkansas was among the high risers of the week moving up 5 spots to #7 after winning their Southland showdown with Sam Houston State. Weber State rose 4 spots to #13 following their road win in Bozeman over Montana State. Elon moved up 6 spots to #15 after beating another ranked CAA foe in #23 Albany. Western Carolina also moved up 4 spots to #20 after demolishing Chattanooga. Samford reappeared in the top 25 after a 1 week absence rising 4 spots to come in at #22 following their rout of The Citadel. McNeese (up 10 spots) and Maine both appeared in the top 25 for the first time this year after hanging around in the ORV for some time rounding out the rankings at #24 and #25, respectively.

On the flip side South Dakota State and Sam Houston State both dropped 6 spots to #9 and #10, respectively. The biggest drop of the week belonged to The Citadel who fell 10 spots to #21 but, curiously, was still ranked one spot above the Samford team that soundly beat them last Saturday. Albany dropped 7 spots to #23 following their aforementioned loss to Elon. Tennessee-Martin, Montana State, and Southern Illinois all dropped out of the rankings after falling over the weekend.

The CAA led the way in terms of representation placing 8 of their 12 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the MVFC with 6, the SOCON with 4, the SLC with 3, and the Big Sky with 2 teams ranked in the top 25.

Full results below:

Rank Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 James Madison Dukes 2043 75
2 North Dakota State Bison 1974 7
3 Youngstown State Penguins 1825
4 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1747
5 South Dakota Coyotes 1695
6 Wofford Terriers 1526
7 Central Arkansas Bears 1520
8 Illinois State Redbirds 1414
9 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1408
10 Sam Houston State Bearkats 1284
11 Eastern Washington Eagles 1179
12 Western Illinois Leathernecks 1088
13 Weber State Wildcats 924
14 Villanova Wildcats 921
15 Elon Phoenix 858
16 New Hampshire Wildcats 853
17 North Carolina A&T Aggies 737
18 Stony Brook Seawolves 583
19 Richmond Spiders 543
20 Western Carolina Catamounts 518
21 The Citadel Bulldogs 498
22 Samford Bulldogs 472
23 Albany Great Danes 374
24 McNeese State Cowboys 150
25 Maine Black Bears 59
ORV:
26 Northern Iowa Panthers 49
27 Grambling State Tigers 40
28 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 39
29 Dartmouth Big Green 38
30 Yale Bulldogs 35
31 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 33
32 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 29
33 Montana Grizzlies 26
34 Montana State Bobcats 25
35 Saint Francis Red Flash 24
36 Austin Peay Governors 22
37 Nicholls State Colonels 21
38 UC Davis Aggies 15
39 Monmouth Hawks 13
40 North Carolina Central Eagles 12

Most Significant Win: Central Arkansas Bears
Most Significant Loss: Sam Houston State Bearkats

Join the discussion at: http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?196754-AGS-Poll-Results-Week-5-10-02-2017

MVFC – Week 5 in Review

MVFC Logo

Wow…what a first week of MVFC action. There were record-breaking performances, a couple of highly ranked teams battling in close games, and a nearly epic comeback. It was a pretty exciting start to what should be a strong conference season.


Missouri State (1-3) at #2 North Dakota State (3-0)

1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final
MSU 0 5 0 6 11
NDSU 14 3 7 14 38

Quick Hits:

  • NDSU – QB Easton Stick threw for 220 yards and 2 TDs, including 6 of 7 for 121 yards in the first quarter.
  • NDSU – SS Robbie Grimsley had 10 tackles, assisting on 2 tackles for loss including on a 4th and goal play. He also had his 3rd interception of the season.
  • MSU – RS Deion Holliman picked up 221 kickoff return yards and became the conferences all-time leader in kickoff return yards. His 250 all-purpose yards was the 12th best performance in school history. Holliman was named the MVFC Special Teams Player of the Week for his performance.
  • MSU – CB Matt Rush – had 6 solo tackles including a sack and helped the MSU defense hold NDSU to their lowest point total and lowest offensive yards total of the season.

NDSU started off the game strong and never really let up, putting up 17 points in the first half while holding MSU to a safety and a FG. The second half was pretty much the same, with NDSU picking up three more TDs before the Bears would get their first TD of the day, with a little over 5 minutes left in the game.

North Dakota State is now 4-0 overall and 1-0 in the conference. They will head down to Terre Haute to take on 0-4 Indiana State next weekend.
Missouri State falls to 1-4 overall, 0-2 in the conference and will take next weekend off.

My Pick in Review:

I said: Bison by 35
It was: Bison by 27
The MSU defense seemed a little stronger than I expected, but for the most part, pretty much how I thought it would go down.


#7 South Dakota (3-0) at #9 Western Illinois (3-0)

1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final
USD 7 17 14 0 38
WIU 0 6 14 13 33

Quick Hits:

  • USD – QB Chris Streveler had 328 yards passing, 89 yards rushing, and accounted for 4 TDs.
  • USD – CB Danny Rambo had 8 tackles and 3 pass breakups in addition to the interception to essentially end the game.
  • UDS – WR Brandt Van Roekel had 6 catches for 119 yards and 1 TD.
  • WIU – WR Jaelon Acklin had a record-setting performance with 343 receiving yards (a school and MVFC record, and the 4th best single-game performance in FCS history), 19 catches (a school and MVFC record), and 3 receiving TDs (1 short of tying the school and MVFC record). He received the MVFC Offensive Player of the Week award and the STATS FCS Offensive Player of the Week award.
  • WIU – LB Brett Taylor tied the school record (held by former NFL great Rodney Harrison) with 28 tackles in the game. His 18 assisted tackles were the second-most in school history and he received the MVFC Co-Defensive Player of the Week award.
  • WIU – RB/PR Steve McShane had a punt return for 77 yards as well as a rushing TD and 27 receiving yards.

It was a (kinda) a tale of two halves. South Dakota was doing just about everything right in the first half, rolling out to a 24-6 lead going into halftime. They started off the 3rd quarter in similar fashion, recording two more TDs to give themselves a 32 point lead with less than 6 minutes to go in the 3rd. At this point, something must have clicked on the Western sideline because they were able to put together two TDs before the end of the 3rd quarter, then another two in the 4th, the last with just over 2 minutes left in the game to pull within 5 points. WIU’s onside kick was recovered by USD but the Leatherneck defense was able to stop the Coyote offense, forcing a turnover on downs. With 34 seconds left, the WIU pass was intercepted by USD, ending WIU’s comeback just a bit short.

South Dakota is now 4-0 overall and 1-0 in the conference, with a home game against 3-1 Youngstown State next weekend.
Western Illinois drops thier first game of the season and sit at 3-1, 0-1 in the MVFC. They’ll head up to the UNIDome to take on 2-2 Northern Iowa at their Homecoming next Saturday.

My pick in Review:

I said: Leathernecks by 7
It was: Coyotes by 5
I expected an exciting, hard-fought battle, and it was…eventually. Unfortunately for my Leathernecks, the comeback started about 2 minutes too late in the game. That’s a fail for me.


#3 South Dakota State (3-0) at #6 Youngstown State (2-1)

1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final
SDSU 0 7 0 0 7
YSU 7 7 2 3 19

Quick Hits:

  • YSU – LB Armand Dellovade had 4 tackles, including one for a safety in the 3rd quarter, and had his first INT of his career with 8:38 left in the game, which would amazingly be the last time SDSU would have the ball in the game. Dellovade was namde the MVFC Co-Defensive Player of the Week.
  • YSU – TB Tevin McCaster ran for 183 yards and one of the game’s few TDs
  • YSU – Penguin defense held the Jackrabbits to their lowest point total since late October 2015 (10-7 loss to UNI), and an astounding 14:46 TOP…the lowest TOP for the Jackrabbits going back at least to 1999 (they don’t have game-by-game breakdowns on their site prior to 1999), and only the 3rd time since 1999 that it’s been under 20 minutes (the first time for a team not named the Bison).
  • SDSU – QB Taryn Christion threw for 157 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT, and ran for 28 yards.
  • SDSU – WR Jake Wieneke caught the only SDSU TD in the game and had 61 receiving yards.

That was a VERY impressive performance by the Penguins on both sides of the ball, holding a team that was supposed to be an offensive powerhouse this season to only 7 points, while putting up 19 points, but more importantly for the YSU gameplan, holding on to the ball for over 3/4 of the game and having 3 drives that lasted over 8 minutes.

Youngstown State will take their 3-1 record (1-0 in the MVFC) on the road to take on 4-0 South Dakota in what should be an exceptional battle next weekend.
South Dakota State drops to 3-1, 0-1 in the MVFC and will head back to Brookings to take on the 2-2 SIU Salukis next weekend.

My Pick in Review:

I said: Jackrabbits by 3
It was: Penguins by 11
Missed on this one as well. Either the Penguin defense is WAY better than I was giving them credit for early in the season, or SDSU has take a step back from their offensive performances the last year or two. I did at least get one part of this right though, when I said that neither team will hit 30 points (could have said 20 and would have still been right).


Northern Iowa (1-2) at #25 Southern Illinois (2-1)

1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final
UNI 3 14 7 0 24
SIU 0 3 7 7 17

Quick Hits:

  • UNI – True-FR FS Suni Lane had 7 total tackles and recovered a fumble late in the 4th to head off a SIU comeback. He was named the MVFC Newcomer of the Week for his contributions.
  • UNI – QB Eli Dunne threw for 266 yards and 3 TDs, with 106 yards and 1 TD going to WR Daurice Fountain.
  • UNI – SS Korby Sander had 5 tackles, 3 pass breakups, and forced a fumble in the 4th quarter.
  • SIU – RB Daquan Isom had 126 yards rushing and 15 yards receiving, averaging 7.9 yards per carry, and had a 52-yard run that is the longest play of the season so far for the Salukis.
  • SIU – LB Kyron Watson had 15 tackles including 2.5 for loss (1 sack), a forced fumble, a fumble recovery, and a pass breakup.

A strong start by the Panthers saw them ahead 17-3 at halftime. In the second half, the Salukis started working on comeback, picking up a couple of TDs to UNI’s 1 TD, but turnovers on three consecutive possessions doomed the attempt and sealing the 7-point win for UNI.

Northern Iowa is an even 2-2 on the season, 1-0 in the MVFC and will head home to take on 3-1 Western Illinois at the Panthers Homecoming next weekend.
Southern Illinois is now also 2-2 (although 0-1 in conference) and heads up to take on 3-1 South Dakota State in Brookings next weekend.

My Pick in Review:

I said: Salukis by 6
It was: Panthers by 7
I’ll admit it, I was lulled into confidence in SIU following their strong performance against Memphis the previous week. That, plus UNI’s struggles against some mediocre teams so far this season made me think that SIU could win this one. Honestly, if they hadn’t had those 3 turnovers in the 4th quarter, it very well could have been an SIU win…but they did…and it wasn’t…and that’s a big ol’ L for my pick in this game.


Indiana State (0-3) at #10 Illinois State (3-0)

1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final
INSU 0 0 13 0 13
ILSU 10 14 0 0 24

Quick Hits:

  • ILSU – WR Christian Gibbs caught 189 yards on 5 catches with 2 TDs
  • ILSU – DE Adam Conley had 4 tackles including a sack, and landed on a fumble in the end zone for ILSU’s second defensive TD of the season.
  • INSU – TE Jacquet McClendon had 74 receiving yards on 6 catches.
  • INSU – CB Mekhi Ware had 6 tackles, 2 pass breakups, but most importantly, had a 47-yard interception return for a TD to get the first points for the Sycamores.

The Redbirds had a packed house watching their first half shutout, while putting up 24 point themselves. The Sycamores finally got on the board with an INT->TD early in the 3rd quarter and was finally able to put together a drive midway through the 3rd for their only offensive points in the game. The 4th quarter though, was mostly just punts with an occasional turnover, none of which ended up with points for either team.

Illinois State is a perfect 4-0 overall and leads the conference with a 2-0 record. They will compete in the final non-conference matchup of the regular season, heading out to take on 2-2 Northern Arizona next weekend.
Indiana State falls to 0-4 (0-1 in the MVFC) and will welcome the 4-0 NDSU Bison to Terre Haute next weekend.

My Pick in Review:

I said: Redbirds by 10
It was: Redbirds by 11
This one went pretty well as-expected. ILSU still appears to be a decent team, INSU not so much, although I don’t know that either team really proved much.


I didn’t do so well this week with my picks, going 2-3, which puts me at 27-8 in my picks this season so far.

Next weekend, we have a couple of games that likely won’t be close, a couple of games that could be real close-fought battles, and an interesting non-conference matchup with a team that already took on another MVFC earlier in the season. Since I’m a WIU fan and since UNI is only about 3 1/2 hours away from Macomb, I’ll be making the drive up to catch up with some UNI-fan friends and root for a Homecoming-spoiling Leatherneck victory at the UNIDome.

AGS Top 25 – How They Fared Week 5 2017

Many thanks to superman7515 on AGS for putting this together every week.  Much more info. and discussion HERE.

Rank Team Week 5 Result
#1 James Madison Dukes Won at #31 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 20-10
#2 North Dakota State Bison Won vs Missouri State Bears 38-11
#3 South Dakota State Jackrabbits Lost at #6 Youngstown State Penguins 7-19
#4 Sam Houston State Bearkats Lost at #12 Central Arkansas Bears 30-41
#5 Jacksonville State Gamecocks Won at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 34-7
#6 Youngstown State Penguins Won vs #3 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 19-7
#7 South Dakota Coyotes Won at #9 Western Illinois Leathernecks 38-33
#8 Wofford Terriers Won at Presbyterian Blue Hose 31-7
#9 Western Illinois Leathernecks Lost vs #7 South Dakota Coyotes 33-38
#10 Illinois State Redbirds Won vs Indiana State Sycamores 24-13
#11 The Citadel Bulldogs Lost at #26 Samford Bulldogs 14-35
#12 Central Arkansas Bears Won vs Sam Houston State Bearkats 41-30
#13 Eastern Washington Eagles Won vs (ORV) Sacramento State Hornets 52-31
#14 Villanova Wildcats Won at Towson Tigers 24-9
#15 New Hampshire Wildcats Won vs Bryant Bulldogs 45-17
#16 Albany Great Danes Lost at #21 Elon Phoenix 0-6
#17 Weber State Wildcats Won at #23 Montana State Bobcats 25-17
#18 North Carolina A&T Aggies Won at South Carolina State Bulldogs 21-7
#19 Richmond Spiders BYE
#20 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks Lost at Austin Peay Governors 0-7
#21 Elon Phoenix Won vs #16 Albany Great Danes
#22 Stony Brook Seawolves Won at #27 William & Mary Tribe 21-18
#23 Montana State Bobcats Lost vs #17 Weber State Wildcats 17-25
#24 Western Carolina Catamounts Won at #30 Chattanooga Mocs 45-7
#25 Southern Illinois Salukis Lost vs #40 Northern Iowa Panthers 17-24
Next 15
#26 Samford Bulldogs Won vs #11 The Citadel Bulldogs 35-14
#27 (t) Maine Black Bears @ FBS Central Florida Knights canceled due to hurricane
#27 (t) William & Mary Tribe Lost vs #22 Stony Brook Seawolves 18-21
#29 Tennessee State Tigers Lost vs Eastern Illinois Panthers 16-19 (2OT)
#30 Chattanooga Mocs Lost vs #23 Western Carolina Catamounts 7-45
#31 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens Lost vs #1 James Madison Dukes 10-20
#32 Grambling State Tigers Won vs D2 Clark Atlanta Panthers (neutral site) 31-20
#33 Princeton Tigers Lost vs Columbia Lions 24-28
#34 McNeese State Cowboys Won at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 35-0
#35 Holy Cross Crusaders Lost vs (ORV) Lafayette Leopards 7-10
#36 Pennsylvania Quakers Lost vs (ORV) Dartmouth Big Green 13-16
#37 (t) Nicholls State Colonels Won at Lamar Cardinals 41-14
#37 (t) North Dakota Fighting Hawks Lost at UC Davis Aggies 24-48
#39 Yale Bulldogs Won at Fordham Rams 41-10
#40 Northern Iowa Panthers Won at #25 Southern Illinois Salukis 24-17

 

 

 

 

 

SOCON: Week 5 Review and Power Ranking

The world just about turned upside down in the Southern Conference this week. Furman looked real good on offense in its victory over ETSU. Samford got up big, early, over The Citadel to hand the Cadets their first conference loss since 2015. Western Carolina took the Chattanooga Mocs to the woodshed in their first victory over the Mocs since 2008. VMI gave Mercer a slight scare early before the Bears pulled away big. And Wofford appeared a bit sluggish over a fairly inept Presbyterian team for much of the game before pulling away in the fourth. It seems that the SOCON race is truly up for grabs. VMI seems unable to muster what it takes as does probably Chattanooga and ETSU. Mercer’s two losses will make it tough for them although they can still play spoiler and it is early. But Wofford, WCU, Samford, Furman, and The Citadel all seem able still, in that order. At least until next week.


Furman 56 ETSU 35 (box score)

Furman took the opening kickoff and moved fairly effortlessly down the field with a mix of passes and runs. The Bucs were certainly giving the Paladin receivers space and Furman took advantage of it. After a 4 minute drive of nine plays Furman took to the ground and ran an option play to take it in from 22 yards out. The Paladin’s offense was churning for certain. ETSU took the ensuing kickoff out past the 25 and proceeded to fumble it. Luckily for the Bucs, he was called down. ETSU then went to work. They had success in passing, but Furman stopped their running game cold and stopped their drive at midfield with a sack. It appeared as though Furman’s D came to play as well.

After ETSU punted, Furman’s drive stalled, but it was really miscues on Furman’s part rather than the ETSU defense that stopped them. Furman’s QB PJ Blazejowski had a couple bad passes while not under a whole lot of pressure. After the punt, it didn’t take ETSU long to get going. After a first down, Buc’s QB Austin Herink threw a perfect pass to a wide open Vincent Lowe for a 53 yard TD to make it 7-7. If Furman could stop the ETSU run game, they were obviously having some pass defense issues.

On Furman’s ensuing drive they moved in big chunks down the field. It only took them 5 plays to go 75 yards for another score. This time it was a 32 yard TD pass by Blazejowski. Both defenses were giving up some big plays, but Furman got a stop on ETSUs next possession. The Bucs defense needed to do the same. They didn’t, at least for a while. Furman moved down the field fairly easily with mix of pass and run. At the end of the first quarter Furman had outgained ETSU 231-92.

As the second quarter started, ETSU’s defense finally stood up and stopped the Paladin’s drive at their 5 on a 4th and 1. Still within a score, ETSU drove well via the pass. The Paladins were pretty stingy giving up rushing yards, but Herink was having a pretty easy time finding open receivers and the Bucs marched all the way down the field. But after having mostly stopped their running game, the Paladins gave up a three yard rush for a TD to tie things up. ETSU’s drive was 96 yards (17 run and 79 passing) in 9 plays. The key play being a 41 yard pass by Herink to get the Bucs to the 3 yard line.

On Furman’s next drive, which started fairly well, they coughed it up and ETSU returned the fumble to the Furman 21. While it looked like Furman might have held them, ETSU got an opportune pass interference call which kept the drive alive. But The Paladins defense bowed up and stopped the Bucs on a third and goal. ETSU settled for 3 to take their first lead of the game 17-14.

Besides the occasional pass, Furman pitched the ball outside a lot up to this point. On their next drive they again drove fairly well.   It only took them six plays to go 75 yards for another score, a 30 yard pass by Blazejowski to Andy Schumpert.

Down 17-21 with about 4 minutes to go in the half, ETSU, who had deferred to the second half, had a shot at scoring on successive possessions if they could move the ball again with a nice 4 minute scoring drive. But the Paladins defense held them after one first down, and Furman had a chance to score again before the half with 2:43 to go. They didn’t miss the opportunity. The Paladins went 70 yards in 7 plays and scored on 3 yard run by Darious Morehead, his second of the day. With under a minute to go in the half, Furman was in the lead 28-17. But ETSU was not going to go quietly into the half. A couple passes made it interesting. It was especially fun seeing the ETSU lateral clinic to close the half. There must have been at least 8 laterals after time expired as ETSU actually moved back about 20 yards from where they initially caught a pass deep in Furman territory. The teams totaled 647 yards of offense at the half, Furman with 390 yards and ETSU with 257. Wow. The defensive coordinators had their work cut out for them during the break.

Furman’s defense must have been paying attention at half. They forced a quick three and out on the Bucs offense. Furman’s offense went to work again. They scored on a 9 play 66 yard drive. After forcing ETSU to punt again, Furman scored again and the rout was on with Furman up 42-17.

ETSU finally answered with a scoring drive of 12 pays and 74 yards to close it to 42-24. The Bucs held Furman on their next possession, and then drove for a field goal to close the score to 42-27. But Furman returned an onsides kick for a TD to make it 49-27. ETSU then struck quickly with a 78 yard TD pass to close it to 49-35 after ETSU converted on a two point conversion. Furman then took its time to go on a five and a half minute drive to score again to make it 56-35 with 1:53 to go. ETSU tried one last scoring drive, but gave it up on downs.

ETSU did what they needed to on offense. They moved the sticks and kept it close for a while. Furman just had a juggernaut of an offense. Overall, they had 609 yards of offense. Blazejowski went 17/22 for 301 yards, 3 TDs and no interceptions. They had 308 yards rushing on 52 attempts. A pretty balanced offense for the day.

Each team had 1 turnover. ETSU had 6 penalties for 40 yards and Furman had 7 for 78 yards.

ETSU’s QB, Austin Herink went 24/37 for 438 yards, 3 TDs and no interceptions. Not a bad day. ETSU had only 22 yards on the ground. That included -27 for Herink who was sacked six times. ETSU came up short on the time of possession holding it for only 27:48. They needed to do better if they hoped for a victory.

Furman’s offense definitely came alive this game. ETSU has issues on defense obviously, but this is a step in the right direction for Furman. The Paladins will be tested against a depleted Chattanooga next week on the road. ETSU hosts Robert Morris.


Samford 35   #11 The Citadel 14 (box score)

It was a battle of the Bulldogs in Birmingham Alabama Saturday. It was also a battle of the run against the pass. With the Citadel, leading FCS in rushing yards per game, Samford’s defense would be put to a stern test. Likewise, The Citadel defense would face one of the top ten passing attacks in FCS. Whichever defense figured it out first, would most likely win.

Samford took the opening possession and its first play from scrimmage was…a run for a first down. Their second play was a flea flicker pass to The Citadel 8.   A couple plays later they scored. Samford did what they do best; pass the ball, some trickery, and a one minute scoring drive. Mission accomplished for Samford on their first drive.

But The Citadel Bulldogs know how to play while down. But they obviously had some cob webs to shake out after an off week. The Samford defense held them to a three and out and The Citadel defense would see if they could do better against Samford QB, Devlin Hodges. They didn’t do better. It took all of one pass for Hodges to connect on a 70 yard TD pass. It looked like the pass was winning against the run with Samford up 14-0. The Citadel secondary, suspect all year, had been unmasked.

On their next possession, The Citadel’s offense was stymied again. But they did it to themselves this time with a delay and chop block penalties. They punted again and things looked bleak early for the Bulldogs from Charleston. Samford took three plays to score again. It was 21-0 with 9:40 to go in the first quarter. A route was sure to follow unless The Citadel could swing the momentum.

The next drive was no better and The Citadel was forced to punt again. The Citadel was totally stumped on both sides of the ball. Samford had a game plan on both sides of the ball and they were executing it perfectly. The good news for The Citadel was Samford did not score in one or two plays. The bad news is they scored anyway to make it 28-0 at the 4:19 mark in the FIRST QUARTER. Ouch.

The next series by The Citadel was again no better. Samford’s phantom defense somehow made a showing and totally stopped The Citadel’s offensive output. With 2:51 to go in the first quarter, Samford made their first error all day: a pass interference call which gave The Citadel a first down, their first, and some life. The Cadets drove into Samford territory, but penalties eventually stymied The Citadel again and they had to go for it on a 4th and 3 but came up short at the Samford 18.

Samford did what they do on their next drive. They did some trick, non standard formation, which was immediately followed by another deep pass for a score. The route was definitely on at this point with the score at 35-0. The Citadel just needed to salvage some respect by getting a couple scores.

They got their chance on the next Samford drive when Kailik William snagged an interception off Hodges. The Citadel punched it in a couple plays later to make it 35-7 with 6:55 remaining in the half. Samford drove the ball pretty well, but another interception by The Citadel in the end zone prevented a total embarrassment. One play later The Citadel was at the Samford 29. A beautiful 51 yard pass by Jordan Black gave The Citadel some life.   But a couple plays later, after a running loss and yet another penalty, The Citadel was sacked for the first time this year. A quick pass play got them a 4th and 12 with 1:10 remaining but an incomplete pass gave the ball back to Samford and the score remained 35-7. At the break Samford held a 393-137 yard edge. They had a plan and it worked.

The Citadel came out in the second half ready to play. They drove the length of the field in 12 plays to close it to 35-14. After a 49 yard drive by Samford, where they missed a field goal. The Citadel drove 67 yards in 9 plays to the Samford 7 where they gave it up on downs. Jordan Black replaced Dominique Allen in the second half, but that is pretty usual for The Citadel to switch out QBs periodically. But Black had much more success than Allen had had. After a quick three and out forced by The Citadel defense, The Citadel got it back at their 38. They drove the length again sparked by a 47 yard pass to the Samford 4. But a penalty and stiff defense by Samford doomed The Citadel again and they gave it up on downs at the Samford 6. The Citadel could have, should have, closed it to 35-28 at his point, but it remained at 35-14. The Citadel again held Samford to a three and out, but down by 21 with 8:09 to play, it was a tall hill to climb. Down 10 with 6:30 to go last year was doable for The Citadel, but 21 points was a bit much and Samford was playing some good run defense.

The Citadel was passing much more by this time. Something that is not natural. They had some success on the day, but they are just not consistent. Black threw a couple incomplete passes and then was sacked. A 4th and 15 forced a punt with 7:06 to go. Samford was content to just run it at this point. They didn’t do very well, but they didn’t need to. They chewed up another minute and a half. They had to punt after another three and out.

But the Damage was done and Samford’s defense stood up one more time. The Citadel made it to the Samford 42 and turned it over on downs with 3:13 to go. Samford ran the clock out, by….running.

Samford had a banner day on offense. If anyone thought they were a paper tiger, they need to rethink that. Samford’s Hodges went 21/26 for 323 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions. On the ground, Samford almost doubled their season average with 139 yards. They got out to an early lead and never looked back on offense. Their leading rusher, Moise Satine almost matched their previous season average with 73 yards. They definitely stepped it up with their running game. It kept The Citadel defense guessing. The Citadel only sacked Hodges once.

On offense The Citadel had a hard time getting going. They had 12 drives during the game. They punted on 5 on them. They gave it up on downs for 5 more. They scored twice. Overall, they totaled just 346 yards. Not bad except they could not finish drives consistently. They might have closed the score but the previously anemic Samford defense stood up when needed and stuffed many of The Citadel running plays, especially when it counted. Overall, The Citadel had only 194 yards rushing with 3.5 per carry average, well below their season average. The Dogs were forced to throw more as a result. Overall, they were 6/14 for 152, a season high, but not enough obviously.

One area that also plagued The Citadel was penalties. They had 10 for 61 yards. But more damaging was the timing of many of those. Many came at the wrong time and stifled their drives or extended Samford’s. Samford ended with just 4 for 40 yards. The only turnovers in the game were the two interceptions thrown by Hodges. The time of possession advantage held by The Citadel, almost 37 to 23 minutes, did not matter. Samford showed what an explosive offense can do.

For The Citadel it is time to regroup. They meet Mercer next week for Parents Day at The Citadel, a big weekend where the seniors get their rings. Samford will try and probably succeed in improving their conference record when they travel to VMI.


Mercer 49 VMI 14 (box score)

The 0-4 Keydets needed a boost bad after a pretty miserable start to the season. VMI QB Duncan Hodges, who played last week, got the start at QB this week for the first time. After a three and out and punt to start the game, VMI got a break. An interception thrown by QB Kaelan Riley on Mercer’s first play from scrimmage was returned 60 yards for a VMI TD. But would it be enough of a spark the Keydets? The VMI defense then held Mercer to a three and out. But VMI couldn’t get anything going and had to punt it right back after a couple first downs. Mercer tried again with the same result.   At least VMI was holding down Mercer’s offense form scoring. On VMI’s fourth possession Hodges threw the deep ball only to be intercepted. Mercer then went on a 6 play 78 yard drive to tie things up with 14 minutes to go in the second. After a short dive andf punt by VMI, Mercer struck again, quickly, with a one play 79 yards TD pass to make it 14-7 Mercer.

But when it rains, it sometimes pours. After a quick first down on their ensuing possession, VMI again threw an interception. This time it was a 51 yard pick six to make it 21-7, Mercer.

A short kickoff by Mercer gave VMI pretty good field position next. They drove well and made it down to the Mercer 9 before the Bears defense forced a field goal attempt which the Keydets missed. Mercer then drove down to the VMI 36 after 13 play drive, but the VMI defense stood up and stopped them and the Bear turned it over on downs with under a minute to play in the half.

While VMI kept it close in the first half, it was all Mercer in the second half. They scored on four of their five possessions, punting only once. VMI scored again in the third quarter on a one play 79 yard toss, but also threw an interception. Mercer’s balance offensive attack was just a bit too much for VMI.

Mercer had a banner day against a weary VMI defense totaling 575 yards overall, with Riley going 13/24 for 318 yards with three TDs and 1 interception. On the ground Mercer’s CJ Leggett had 95 yards on 16 carries. VMI did score two sacks against Mercer.

On the other hand, VMI could gain only 225 yards on offense including only 52 on the ground. VMI was sacked 3 times. VMI also used another QB later in the game. This makes 4 they have used in two games. It doesn’t hurt to try different ones until they find the right match.  Mercers defense was pretty stout to boot.

Mercer exploded on offense this week and put it together nicely. Something they lacked last week in their loss to ETSU. One thing they did again though was commit penalties. They had 7 for 50 yards. It didn’t matter but they need to tighten up a bit. Mercer also controlled the clock pretty well with over 32 minutes of possession.

Now at 2-3 and 1-2, Mercer will travel to Charleston to take on a flustered Bulldog team looking for redemption. VMI gets Samford at home.


#24 Western Carolina 45 Chattanooga 7 (box score)

Western Carolina, fresh off its upset win over Samford last week, looked to beat Chattanooga in Chattanooga for the first time since 2005. Heck, they have not beaten the Mocs at all since 2008. They wanted this win bad. The Catamounts of Western Carolina have a pretty good offense. No its is real good. But Chattanooga has a pretty decent defense. The Cats would be hard pressed to put up the big numbers that they have. On the other hand Chattanooga was probably pretty happy they finally had their anticipated starting QB back playing.

The Cats took the opening series down the field to the Mocs 31 and missed a field goal. Chattanooga drove fairly well, now led by QB Alexjandro Bennifield, all the way down to the WCU 30. Then disaster stuck Chattanooga. Bennifield was sacked, and sacked hard. Starting in his first game this year, on his first drive, the anticipated starting veteran QB Bennififeld was helped from the field and left the stadium enroute to a hospital. Nick Tiano who started the previous Mocs games would have to lead the Mocs for a bit longer. After an incomplete pass, the Mocs punted. WCU must have smelled blood at this point. They drove against a pretty stout Mocs defense for 75 yards in 6 plays and scored a TD to go up 7-0. After holding Chattanooga to a three and out, WCU drove for another score. This time it was a 39 yard field goal.

After trading four punts, the Mocs found themselves on the short end of field position at their 9. Two plays later Tiano fumbled in the end zone and WCU got its first defensive score to go up 17-0 with 7:19 to go in the second.   Score one for the much maligned WCU defense.

After trading two more punts, the Mocs again found themselves on the short end of field position at their own 10. It was déjà vu all over again. Tiano fumbled in the end zone and WCU got its second defensive TD. Score “two” for the, not as much, maligned WCU defense. Chattanooga got the ball back with 4:20 remaining and drove fairly well. They got down to the WCU 9 but gave it up on downs. WCU got it back with a little over a minute remaining and ran the clock out with WCU up 24-0 at the half.

After trading three and outs to start the second half, the Cats maintain good field position. To add insult to injury, when the Mocs punted it went for only 19 yards to their own 37! But the Chattanooga defense stood up and held WCU to a three and out. The Mocs got it back at their 6. They got a first down, but then stalled and were forced to punt again form their 19. A fake was not a good idea. Punter fumbled and WCU got it on the Chattanooga 1. The Cats scored on one play to make it 31-0 with 8:39 to go in the third.

After holding the Mocs to yet another three and out, WCU got it back at their own 38 after the punt. At least it was in WCU territory this time. But it did not take long for WCU’s offense to get back in the game. 7 plays and 62 yards later, it was 38-0 after a 38 yard TD pass by WCU QB Tyrie Adams. Oh my.

Chattanooga finally got something going and drove down to the WCU 8. But just when things could not get any worse for the Mocs, Tiano went down with an apparent shoulder injury. At this point Chattanooga brought in a walk on QB, true freshman Dominic Caldwell, who proceeded to throw a TD in a couple plays. So maybe things got better. Chattanooga had a little life and they avoided the shutout with 11:59 to go in the game.

On their following possession, WCU brought in the backups including a new QB, Ray Smith. They drove pretty well, mostly running the ball and chewing up clock. They scored on a 26 yard TD toss by Smith to go up 45-7. The teams traded punts again, but Chattanooga’s fall from grace was complete. And, WCU took another step towards stardom.

On the day, WCU starting QB went 8/15 for 125 with 1 TD and no interceptions. The Cats had over 200 yards rushing including over 100 by Corey Holloway. Overall, WCU had 392 yards on offense. Not bad against a usually pretty good Chattanooga defense. And to make it even more impressive, WCU accomplished this signature win WITHOUT their star running back and leading SOCON rusher, Detrez Newsome. But it was their defense that won it for WCU. And that is a huge step for them.

Chattanooga’s lapses on offense this year have been just devastating. They totaled just 172 yards in the game while holding the ball over 32 minutes. The three QBs they used were just 15/30 for 123 yards. They rushed for just 49 yards. Is Chattanooga the new Samford in rushing?   It is probably safe to say that the Mocs season is probably over except for maybe playing a spoiler down the road. They obviously need to rebuild. I suspect they will now employ Caldwell at QB and get him some experience for the future.

It does not get any easier for the Mocs. They face an apparently rejuvenated Furman team next. At least it is at home. The Catamounts are on the road again next week and face off against the only unblemished team remaining in the SOCON, Wofford.


#8 Wofford 31 Presbyterian 7 (box score)

It probably could not have started out better for the Wofford Terriers during Saturday’s game. After holding the Presbyterian Collage (PC) Blue Hose to a three and out, Wofford ran one play for 94 yards and a score. The teams traded three more punts before Wofford score again. This time is was a signature option drive taking five plus minutes with 11 plays in 80 yards. After two more punts, the PC offense got going. The Blue Hose went on an 11 play, 60 yards drive to close the score to 14-7. The teams traded punts to close the half.

Both defenses were holding the other fairly well. This continued into the second half when the teams traded punts to start. Wofford finally got going on their second possession when they drove 97 yards. The Key play being a 72 pass thrown by Wofford QB Brandon Goodson. But the PC defense stiffened up and stuffed the Wofford runners three times and forced the Terriers to kick a field goal to make it 17-7. The drive took almost 7 minutes.

After Wofford held PC to a three and out, they went on another scoring drive of 6 play for 77 yards to make it 24-7. But PC fought back on their next drive and drove all the way down to the Wofford 9. Unfortunately for PC, on a second and goal a completed pass to the 2 was fumbled and recovered by Wofford in the end zone for a touchback.

Wofford wasted no time and scored in two plays on 75 yard TD pass by the halfback Lennox McAfee to make it 31-7. PC took its last possession into Wofford territory but threw an interception with just seconds remaining.

On the day Wofford totaled 478 yards. Goodson went 3/7 for 92 yards. On the ground, the Terriers gained 311 yards with Blake Morgan gaining 120 with two TDs. He had the 94 yard run on Wofford opening possession. Wofford went 7/13 on third downs. They held the ball for only 26:16. They committed only two penalties for 10 yards.

PC gained only 252 yards including 122 on the ground. PC QB Ben Cheek went 19/30 for 130 yards and 1 interception. They went 9/18 on third downs. They had 4 penalties for 26 yards. Wofford defense did a pretty good job keeping them out of the end zone. PC has had problems all year in scoring.

Wofford faces its toughest test to date next week when it hosts a hot Western Carolina team. Presbyterian has a hard game itself as it hosts a hot St Francis team.


Power Ranking

  1. Wofford
  2. Western Carolina
  3. Samford
  4. Furman
  5. Mercer
  6. The Citadel
  7. ETSU
  8. Chattanooga
  9. VMI

SOCON: Week 5 Preview

It’s the first full week of conference play and the race for Southern Conference should become a “little” clearer after this week. First off, the Bucs of ETSU meet Furman in Greenville. The Citadel travels to Samford in a battle of the Bulldogs. VMI travels to Mercer to take on the Bears in Macon. WCU goes to Chattanooga. And in the only out of conference game, Wofford takes on the Blue Hose of Presbyterian in Clinton, SC.

SOCON notes


ETSU at Furman 1PM (ESPN3) (ETSU notes) (Furman notes)

Both of these teams are coming off big wins and each will be playing hard for another one. This past week ETSU upset Mercer and Furman dismantled Colgate on the road. Both teams are young. ETSU is still in that initial build phase and does not have the depth of experience yet. While Furman may have the additional experience of an established program, they are a young team. A lot will depend on which coach can coax more out of his team.

Furman is one of those Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde teams. They have flashes of brilliance and moments of ineptness. But for a young team that is not uncommon. Sitting at 1-3 with close losses to Wofford and Elon, and a not so close loss to NC State, Furman could have easily been 3-1 right now. Gaining his first victory as a head coach last week, Furman’s Clay Hendrix will try and pick up win #2 in front of the Paladin faithful.

Furman’s Senior QB PJ Blazejowski, has done ok this year. Overall he is 40/74 with 793 yards averaging just under 200 yards a game. He has thrown 5 TDs and 2 interceptions. Furman has been running the ball a bit more this year. To date they are averaging 172 yards a game. Fairly balanced now, they have been moving the ball pretty well with a third down conversion rate of 47%. One area they need to improve on is in turnovers. They sit at -2 on the year. They do lead the conference in the least penalties with just 12 all year so far.

On defense they have surrendered 392 yards a game along with 30 points. Against the pass they have given up 214 a game and 178 against the run. They lead the conference in sacks with 11. That included 5 this past week against Colgate. They have been holding the opposition to a 37% third down conversion rate. They have only snagged 1 interception all year so far. They forced a bunch of turnovers this past week and that helped them get out to an early, dominating lead over Colgate.

ETSU has been a bit stingy giving up the ball. They sit at +2 on the year. Junior QB Austin Herink has only thrown 2 interceptions to date. Overall he is 72/112 for 823 yards with 6 TDs. The Bucs have averaged 206 yards a game through the air. One area that’s needs some work for the Bucs is in their running game. They only average 81 yards a game. Herink has been sacked 10 times so far as well. ETSU has only converted third downs 34% of the time. They are only putting up 23 points a game. Sitting at 2-2, 1-1, the Bucs have been solid, but not spectacular on offense. They have had some good drives which scored points. They are 7/8 in the red zone with 5 TDs.

On defense they have allowed 372 yards a game with just under 173 coming through the air and 199 on the ground. Their run defense stats obviously took a hit with both JMU and The Citadel running up some high numbers. They also have only 3 sacks on the year. They sit at 43% in stopping teams from converting 3rd downs.

ETSU has averaged just under 30 minutes of possession each game. They need to do better, especially against explosive offenses. The best defense for them at this point is to keep the ball away from opposing offenses. They held it 36 minutes against Mercer in their victory. Furman was not exactly explosive this past week. They didn’t need to be.  ETSU needs to grind out some drives, move the sticks and keep the turnovers down. If they can stay close to the Paladins, like they did with both The Citadel and Mercer, they can be in it.

After the Bucs emotional victory last week, the Paladins, at home, may be a bit much for them. Furman won handily this past week, but did so due to their defense and the forced turnovers more than their offense. Their average starting field position was in Colgate territory. The Paladin offense will get into the act a bit more this week. Look for a Furman victory, 33-17.


#11 The Citadel at Samford 3PM (ESPN3)(The Citadel notes) (Samford notes)

Samford’s late loss to WCU last week had to be disheartening for the Samford Bulldogs. Unable to score from the 3 yard line in four plays, after driving from their own 1 yard line in the last minute of the game, has to be frustrating. Samford by far has one of the most explosive offenses in the conference, and all of FCS for that matter. But their utter lack of any real running game has hurt them in many ways. On the flip side the same could be said about The Citadel Bulldogs and their scant passing game.

The Citadel leads FCS in rushing averaging 380 yards a game. However, they have averaged 96 through the air as well. Not great, but that is a little bit better than last year. More impressive is they already have 5 passing TD so far as compared to 5 for all of last year. But like Samford, they are a bit one dimensional. However, they can move the ball running most of the time. They average 476 yards a game with 5.9 yards per play average. They tally 26 first downs a game with a ludicrous 61% third down conversion rate.  They do this while holding the ball over 37 and a half minutes a game. That keeps their defense fairly fresh

The Charleston Dogs currently lead the SOCON in total defense giving up only 237 yards a game. That is a bit skewed with their schedule so far, but they have been mostly effective. One area that is of some concern, especially for this game, is their secondary. They have been burned a few times.  Through the air they have given up 166 yards per game. They have 5 interceptions to date, along with 6 sacks. On the ground they have surrendered an enviable 71 yards a game.  While defending third downs they have allowed only a 27% conversion rate. Considering Samford’s prolific passing game, these numbers will obviously take a hit.

Samford leads the SOCON and comes in at 5th in the FCS for passing yards per game with 329 per game. They are formidable to say the least. Junior QB Devlin Hodges has gone 110/172 for 1301 yards with 13 TDs. He has only thrown 2 interceptions all year. He is dangerous with the short passes, which many liken to no more than pitches, to throwing the deep ball. He has a huge stable of capable receivers to choose from. Hodges has been sacked 6 time to date. Not bad considering the number of passes he has attempted. His offensive line does a pretty good job protecting him. While they are all in protecting him, they are not very good at creating holes for their runners. Samford again has a dismal running game. They are not in last place in the SOCON, but pretty close with a 76 yard per game and 2.8 yard per carry average. Their play selection has been roughly 61% pass, 39% run. They just don’t run the ball very well. Their drives are pretty fast as well. Whether they go three and out or drive the length of the field, their offense does not hold the ball very long. Their average time of possession is about 27 minutes a game, which is actually better than their TOP last year which was under 25 minutes. Whether they go three and out or score quickly, their defense stays on the field a long time.

Samford has been giving up 532 yards a game! They gave up over 600 last week to WCU…almost 200 more than they let Georgia gain. And this brings up a motivation issue. Samford has a habit of playing up or down to their competition. They let Kennesaw St and West Alabama stay in games that should have been put away. It is hard to understand a coach that can’t get his players to produce consistently. But back to the numbers. Against the run Samford gives up 231 yards a game, against the pass 301. They allow opponents to convert about 42% of the time on third downs. They do have 9 sacks. The ‘Bama Bulldogs have allowed opponent to score 12 out of 14 times while in the red zone. To say they have some issues on defense is an understatement. It almost seems like they have decided to just try and outscore the opposition and hope for a couple turnovers to tip the balance. On the year they are at +3.

Last year’s game in Charleston was a barn burning OT win by The Citadel.  A repeat of last year’s game is likely. Samford can score quickly, even against a determined defense by The Citadel. The Cadets will be able to drive against Samford at will, but they will chew up clock and shorten the game for both teams. The game will come down to turnovers or special teams. Like Samford. The Citadel is at +3 in turnovers on the year. There have been a couple miscues by both teams on special teams so far. It is pretty much a toss-up, except The Citadel secondary may make the difference. If it stands up, it will be a long day for Samford. If Samford gets the edge, it will be a long day for The Citadel. It will probably be somewhere in between so give the edge to Samford at home, 28-24.


VMI at Mercer 4PM (ESPN3) (VMI notes) (Mercer notes)

The VMI Keydets (0-4, 0-1) travel to Macon Georgia to take on the Mercer Bears (1-3, 0-2). Mercer has had a disappointing season so far. After graduating their first class since starting up football again, and being competitive almost immediately, they seem to have stalled a bit. After blowing out Jacksonville, they have played three close games against a wide variety of teams in Wofford, Auburn, and ETSU. And while they did ok against Auburn, a victory would have been tough even if they played them close. They could have easily won against Wofford and ETSU. If Mercer has had a disappointing season, VMI has had a dismal one so far. They have been blown out by Air Force and UTC and embarrassed by Robert Morris and Div II Catawba. But don’t count on them folding the season.  The Keydets will not do that.  They need to regroup and build on whatever strengths they have.

VMI’s numbers are pretty bad on both sides of the ball. They gain only 205 yards a game and give up 453. Their average score to date, 7-43, is not surprising. It will be interesting to see who they start at QB. They have been using Austin Coulling up until the last game. They also played Duncan Hodges and another QB in their last game. Not sure if that was a message to Coulling after he threw two first half interceptions or just an opportunity to get some playing time for the backups after being down big. In any event, the Keydets have issues on offense. They seem to have been a one trick pony with Al Cobb last year.

On defense, which should have been somewhat a bright spot for them, they are struggling as well. They surrender 195 yards a game on the ground and 258 through the air. They have allowed opponents to convert third downs at a 55% rate. Part of the problem is they only have a 25 minute time of possession and are -7 in turnovers on the year. Their defense is tired. Against Mercer on the road, their problems may continue.

Mercer has put up some pretty good number on offense. Freshman QB Kaelan Riley has been starting and he will be good. He has gone 67/108 for 776 yards so far with 7 TDs and 4 interceptions. His 196 yards per game through the air and the Bears 133 yards per game on the ground have allowed Mercer to convert about 38% of their third downs. Riley has been sacked only 4 times so far as well. They have been averaging 27 points a game.

On defense the Bears have given up 376 yards a game along with only 21 points. The yards against them have been pretty balanced between pass and rush so far.  They allow third downs to be converted about 48% of the time. That was skewed a bit by their game against Auburn who drove the ball pretty much at will. What kept them close in that game was turnovers. Overall, they at +2 for the year. They only have 2 interceptions and 6 sacks on the year.

Mercer has benefited the most of any SOCON team so far in opponent penalties gaining 73 yards per game on average. They commit about 45 yards a game in penalties on average. They lead the conference in punt return average with almost 15 per return.

Mercer sort of fell apart last week late. They should have won at ETSU, but they just could not finish. They really do play better while down. But don’t expect them to let up this week. They will go up early against VMI and then they will be very methodical in pressing home a victory. Mercer easily wins 42-10.


#24 Western Carolina at Chattanooga 6PM (ESPN3) (WCU notes) (UTC notes)

Who would have thought that by week 5 the Catamounts of WCU would be ranked and the Chattanooga Mocs would not be. Now at 3-1, 1-0 after knocking off a ranked Samford team last week, the Cats are poised to make a run for the Southern Conference Championship. A victory here would be huge for them. Chattanooga, 1-3, 1-0, bounced back big time last week in their dominating win against VMI. A victory here is a must to save the Mocs season. If they lose here, their playoff chances will evaporate unless they pull out a SOCON championship.

WCU has been a offensive machine this year. They have averaged 571 yards a game, 7.6 yards a play and over 40 points a game. That will go down this week for sure, but they have an explosive offense. Cats QB, sophomore Tyrie Adams is 66/107 for 1080 yards with 270 yards per game. He has thrown 10 TDs and only 3 interceptions so far. He is also number 2 in rushing for the Cats on the year with 74 per game. He is easily the best dual threat QB in the conference right now. The leading rusher for WCU has been Detrez Newsome with 139 yards per game. He averages 8 yards per carry. He also averages 20 yards receiving per game and returns kickoffs. They better keep him healthy. Overall the Cats run for 296 yards a game. WCU moves the ball well. They average 25 first downs a game and convert third downs 41% of the time. The Cats QB has been sacked 10 times so far.

While their offense has been exceptional, the Cats defense, which was the big question mark for them this year, has been improved, but is still wanting. They give up 434 yards a game or about 5.6 yards a play. This breaks out to 184 yards rushing and 250 yards through the air. They hold opponents third down conversions to 36%. They have 7 sacks and 5 interceptions so far. Their defense is better, at least a little bit, but when they face a good offense, their weakness become apparent. They gave up 600+ yards last week against Samford. An explosive offense to be sure, but overall they are at least moving in the right direction on defense. They made a nice goal line stand when it counted last week to preserve their win.

WCU’s defense better have their game face on this week against Chattanooga. It is assumed that Alejandro Bennifield will return this week after being suspended for some academic issues. So far the Mocs offensive output has been pretty bad: 270 yards per game or 4.3 yards per play. Compared to previous years that is pitiful. That includes 74 yards on the ground and 196 through the air. Even with their blowout victory last week at VMI, where they had a short field most of the day, they have been anemic on offense under transfer QB Nick TIano. He has also been sacked 11 times so far. This week may be different. They will still have issues running, and Bennifield may be a bit rusty, but the Mocs offense needs to get going if they have any hope to salvage their season.

While their offense has issues, the Moc’s defense is fairly stable. They allow 319 yards per game and 5.6 per play on average. They allow a 38% third down conversion rate. They have grabbed 5 interceptions, but only had 4 sacks which is historically pretty low for them. Overall, they at -2 in turnovers, which has not helped them.

It is going to be important for the Mocs that Bennifield does well in this game. For first year head coach Tom Arth, this will be important as well. Many of the Mocs faithful have already questioned his hiring. A loss here will just get folks up in arms prematurely.  To be fair, this only game 5. It will take him time to establish himself. It might take a year or two. WCU’s offense will be a good test for Chattanooga. Do not expect WCU to put up gaudy numbers this week. The Cats will move the ball, but their averages will take a hit when facing the Moc’s defense. If there was an opponent to have for Bennifield’s first game back, WCU is it. While the Cats defense may be better, they still have not arrived yet. Look for Chattanooga to control but not dominate the game. Mocs win 35-28.

I will also take this time to note the passing of long time Catamount fan Richard McClellan (AKA Catamount Man on AGS). I met Richard last year at a gathering of Upstate SC AGS posters. We also got together for The Citadel/WCU game last year. He was very good host and made me feel at home. I enjoyed his company and will miss him. Rest in peace Richard.


#8 Wofford at Presbyterian 7PM (Big South Network) (Wofford notes)

The Wofford Terriers (3-0, 2-0) have won their games by a total of 5 points. Talk about being close. They have not put up big offensive numbers. They have won by ball control, not turning the ball over, and some stout defense. Presbyterian (2-2) has had a tough time. Wins against Campbell and barely winning against NAIA Cumberland have not taken any of the sting out of losing bad to both Wake Forest and The Citadel. The Blue Hose did not need Wofford this week.

The Terriers have totaled 363 yards per game with most obviously coming on the ground. They average 259 yards a game with 4.9 yard per carry. They have also averaged 104 yards passing each game. Wofford switches out QBs a bit. Their primary passer is senior Brandon Goodson. He is 22/34 for 97 yards a game so far with no interceptions and 1 TD. Like most option teams, Wofford controls their games with steady drives which chew yards and clock. They average about 33 and half minutes a game. They convert third downs about 40% of the time. Fullback Andre Stoddard had a big day this past week against Gardner-Webb with 91 yards on 16 carries and two TDs. He is a beast punching through holes like magic sometimes.

By far the Terriers strength rests with their defense. They have held opponents to 309 yards a game. This includes 122 on the ground with a 3.7 per carry average. Through the air they allow 187 yards a game. They have only had four sacks, but have grabbed 4 interceptions in 3 games. They have allowed opponents to convert third downs 42% of the time. In the red zone on defense they have allowed teams to score 10 out of 11 times, but the point there is they have only have allowed teams into the red zone 11 times in 3 games.

They have attempted three field goal to date, and made all three with a long of 44. They only have a net punting average of 35 yards.

Presbyterian has all sorts of issues on both sides of the ball. They gain only 293 yards a game on offense. They give up 456. They average only 17 points a game. They scored only 7 each against The Citadel and Wake Forest. They will have a hard time moving the ball against Wofford. Coupled with Wofford’s ball hogging ways, Presbyterian will be hard pressed to score many points in this game. The Blue Hose had big issues stopping The Citadel’s running game earlier this year, giving up 435 yards. They will have problems against the Terriers as well. Wofford should easily handle the Blue Hose and win 38-3.

Patriot League: Week 5 Preview

Last weekend could be classified as a 5 alarm dumpster fire for the Patriot League after going 1-6 in out of conference play. Losing is never good but the way some of the teams in the league lost was especially embarrassing. The Patriot League’s overall record after 4 weeks of play is 7-20. With the non-league games wrapping up over the next couple of weeks the chances to improve upon the dismal record are fleeting.

I’m on the road so this week’s game previews are simple and to the point. I’ll have full game recaps out next week. After such a disappointing start to the football season I think everyone involved needs to step back and re-energize themselves for conference play!

Lafayette (0-4, 0-0) at Holy Cross (2-2, 1-0) – Sept 30th 1 PM Fitton Field Worcester, MA

Live Stream: Patriot League Network

Holy Cross looks to push their league mark to 2-0 with a win over struggling Lafayette. The Crusaders are coming off a painful overtime loss to Dartmouth while Lafayette fought hard but still came up 21 points short against Princeton. Holy Cross was gashed for 300 yards on the ground last week which has to be concern Coach Gilmore moving forward. However, against a Lafayette team that ranks second to last in FCS in rushing yards per game Holy Cross has little to worry about. The most important thing this this week will be avoiding injuries.

Prediction: Holy Cross 37 Lafayette 20

Colgate (1-3, 0-0) at Cornell (0-2) – Sept 30th 1:30 PM Schoellkopf Field Ithaca, NY

Live Streaming: Ivy League Network

For the 99th time (Cornell leads series 49-46-3), Colgate and Cornell will face off on the gridiron this Saturday afternoon in gorgeous Ithaca, NY. Both teams enter this rivalry game treading quite a bit of water. Colgate has lost 3 straight after capturing their season opener against a then ranked Cal Poly team while Cornell has been outscored 100-36 in losses to Delaware and Yale to begin the year. This appears to be a really even game on paper given the serious question marks Colgate and Colgate have on both sides of the ball. Cornell has the advantage at quarterback but outside of that this appears to be a very even matchup. Last year’s game was a classic that went in the Big Red’s favor. Colgate reverses the role in 2017.

Prediction: Colgate 34 Cornell 31

Harvard (1-1) at Georgetown (1-2, 0-0) – Sept 30th 2 PM RFK Stadium Washington D.C.

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

Georgetown will try to right the ship against Ivy League power Harvard at the venerable RFK Stadium Saturday. The Crimson have dominated Georgetown each of the last 3 years (outscored the Hoyas 110-20). If the Hoyas want to put forth a more competitive performance against Harvard this time around the offense must find some level of competence. It’s too early to tell if Tim Barnes will start at QB after suffering an injury against Columbia last week. If Barnes can’t play, Clay Norris will once again be called upon to lead the Hoyas “O”.

Prediction: Harvard 38 Georgetown 6

Yale (2-0) at Fordham (1-3, 0-0) – Sept 30th 6 PM Jack Coffey Field Bronx, NY

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The scoreboard at JCF is likely to get a serious workout when Fordham and Yale meet Saturday evening. These two teams combined for 81 points last year at the Yale Bowl in a 44-37 Rams win. If Fordham wants to replicate last year’s outcome they must do a much better job stopping the run (currently ranky 114th 262 ypg). The Eli enter this game averaging 300 ypg through their first two games. For the third straight week (missed the last 2 games with ankle injury) Chase Edmonds is listed as Fordham’s starting RB. If he’s finally able to play the Rams chances greatly increases. If not, expect the talented Yale defensive front 7 to get after Fordham QB Kevin Anderson enough to limit the amount of damage he inflicts.

Prediction: Yale 52 Fordham 38

Lehigh (0-4, 0-0) at Wagner (1-3) – Sept 30th 6 PM Hameline Field Staten Island, NY

Live Stream: NEC Front Row

For the first time ever, Lehigh and Wagner face-off in football. The two teams would certainly like to enter their inaugural meeting playing better. Wagner’s only win came against D2 Saint Anselm in the season opener while defending Patriot League champion Lehigh is still searching for their first “W”. The Seahawks have struggled on offense (17 ppg) to start the year. That’s good news for a Lehigh team that ranks at the bottom of FCS in nearly every meaningful defensive statistic. Brad Mayes (2nd in FCS in passing ypg) and Mountain Hawk offense likely found their first opponent they can outscore.

Prediction: Lehigh 45 Wagner 27

Monmouth (3-1) at Bucknell (2-2, 0-1) – Sept 30th 6 PM Christy Mathewson-Memorial Stadium Lewisburg, PA

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The second “first ever meeting” this weekend features Bucknell and the Monmouth Hawks doing battle in Central Pennsylvania. The fact that this is the two schools first meeting is quite surprising given how many games Monmouth has played against Patriot League schools (2-0 this year) the last 10-15 years. Both teams enter Saturday evening’s contest riding a solid wave of momentum. Monmouth’s balanced offense (188 ypg rushing, 178 ypg passing) against Bucknell’s usually stout defense will likely determine the outcome of the game. The Bison got their rushing attack going to some extent last week at Sacred Heart which has to make Coach Susan happy heading into the Monmouth game. In addition to putting forth a strong defensive effort, Bucknell will need to control the clock and avoid turnovers to pull off the upset against the surging Hawks.

Prediction: Monmouth 31 Bucknell 20

MVFC – Week 5 Preview

MVFC Logo

It’s all downhill from here…at least for some teams. The MVFC has 6 teams listed in the top 10 of this week’s AGS poll and fully half of the conference is undefeated, but we’re now “all in” on conference “season”. This week, we have 5 games between the 10 MVFC teams including two games involving two top-10 teams. Somebody has to lose, which means that somebody is going to drop out of the top 10. How far depends on how badly they get beat. Outside of one oddly-scheduled Illinois State at Northern Arizona game, all the games for the rest of the regular season are conference games.

Disclaimer: For those of you who don’t know me very well, I’ve been a Western Illinois fan for over 20 years. I will do my best to be relatively unbiased, but I know that it’s impossible for me to be completely so. You’ll also notice that I generally will write a little more about my Leathernecks due to my familiarity with the team.

For reference, in the past I’d been using the STATS poll for the ranking numbers, but I’ll be using the AGS poll from now on instead.

So, here are the games this week
1:00 PM – Missouri State (1-3) at #2 North Dakota State (3-0)
3:00 PM – #7 South Dakota (3-0) at #9 Western Illinois (3-0)
6:00 PM – #3 South Dakota State (3-0) at #6 Youngstown State (2-1)
6:00 PM – Northern Iowa (1-2) at #25 Southern Illinois (2-1)
6:30 PM – Indiana State (0-3) at #10 Illinois State (3-0)
All games listed in Central time and are available streaming on ESPN3/WatchESPN.com


Missouri State at #2 North Dakota State (Homecoming)

Last Week:

  • Missouri State lost to Illinois State, 34-9
  • North Dakota State beat Robert Morris, 55-0

History: The Bison and Bears have played each other 9 times going back to 2008. NDSU holds the series lead 7-2, with a 3-1 record at home. MSU won the 2nd and 3rd meetings in ’09 and ’10, but ’08 and then all 6 meetings since ’11 have gone to the Bison.

Which Missouri State team will we see this week? Do we see the MSU offense that put 43 points up against Mizzou? Or maybe the MSU defense that held Illinois State to 6 first half points in a game that was tied at halftime? On the other hand…there’s the MSU offense who was held scoreless by a North Dakota team that hasn’t looked very good their last couple of games, or the MSU defense who came out of the halftime tie with Illinois State to give up 28 points in the third quarter. In case you hadn’t noticed, the Bears have been real “Jekyl and Hyde” so far this season, although with a 1-3 record, it’s been a bit more on the “Hyde” side. MSU is a little stronger in their passing game than in the run game, with QB Payton Huslig averaging 209.5 ypg with 4 TDs and 4 INTs. WR Malik Earl is the primary receiver, with 79 ypg and 2 TDs, and the ground game is handled mostly by RB Calan Crowder, scampering for 76.8 ypg and 3 TDs. You also can’t overlook the impact that preseason All-MVFC kick returner (technically WR) Deion Holliman can have on the game, currently leading the conference in punt return yardage and combined kick returns. The Bears defense has a quality LB in McNeese Egbim, who has 25 tackles, 2.5 for loss so far this season…however, they don’t have too much else. They’re giving up nearly 520 ypg and an average of 40.2 ppg so far this season.

North Dakota State, meanwhile, has rolled through their non-conference schedule with the closest thing to a “challenge” being a 27-point win at Eastern Washington. In their two games at home, they’ve outscored their opponents 128-7…now, to be fair, the competition has not been as high of quality as they’ve generally seen the past few years (FBS teams are now VERY hesitant to invite the Bison to town), but it does show that the Bison can really move the ball when they want to. The interesting thing is that for most teams, you see 40, 56, 72 points, and you think of a team that has a strong passing offense. That’s not really the case with this year’s Bison team, with their offense putting up more than twice as many yards (and more than 3 times as many TDs) on the ground as through the air. RB Lance Dunn is averaging 133.7 ypg and has 8 TDs, and they have 2 other players averaging 80+ ypg. QB Easton Stick can even move when the ball when he needs to (which hasn’t been very often yet) picking up 18 ypg and 2 TDs on the ground. Stick doesn’t throw too much, but he’s pretty accurate when he does (72.5%). The Bison defense is a veritable “Murderer’s Row” of likely all-conference first and second team guys, so I won’t get into listing all the good ones, but keep an eye out for Nate Tanguay And Aaron Steidl on the line, Levi Jordheim and Dan Marlette (2 forced fumbles) at the LB spots, and Robbie Grimsley and Tre Dempsey roaming the backfield (3 INTs between the two of them).

NDSU is the closest thing to a “complete team” that there is in the conference (if not the entire FCS)…dominant on both sides of the ball (although their kicking game does struggle at times), and can give 100% effort for 60 minutes. MSU on the other hand, has some areas of serious concern, especially on defense, and have really struggled to push through all 4 quarters. In the MVFC, you hesitate to use the word “blowout” in reference to games because just about any team has the potential of knocking off just about any other team. This year though, I think NDSU’s Homecoming game is going to be something resembling just that. I think it’ll be the Bison by 35.


#7 South Dakota at #9 Western Illinois (Homecoming)

Last Week:

  • South Dakota had their bye week
  • Western Illinois won at FBS Coastal Carolina, 52-10

History: The Leathernecks and Coyotes have played each other 7 times, with Western holding the 5-2 series lead. The two losses both came back in the ’70s however, so in the DI era, USD has not defeated WIU in 5 tries.

Coach Nielson has the Coyotes exceeding most people’s preseason expectations, winning dominantly at Drake and against non-conference rival North Dakota. The “meat” in this 3-0 sandwich, however, is a 35-27 win at FBS Bowling Green. Now, it’s hard to say how impressive that is, since BGSU is not a good FBS team (0-4), but it’s still an FBS team, still has more scholarships, and still spends more on football than anyone in the MVFC. USD’s gameplan is generally a balanced attack using the multiple-threat capability of their QB, Chris Streveler, who leads the team in passing yards and TDs as well as in rushing yards and TDs. The other top RBs, Michael Fredrick and Kai Henry, both are averaging ~57 ypg and have 5 TDs between them. When Streveler throws the ball, it’s fairly well spread out amongst receivers, with Alonge Brooks, Shamar Jackson, and Kody Case all having 2 TDs and both Jackson and Case averaging over 50 ypg. Defensively, they are only giving up 13.7 ppg, with DB Danny Rambo leading the team in tackles with 17, DB Phillip Powell having 2 INTs with one returned for a TD, and DL Darin Greenfield getting pressure on the QB with 8.5 tackles for loss (3 sacks).

Western Illinois is roughly in the same boat as USD, having started the season 3-0 and dominating their FCS opponents by 27 (Tennessee Tech) and 18 (Northern Arizona) points. Like USD, WIU has a solid FBS win, completely steamrolling newly-FBS/Sun Belt Coastal Carolina by 42 points. Like BGSU, it’s hard to say if CCU is any good…although they did at least win their opener against UMass…but they struggled in their other games. Still…42 point differential against a FBS team…any FBS team…is practically unheard of (it’s not the record, I believe that honor goes to Portland State over North Texas, but it’s probably up near the top of the list). The Leathernecks have done well by having a balanced offense that averages just under 460 ypg and having a ton of experience on the front lines on both sides of the ball. QB Sean McGuire is averaging 207 ypg with 5 TDs and 2 INTs as well as 15 ypg and 1 TD on the ground, and a TD reception against Coastal Carolina. Star RB Steve McShane returned in the last game following a first-game ankle injury and picked up 26 yards and a TD, but RB Max Norris was able to carry the workload in his stead, averaging 105.33 ypg w/ 2 TDs. The primary receiving target is WR Jaelon Acklin, who has just over 80 ypg and 2 TDs receiving, but is also a running threat, picking up 35 ypg and 2 TDs on the ground. The defense has been putting a lot of pressure on QBs and the DBs seem to be doing much better this year as opposed to last year with preventing long passes. One of the best LBs in the FCS this season is Macomb-native Brett Taylor, who is averaging 10 tackles a game, and he’s helped out by another solid LB in Quentin Moon. D-Lineman and occasional FB Khalen Saunders has 3.5 sacks so far and gets a lot of QB pressure. DB Justin Fitzpatrick leads the conference (2nd in the entire FCS) in INTs with a 1 per game average. Even the kicking game has improved over last season with transfer PK Sam Crosa going 4-4 on FGs (long of 41) and 17-17 on XPs.

South Dakota is treating this as something of a “revenge game” after letting Western come from behind to win in the last few minutes last year in Vermillion. Western has a personal stake in this game as well because USD’s coaching staff is mostly comprised of guys who were on WIU’s coaching staff two years ago (8 guys) and has another guy who played at Western in the ’80s and coached for Western in the early ’90s. Plus it’s Western’s Homecoming (literally in this case, since it’s their first home game of the season)…so there’s that. One other thing to look for is that Western has scored 45% of their points in the 3rd quarter this season (someone must be good at halftime pep talks), so if the game is close at halftime…it may not be by the start of the 4th quarter. Emotions will run high in this game, but I think that the experience of Western’s defense will figure out how to stop Streveler after a drive or two, and the versatility of the offense will be able to put together enough points to come away with the win. I’m guessing the Leathernecks by a TD.


#3 South Dakota State at #6 Youngstown State

Last Week:

  • Both teams spent last weekend on bye.

History: The Jackrabbits and Penguins have played each other 18 times with SDSU having the 12-6 advantage and winning the last two. Last year’s contest in Brookings was a 24-10 SDSU victory.

South Dakota State has gotten off to a hot start, going 3-0 so far and putting up 51 points on Duquesne and Drake (each game) although they did have an unexpectedly close win over Montana State, 31-27, two weeks ago. The offense gets the majority of their yards through the air, but not a huge majority (~59%). QB Taryn Christion is throwing for 230.7 ypg, has 7 TDs through the air and leads the team in rushing with 54.3 ypg. This does, however, feel like a bit of a slump compared to last year’s gaudy numbers though, with TE Dallas Goedert still catching a respectable 70 ypg and has 1 TD, but last year, if the ball was anywhere within the same time zone as hime, Goedert would get it. WR Jake Wieneke is only averaging 57.7 ypg, down significantly from his career average of over 100 ypg, although he does lead the conference with 5 receiving TDs so far. LB Christian Rozeboom is the big man on defense with 17 tackles and R-FR LB Logan Backhaus has 2 interceptions so far.

Youngstown State is 2-1 on the season, with a couple of expected big wins over Robert Morris and Central Connecticut State. They started the season with a close game with FBS Pitt, losing by 7 in OT. YSU isn’t generally a “big offense” kind of team. They’ve put up 492.3 ypg so far this season, although two of those were against NEC teams. It’s hard to see what we’ll see in terms of QB, with starter Hunter Wells being more productive (175.5 ypg, 2 TDs, 1 INT), but also being somewhat banged up. QB Nathan Mays is only at 86.7 ypg, but he can also run the ball fairly well, averaging just over 53 ypg and has 3 rushing TDs. Beyond that, RB Tevin McCaster is the lead rusher with 87.7 ypg and 3 TDs, and FR RB Christian Turner has 58 receiving ypg w/ 2 TDs. The defense is what really shines for the Penguins, with LB Lee Wright, S Kyle Hegedus, and FS Jalyn Powell all having over 20 tackles. DE Justus Reed has 4 sacks for 23 yards so far this season. They only have allowed 253 ypg and 12.3 ppg this season.

This one is kinda tricky, I think. At this point, it doesn’t really feel like either team has really proved anything yet. It’s possible they’re both phenomenally good teams, but it’s also possible they could both take a step back from last year’s successes. They’ve each had a couple of dominating wins over questionable competition…YSU had a strong performance against an FBS team, and SDSU had a lackluster performance against a Big Sky team. I’ve been going back and forth myself on this one and despite SDSU’s offensive firepower, I think it’ll be a somewhat low scoring affair. At this point, I’m leaning towards SDSU because I know the potential that they have with Goedert and Wieneke, even if they haven’t really lived up to expectations so far. YSU still has a pretty solid defense, but it’s down some after losing a couple of the best defensive players in the FCS after last season. I think I’ll go with SDSU by ~3 points in this one. I don’t see either team hitting 30 points though.


Northern Iowa at #25 Southern Illinois (Family Weekend)

Last Week:

  • Northern Iowa had their bye week
  • Southern Illinois lost at FBS Memphis, 44-31

History: The Panthers and Salukis have played each other 35 times going back to 1965. UNI holds the series lead 19-16, but SIU holds the lead for games in Carbondale, 12-5. The last 3 meetings have been won by UNI, so the last matchup SIU won was in 2013 in OT.

Northern Iowa just has not felt like their usual selves this season. They’re 1-2, with the only win being a home OT win against Cal Poly. The typically stout Panther defense is giving up 34.67 ppg and 448.3 offensive ypg. For comparison, over the previous 7 years (2010-2016), the Panther defense has averaged right around 20.25 ppg, with no season going over 22 ppg. LB Jared Farley is currently #2 in the FCS in total tackles with 12.3 per game, and they’ve got LB Duncan Ferch and LB Adam Reth who are also both in the top 5 in the conference in tackles. What that tells me, though, is that the offenses that they’re playing against are getting a lot of plays and that’s not generally a good thing. Farley and Ferch do have 1 interception each, as does DB Malcom Washington. On the offensive side of the ball, the Panthers just can’t seem to get anything going with their ground game, averaging 65 ypg on the turf. They are getting just over 290 ypg through the air though, so that helps. On the scoring front, they’re getting 30 ppg, which normally would be ok…but as I said…not the typical stout UNI defense. QB Eli Dunne is the one passing for those yards and he has 8 TDs but also 6 INTs. WR Daurice Fountain is pulling in 81 ypg and has 3 TDs.

Southern Illinois has been doing somewhat surprisingly well. They’re 2-1, had a solid win over longtime OOC rival SEMO, and actually played very well against FBS Memphis, being down by only 6 points until less than 2 minutes let in the game. They have a strong offense, putting up over 40 ppg and 406 ypg, with the majority of that in the passing game. QB Sam Straub is having a decent season with 229 ypg and 10 TDs while only throwing 2 INTs. WR Connor Iwema gets most of the catches, pulling in 70.33 ypg and 2 TDs, but WR Darell James has gotten the most TDs, with 4 through the air. They might prefer the passing game, but the running game is fairly solid too, led by RBs Daquan Isom (the small quick one) and Jonathan Mixon (the big strong one). They are also helped by having a pretty decent O-line, with Austin Olsen earning last week’s MVFC O-Lineman of the Week. As a unit, they’ve only allowed 1 sack all season. The Saluki defense, which was a serious issue last year, seems to have improved a bit, having given up only 21.33 ppg so far this season. Last week against Memphis, a team that put up 560 yards, 6 TDs, and 48 points against then AP #25 ranked UCLA, the Salukis held the Tigers to 96 fewer yards, 2 fewer TDs, and 4 fewer total points. S Ryan Neal leads the team in tackles with 22 and has 1 INT, and S Jeremy Chinn has 2 interceptions and 2 pass breakups to go along with 13 tackles.

So we’ve got a UNI team that isn’t playing as well as they have in the past against a SIU team that seems to be playing better than expected. I think that UNI’s defense will have trouble with the SIU passing game, but with SIU’s defensive strength located in their backfield, they’ll handle UNI’s receivers fairly well. The game is in Carbondale, it’s Family Weekend, and I think the Salukis will come away with a close win in this one. SIU by 6 points.


Indiana State at #10 Illinois State (CommUniversity)

Last Week:

  • Indiana State had their bye week.
  • Illinois State won at Missouri State, 34-9

History: The Redbirds have played the Sycamores 68 times going back to 1936. ILSU has the series lead, 36-30-2. Last season, INSU won a close game by 3, although the Redbirds have won the 5 before that. In the previous 10 seasons, ILSU has an 8-2 record against INSU.

Illinois State is another of the MVFC teams that are off to a hot start, sitting on a 3-0 record with wins over Butler, Eastern Illinois, and last week against Missouri State. The Redbirds are putting up 478 ypg with a fairly balanced gameplan. QB Jake Kolbe has been throwing for 241.3 ypg and 4 TDs with 1 INT. Most of the scoring is done with the ground game, with RB James Robinson picking up just under 70 ypg and 4 TDs and RB Markel Smith getting just over 71 ypg and 3 TDs. WR Spencer Schnell is the primary receiver with 73.3 ypg, although WR Christian Gibbs has gotten 2 TD receptions to go along with 51.7 ypg. On the defensive side of the ball, ILSU is holding teams to only 156.3 offensive ypg, with about 2/3 of that coming from passes. LB Tyree Horton leads the team with 21 tackles including 5 for loss (2 sacks) and a forced fumble. DE Adam Conley is also getting quite a bit of pressure behind the line, with 4 tackles for loss including 2 sacks and a blocked kick. S Mitchell Brees is the one to watch out for when throwing the ball, with 2 INTs returned for 35 yards.

Indiana State is in pretty much the complete opposite boat, although I will say they have played a much tougher schedule for the most part, than the Redbirds. They had a close last-minute loss to Eastern Illinois, got run over by a top-25-ranked FBS Tennessee team, and then very narrowly lost a close one (that they should have won) against a highly ranked Liberty team that has begun process of moving to the FBS. So, they haven’t played too poorly in some of their games, but they’re still 0-3 on the season. The Sycamores feature a heavily pass-based offense, with just under 2/3 of their yardage coming through the air. QB Cade Sparks is averaging 190 ypg and has 3 TDs and 1 INT so far this season. Two receivers, WR Bob Pugh and TE Jacquet McClendon, are the primary targets with 102 and 70 ypg respectively and each with 2 TDs. RB LeMonte Booker handles most of the ground game, with 108.33 ypg (including a 154 yard performance against Eastern Illinois) and 2 TDs. The biggest issue for INSU is that the defense has been giving up just over 35 ppg so far and are pretty weak against the pass. LB Jonas Griffith has 31 total tackles this season, with 2 for loss, and DT Rex Mosley gets pressure with 2 sacks, 1 forced fumble and recovery, and 2 pass breakups. PK Jerry Nunez, who was particularly impressive last season as a true freshman, appears to have (so far, at least) taken a step back from his 7-7 start last year and has only made 4 of his first 7 this year, although 2 of those 4 were 43-yard FGs.

We’ve got a 3-0 team going against an 0-3 team. Sounds like it should be a blowout, but I think that the Redbirds maybe aren’t quite as good as their record suggests, while the Sycamores are a bit better than their record suggests. Now, I don’t think that means that INSU is going to win this one, I’m just saying I think it’ll be a little closer than many would initially think. ILSU still has a lot more talent than INSU and I think they’ll probably come away with about a 10 point victory.

The FCS Wedge – 2017-0920 – WEEK 5 PREVIEW

These two games are probably the biggest of a slate of impressive matchups this week. I’m not gonna spoil these two, listen to what Kris & Lance have for these two donnybrooks.

  • Sam Houston State @ Central Arkansas
  • South Dakota State @ Youngstown State

The rest of the impressive slate goes like this:

South Dakota @ Western Illinois

Not to diminish how good the Yotes are playing but their wins against Bowling Green and North Dakota aren’t looking quite as good considering how those two have played so far. The Leathernecks are returning home 3-0 from a 3 game road trip and impressive wins against Coastal Carolina and NAU. They have an efficient QB in McGuire, a stable of capable running backs, and stingy D. Chris Steveler will need to have a massive game for South Dakota to get the road win.

Weber State @ Montana State

I’m very impressed with both of these teams. Weber leads the Big Sky in both scoring offense and scoring defense and they are only giving up 89 yards/game on the ground. Montana State is a good running team and with Chris Murray becoming more of a threat through the air, it’s not as simple as just stacking the box. Weber may be a slight favorite, but I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see the Bobcats pull this one off.

Albany @ Elon

Early surprise showdown in the CAA. Albany played well last year but Elon is truly coming out of nowhere. The Phoenix have a young QB in Davis Cheek who’s still learning the game, but he has enough talent to beat Kyle Lauletta on the road last week in Richmond.

The Citadel @ Samford

Devlin Hodges can wing it for Samford but pass defense has been a strength for the Citadel. Samford has also had difficulty stopping the run and don’t see that getting fixed here.

The FCS Wedge – 2017-0927 – WEEK 4 REVIEW

In this week’s review the guys look over an interesting trend around the country. Teams that have been on the cusp or at the bottom of leagues stepping forward to claim their respect from the normal top dogs of various conferences.

New contenders stepping forward.

Albany – Lacking offense

Montana State – Playmakers at multiple positions with Bignell, Herbert, and Murray passing it efficiently.

Elon – As good a resume as most in FCS at this point. Defense needs to get better against the pass.

Western Carolina – Tyrie Adams…legit dual threat QB. Is the defense good enough?

Sacramento State – Nearly knocked off Weber State and followed it up with a slaughter of ranked Southern Utah. Sports a dual threat quarterback who can run and pass just as well as Chris Murray.

South Dakota – Pretty well rounded team in the MVFC.

Stony Brook – 3-1 with @ W&M and Delaware the next two weeks, could easily be 5-1 heading into the UNH game.

UTM – could see them going on a roll through the OVC and 9-1 heading into their home matchup with JSU the 2nd to last game of the season.

Then it is a recap of the AGS Poll for the week and a bit deeper look at the games some of the aforementioned teams played in last week.

Give em’ a listen.