AGS Top 25 – How They Fared – Week 1, 2021

Well, it was a bit of a wild weekend to begin the Fall 2021 FCS football campaign. Within the AGS Preseason Top 25, only 9 teams lost, with 8 teams falling to FBS opponents and the remaining FCS matchup being the #18 team (Chattanooga) losing to the #23 team (Austin Peay).

Of the 8 losses to FBS opponents, #19t Northern Iowa and #19t Missouri State had strong showings against Big 12 teams (#7 Iowa State and Oklahoma State, respectively), losing by only a touchdown each. #6 Weber State was the only other loss against a ranked P5 school (#24 Utah). The remaining losses were against G5 opponents.

Despite this, there were also 4 wins against FBS opponents for AGS Top 25 teams, and another 2 wins from teams in the top 40. Perhaps the stunner of the evening was #8 Montana over the #20 FBS team (Washington). #2 South Dakota State, #11 Eastern Washington, and #25 UC Davis also scored victories over G5 FBS opponents. #31 East Tennessee State handily defeated a P5 opponent, while #33 Holy Cross was also victorious. It was a very good showing for the FCS vs. FBS, especially for the Big Sky and Missouri Valley.

Any surprises this week were for the teams outside the top 25 looking in (see above). Of additional note were losses by #27 North Carolina A&T and #35 Alcorn State. Otherwise, only two other teams (#37 Albany and #36 Davidson) ranked #26-40 lost, and both losses were to AGS Top 25 teams (#4 North Dakota State and #17 Virginia Military Institute).

 

Here is a link to the discussion on AGS as well.

https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?278897-AGS-Top-25-How-They-Fared-Week-1-Fall-2021

Credit for the hard work here go to the poster Preferred Walk-On on AGS.

AGS Poll: Preseason 2021 Top 25 Results

Let’s try this again shall we. It’s been a year and a day since the last AGS Poll was released with the full complement of teams eligible. That was just a few days before the majority of FCS teams decided to move their seasons to the spring. We did keep voting on the top 25 teams in the spring for those that were playing but it feels like we’re *knock on wood* heading towards more of a normal fall season so with it comes the return of the AGS Poll.

So without further ado let’s get to the fall 2021 preseason AGS Top 25. We lead off with the defending national champion Sam Houston taking the top spot garnering 38 of 46 first place votes which was an 18 spot rise from their preseason ranking in fall 2020. The were followed by mainstays South Dakota State, James Madison, and North Dakota State (all of whom beaten by Sam Houston in the spring playoffs) at #2 through #4. The top 5 was rounded out by Delaware who shot up 31 spots from their 2020 preseason ranking following their impressive run to the semifinals in the spring.

Since it has been a year since our last full poll release there was plenty of movement from the 2020 preseason poll. The moves were headlined by Sam Houston and Delaware as previously highlighted but North Dakota also made a 15 spot rise to #7 after sharing the MVFC title in the spring. Southern Illinois and Jacksonville State each moved up 11 spots to #9 and #12 respectively after each bowed out in the quarterfinals this past spring. Monmouth and Chattanooga both moved into the top 25 after strong springs coming in at #10 and #18, respectively. New additions to the top 25 to come from completely out of the poll in preseason 2020 were VMI (#17), Missouri State (T-#19), Murray State (#21), and Richmond (#22) after some very surprisingly strong springs from all.

Teams moving in the opposite direction from fall 2020 were headlined by Northern Iowa who fell 16 spots into a tie at #19. Austin Peay and Nicholls each dropped 11 spots to #23 and #24, respectively, after stumbling in the spring. Kennesaw State fell out of the top 25 for the first time since late 2017 snapping a streak of 42 consecutive polls in the AGS Top 25. Sacramento State, Albany, Illinois State, Southeast Missouri State, Furman, Wofford, and The Citadel all dropped out of the top 25 after appearing in the 2020 preseason top 25.

The MVFC led the way placing 6 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the Big Sky with 5, the CAA with 4, the AQ7 (Atlantic Sun and WAC) with 3, and the OVC, SOCON, and Southland with 2 teams each in the top 25. In all 9 conferences (counting the ASUN and WAC as two conferences) were represented in the top 25.

Full results below (the Ch1 column is the change from the 2020 preseason poll and the Ch2 column is the change from the final 2021 spring poll):

Rank Ch1 Ch2 Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 18 Sam Houston State Bearkats 1137 38
2 2 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1080 4
3 -1 James Madison Dukes 1054 4
4 -3 1 North Dakota State Bison 1019
5 31 -1 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 920
6 -1 3 Weber State Wildcats 871
7 15 -1 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 743
8 -2 27 Montana Grizzlies 718
9 11 -2 Southern Illinois Salukis 715
10 16 1 Monmouth Hawks 615
11 6 1 Eastern Washington Eagles 614
12 11 -4 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 610
13 -4 NR Central Arkansas Bears 569
14 -7 NR Montana State Bobcats 501
15 1 1 Southeastern Louisiana Lions 458
16 -2 -1 Villanova Wildcats 433
17 NR -7 Virginia Military Institute Keydets 410
18 13 18 Chattanooga Mocs 360
19T NR -6 Missouri State Bears 198
19T -16 10 Northern Iowa Panthers 198
21 NR -1 Murray State Racers 184
22 NR -5 Richmond Spiders 158
23 -11 Austin Peay Governors 156
24 -11 1 Nicholls State Colonels 154
25 5 -11 UC Davis Aggies 150
ORV:
26 -16 -8 Kennesaw State Owls 149
27 5 NR North Carolina A&T Aggies 124
28 NR -2 Samford Bulldogs 69
29 NR -10 Sacred Heart Pioneers 65
30 -19 NR Sac State Hornets 62
31 NR -7 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 59
32 -4 NR New Hampshire Wildcats 50
33T NR -12 Rhode Island Rams 49
33T NR -11 Holy Cross Crusaders 49
35 NR NR Alcorn State Braves 30
36 NR -9 Davidson Wildcats 27
37T -13 NR Albany Great Danes 22
37T -29 NR Illinois State Redbirds 22
37T NR NR Princeton Tigers 22
40 -19 NR Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 21

Dropped out of the poll:
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Elon Phoenix
Furman Paladins
McNeese State Cowboys
San Diego Torreros
South Dakota Coyotes
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
The Citadel Bulldogs
Towson Tigers
Wofford Terriers
Youngstown State Penguins

Join the discussion here: https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?276793-AGS-Poll-Results-Preseason-Poll-2021

AGS Poll: Preseason 2020 Top 25 Results

Even with the uncertainty still surrounding the 2020 college football season the AGS Poll presses on and has produced its first set of rankings of the 2020 season. The top of the first 2020 poll looks a lot like most of the 2019 polls did with three-time defending national champion North Dakota State at #1 pulling in all but one first place vote and defending national runner-up James Madison right behind them at #2. Northern Iowa trended up to #3 for their highest AGS Poll ranking since the 2016 preseason. South Dakota State came in at #4 putting 3 of the top 4 teams from MVFC. Weber State rounded out the top 5 at #5.

The teams the AGS community see making the biggest jump heading into the 2020 season are headlined by Eastern Washington who moved up 12 spots from their final 2019 ranking up to #17 in the preseason poll. Southern Illinois also made a 7 spot jump up to #20 as they seem poised to get back into the playoff conversation again. Sam Houston State came from completely out of the final 2019 poll up to #19 in the preseason poll. Other teams pulling off that same feat were Jacksonville State who was listed at #23 and The Citadel who rounded it out at #25.

As for teams the voters see going in the opposite direction in 2020 Albany fell 7 spots from the final 2019 poll to #24 in the preseason 2020 poll. Monmouth and Central Connecticut State dropped out of the top 25 after surprisingly successful 2019 campaigns. North Carolina A&T and San Diego both narrowly missed staying in the top 25 and Dartmouth fell completely out of the poll after finishing 2019 in the top 25.

In terms of conference representation the MVFC led the way placing 6 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the Big Sky with 5, the Southland with 4, and the CAA, OVC, and SOCON with 3 each. Only 7 conferences were represented in the top 25 which is somewhat low compared to previous seasons.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 1423 56
2 James Madison Dukes 1259
3 3 Northern Iowa Panthers 1210
4 5 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1183
5 -2 Weber State Wildcats 1143
6 -1 Montana Grizzlies 1115 1
7 -3 Montana State Bobcats 1095
8 -1 Illinois State Redbirds 997
9 3 Central Arkansas Bears 865
10 3 Kennesaw State Owls 752
11 -1 Sac State Hornets 745
12 -4 Austin Peay Governors 724
13 -2 Nicholls State Colonels 641
14 2 Villanova Wildcats 549
15 5 Furman Paladins 501
16 -2 Southeastern Louisiana Lions 497
17 12 Eastern Washington Eagles 452
18 Wofford Terriers 446
19 NR Sam Houston State Bearkats 372
20 7 Southern Illinois Salukis 332
21 -2 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 323
22 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 215
23 NR Jacksonville State Gamecocks 196
24 -7 Albany Great Danes 182
25 NR The Citadel Bulldogs 164
ORV:
26T -11 Monmouth Hawks 103
26T NR Elon Phoenix 103
28 5 New Hampshire Wildcats 101
29 -5 San Diego Torreros 100
30 7 UC Davis Aggies 87
31 6 Chattanooga Mocs 79
32 -7 North Carolina A&T Aggies 67
33 1 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 59
34 -13 Central Connecticut State Blue Devils 54
35 NR Youngstown State Penguins 41
36T NR Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 35
36T 4 McNeese State Cowboys 35
36T NR South Dakota Coyotes 35
39 -9 Towson Tigers 28
40 NR Eastern Kentucky Colonels 22

Dropped out of the poll:
Alcorn State Braves
Dartmouth Big Green
Florida A&M Rattlers
Harvard Crimson
Holy Cross Crusaders
Princeton Tigers
South Carolina State Bulldogs
Yale Bulldogs

Join the discussion here: https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?255025-AGS-Poll-Results-WEEK-0-POLL-2020-SEASON

AGS Poll: Final 2019 Top 25 Results

The 2019 FCS season is in the books and for the 2nd straight year North Dakota State went wire-to-wire at the top of the AGS Poll as they were the unanimous #1 selection in the final 2019 poll garnering all 69 first place votes after winning their record 8th FCS national title. They were followed by national number up James Madison at #2, a position they held in every AGS Poll release this year except for the preseason poll (where they were #3). Semifinalists Weber State and Montana State took the #3 and #4 spots, respectively, and Montana rounded out the top 5 at #5.

The teams on the rise since our Selection Sunday poll release were headlined by Illinois State and Austin Peay who used a surprising runs to the quarterfinals to move up 6 spots each to #7 and #8, respectively. Southland rivals Nicholls and Southeastern Louisiana each moved up 8 spots to #11 and #14, respectively, after picking up first round playoff wins. Kennesaw State was the biggest riser shooting up 10 spots to #13 after defeating SOCON champ Wofford and giving Big Sky champ Weber State all they could handle. San Diego became the first Pioneer League team in the AGS Top 25 this year moving up 3 spot to #24. Celebration Bowl champion North Carolina A&T also moved into the top 25 rising 3 spots to #25.

As for teams going in the opposite direction since Selection Sunday Sacramento State dropped 7 spots to #10 after being upset by Austin Peay in their first playoff game. Villanova and Wofford each fell 8 spots to #16 and #18 respectively after taking first round playoff losses. Southeast Missouri State took a 7 spot hit down to #19 after they dropped their playoff opener to Illinois State and Central Connecticut State also dropped 6 spots to #21 after losing their first round playoff game to Albany. Yale and Southern Illinois dropped out of the top 25 (but were the top 2 teams in the ORV).

In terms of conference representation the MVFC and Big Sky led the way placing 4 teams each into the top 25. They were followed by the CAA and Southland who each had 3 and the OVC and SOCON who each had 2 teams in the top 25. A season high 11 conferences (including FCS Independents) were represented in the top 25.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 1725 69
2 James Madison Dukes 1656
3 1 Weber State Wildcats 1571
4 1 Montana State Bobcats 1488
5 2 Montana Grizzlies 1387
6 Northern Iowa Panthers 1360
7 6 Illinois State Redbirds 1337
8 6 Austin Peay Governors 1209
9 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1089
10 -7 Sac State Hornets 1077
11 8 Nicholls State Colonels 902
12 -1 Central Arkansas Bears 852
13 10 Kennesaw State Owls 839
14 8 Southeastern Louisiana Lions 747
15 1 Monmouth Hawks 728
16 -8 Villanova Wildcats 705
17 3 Albany Great Danes 682
18 -8 Wofford Terriers 540
19 -7 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 476
20 -3 Furman Paladins 292
21 -6 Central Connecticut State Blue Devils 286
22 -4 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 276
23 -2 Dartmouth Big Green 268
24 3 San Diego Torreros 192
25 3 North Carolina A&T Aggies 183
ORV:
26 -1 Yale Bulldogs 179
27 -3 Southern Illinois Salukis 146
28 -2 Florida A&M Rattlers 69
29 2 Eastern Washington Eagles 46
30 Towson Tigers 34
31 NR Holy Cross Crusaders 29
32 -3 South Carolina State Bulldogs 24
33 New Hampshire Wildcats 11
34 -2 Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 6
35 -1 Princeton Tigers 5
36 NR Alcorn State Braves 3
37T -1 Chattanooga Mocs 2
37T NR Harvard Crimson 2
37T NR UC Davis Aggies 2
40 -2 McNeese State Cowboys 1

Most significant win: North Dakota State Bison
Most significant loss: James Madison Dukes

Dropped out of the poll:
Sam Houston State Bearkats
Southern Jaguars

Join the discussion here: https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?244103-AGS-Poll-Results-FINAL-2019-SEASON

The FCS Wedge – 2020-0108 – NC SHOW

1) Season Recap

Best Surprise Sacramento State

Biggest Disappointment Maine and Eastern Washington

Best Offensive player (not among Payton finalists)

Best Defensive player (not among Buchanan finalists)

2.) A couple of questions…

Just in the past 5 seasons, we’ve seen Charleston Southern, Portland State, Southern Utah, Incarnate Word, Lamar, Sacramento State, Austin Peay, UC-Davis, Maine, William & Mary, Indiana State, South Dakota, McNeese State, Colgate, North Dakota, East Tennessee State and I’m sure a few more jump from relative obscurity to basically one year appearances as contenders. Who might be poised to surprise us all next season? Surely this run of unexpected madness cannot abruptly end.

3.) National Championship game preview
North Dakota State vs. James Madison

2020-0108 – NC SHOW

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2020 FCS Championship Game Preview

The FCS regular season has come to a conclusion and we’re now looking forward to the FCS championship game. North Dakota State will be making their third straight appearance in the game, and eighth appearance in the last nine years. They will be facing off against James Madison. James Madison is making their third appearance in the last four years.

The Bison have turned in one of the most impressive decades of football in FCS history. NDSU has missed two title games since 2010. North Dakota State is led by first year head coach Matt Entz. Entz was promoted into the job after Chris Klieman left for a job at Kansas State. James Madison is led by first year head coach Curt Cignetti. Cignetti was previously the head coach at Elon and Indiana University of Pennsylvania. Cignetti came to James Madison after coach Mike Houston left for East Carolina.

North Dakota State entered the FCS playoffs as the overall number one seed. James Madison entered the playoffs as the overall number two seed. The Bison defeated Nicholls State, MVFC foe Illinois State, and Montana State on their way to the title game. James Madison arrived at the title game after defeating Monmouth, Northern Iowa, and Weber State. Generally speaking the FCS playoff bracket played out mostly predictable, with the exception of #4 Sacramento State and #8 Central Arkansas taking second round losses to unseeded teams.

North Dakota State Bison (15-0, 8-0)
Fargo, North Dakota
Missouri Valley Football Conference
Head Coach: Matt Entz (15-0, First season at NDSU)

Player Award Winners
QB Trey Lance, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, MVFC All-Conference, MVFC Offensive Player of the Year
OL Dillon Radunz, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, MVFC All-Conference
DL Derrek Tuszka, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, MVFC All-Conference, MVFC Defensive Player of the Year
LB Jabril Cox, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, MVFC All-Conference
TE Ben Ellefson, FCS Stats All-American, MVFC All-Conference
OL Zack Johnson, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, MVFC All-Conference
OL Cordell Volson, MVFC All-Conference
DB James Hendricks, MVFC All-Conference
WR Christian Watson, MVFC All-Conference
DB Marquise Bridges, MVFC All-Conference
DB Josh Hayes, MVFC All-Conference

Schedule

Date Opponent Result
9-31-19 Butler 57-10
9-7-19 North Dakota 38-7
9-14-19 At Delaware 47-22
9-21-19 UC Davis 27-16
10-5-19 At Illinois State 37-3
10-12-19 Northern Iowa 46-14
10-19-19 Missouri State 22-0
10-26-19 At South Dakota State 23-16
11-2-19 At Youngstown State 56-17
11-9-19 Western Illinois 57-21
11-16-19 South Dakota 49-14
11-23-19 At Southern Illinois 21-7
12-7-19 Nicholls State (FCS 2nd Round) 37-13
12-14-19 Illinois State (FCS Quarters) 9-3
12-21-19 Montana State (FCS Semis) 42-14

 

NDSU Key Players
QB Trey Lance – 186/277 for 2714 yards, 28 TD, 0 INT, 1002 yards rushing, 13 TD
RB Ty Brooks – 130 att, 960 yards, 5 TD
RB Adam Cofield – 160 att, 806 yards, 11 TD
WR Christian Watson, 34 rec, 732 yards, 6 TD
TE Ben Ellefson, 14 rec, 184 yards, 5 TD
LB Jabril Cox – 84 tackles, 8.5 TFL, 4.5 sacks, 1 INT
S Michael Tutsie – 98 tackles, 3.5 TFL, 7 INT
DL Derrek Tuszka – 42 tackles, 17.5 TFL, 12.5 sacks

North Dakota State generally had a favorable schedule throughout the year. The Bison played at home for ten of their fifteen games. Two of those games were against teams who made the FCS playoffs, and three of the five having winning records. The Bison, however, dominated in nearly every game they played. The only real tough games the Bison played this season was their early season match-up with UC-Davis, their annual tussle with South Dakota State, and a 9-3 win over Illinois State in the quarterfinals. The win over Illinois State was a defensive slug fest and had it not been for a called back touchdown on a defensive turnover, that came could have gone a different direction.

North Dakota State has generally followed the same recipe as they have for the last ten years. Be strong at running the football and controlling the clock. They will force teams to play their brand of football and most teams are not as good at playing that brand as NDSU is. The NDSU offensive line is obviously a strength again this season, with two of them gaining all-American honors and a third getting all-conference honors.

One of the biggest surprises for most of people, maybe not the NDSU faithful, was the emergence of freshman quarterback Trey Lance. Lance showed a lot of promise in his inaugural season, accounting for over 3700 yards of total offense and 41 touchdowns. Lance is also a finalist for the Doak Walker award that will be handed out prior to the championship game. Lance could very easily follow in the footsteps of Brock Jensen, Carson Wentz, and Easton Stick in a line of above average quarterbacks that also wear green and gold.

On defense it’s more of the same for North Dakota State. The Bison are still very talented and very hard hitting on that side of the football. Jabril Cox had a terrific season from the linebacker position. Derrek Tuszka piled up an eye opening 12.5 sacks on the season. Needless to say, the Bison can easily live in your backfield if your offensive line isn’t up to snuff. The only team better at defense in terms of total defense, is the team they are playing in Frisco.

 

James Madison Dukes (14-1, 8-0)
Harrisonburg, Virginia
Colonial Athletic Association
Head Coach: Curt Cignetti (81-27, First season at JMU)

Player Award Winners
OL Liam Fornadel, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, CAA All-Conference
DL Ron’Dell Carter, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, CAA All-Conference, CAA Defensive Player of the Year
DL John Daka, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, CAA All-Conference
LB Dimitri Holloway, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, CAA All-Conference
DB Adam Smith, FCS Stats All-American, AP All-American, CAA All-Conference
K Ethan Ratke, AP All-American, CAA All-Conference
QB Ben DiNucci, CAA All-Conference, CAA Offensive Player of the Year
RB Percy Agyei-Obese, CAA All-Conference
OL Mac Patrick, CAA All-Conference
S/PR D’Angelo Amos, CAA All-Conference
WR Brandon Polk, CAA All-Conference
TE Dylan Stapleton, CAA All-Conference
DB Rashad Robinson, CAA All-Conference
RB Jawon Hamilton, CAA All-Conference
OL Truvell Wilson, CAA All-Conference
DL Mike Greene, CAA All-Conference
LB Landan Word, CAA All-Conference

Schedule

Date Opponent Result
9-31-19 At West Virginia 13-20
9-7-19 Saint Francis (PA) 44-7
9-14-19 Morgan State 63-12
9-21-19 At Chattanooga 37-14
9-28-19 At Elon 45-10
10-5-19 At Stony Brook 45-38
10-12-19 Villanova 38-24
10-19-19 At William and Mary 38-10
10-26-19 Towson 27-10
11-9-19 New Hampshire 54-16
11-16-19 Richmond 48-6
11-23-19 At Rhode Island 55-21
12-7-19 Monmouth (FCS 2nd Round) 66-21
12-14-19 Northern Iowa (FCS Quarters) 17-0
12-21-19 Weber State (FCS Semis) 30-14

 

JMU Key Players
QB Ben DiNucci – 246/345 for 3237 yards, 27 TD, 5 INT, 721 yards rushing, 7 TD
RB Percy Agyei-Obese – 241 att, 1163 yards, 19 TD
RB Jawon Hamilton – 160 att, 913 yards, 5 TD
WR Brandon Polk – 73 rec, 1173 yards, 11 TD
WR Riley Stapleton – 55 rec, 688 yards, 8 TD
LB Dimitri Holloway – 115 tackles, 10.5 TFL, 2 sacks
DL John Daka – 59 tackles, 26.5 TFL, 16.5 sacks
DL Ron’Dell Carter – 59 tackles, 25.5 TFL, 11.5 sacks

James Madison is making yet another appearance in the FCS championship game. They will be seeking their first title since 2016 when they defeated Youngstown State 28-14. The only blemish on the record of the Dukes this season was a first game loss at West Virginia. The Dukes managed only two field goals in the second half after taking a lead to the locker room at halftime. A Ben DiNucci interception led to an easy Mountaineer score which gave them the lead that would hold for the game. After that game the Dukes wouldn’t play another close game, unless you count a 17-0 shutout of Northern Iowa in the quarterfinals a close game. James Madison dominated every team they played in the playoffs.

James Madison follows a similar recipe as NDSU in the offensive department. The Dukes are very talented on the offensive line and has allowed quarterback Ben DiNucci and running backs Percy Agyei-Obese and Jawon Hamilton to carry the ball for nearly 2800 yards. DiNucci isn’t a slouch behind center, however, throwing for over 3000 yards. DiNucci came to the Dukes from Pittsburgh, where he palyed parts of two seasons for the Panthers before transferring to James Madison. Brandon Polk was the target of a third of those passing yards from DiNucci and hauled in 11 touchdowns.

Defensively the Dukes have playmakers in Dimitri Holloway, John Daka, and Ron’Dell Carter. Those three Dukes combined for 62.5 tackles for loss and 30 sacks. The defensive front of James Madison should provide the Bison offensive line with a good test. This match-up could end up being a smash mouth football lover’s dream in the trenches.

 

Key Statistics

Category North Dakota State James Madison
Sagarin Ranking 34 49
Massey Index 1 2
Total Offense 477.3 472.5
Total Defense 269.9 264.7
Passing Yards Per Game 189.3 224.1
Rushing Yards Per Game 288.0 248.3
Def. Rushing Yards Per Game 135.6 61.1
Def. Passing Yards Per Game 134.3 203.6
Turnover Margin +16 +11
Third Down Conversions 50% 54%
Red Zone Offense 83.9% 92.4%
Red Zone Defense 72.4% 71.9%
Penalty Yards Per Game 54.5 51.2

 

Final Thoughts

This is not the first time we’ve seen this match-up in a championship game, and the way the world is trending it may not be the last either. With both of these coaches being first year coaches at their respective school they both could sustain the current dynasties they have going. The last game was a 17-13 tussle in 2018 which featured a defensive battle that resulted in their being no scores after James Madison ran a touchdown in from one yard out with 9:26 left in the third quarter. You can more than likely expect a similar result in this game.

The defenses in this game are both terrific. Both are very good against the rush, both teams have taken away the football far more than they’ve given it away, and both are good in the defensive red zone. I don’t know if we’ll see a score this low in the game. With all of the talk of how powerful the defenses in this game are, the offenses are not exactly slackers either. Both teams are more than capable of running the football. James Madison is probably a little more skilled at throwing the football, but the Bison don’t give up a whole lot of passing yards.

For the gambling degenerates out there VegasInsider.com has (at the time of this writing) James Madison favored by -1.5 with an over/under of 51. If you happen to live near Las Vegas, this is on the books at the Caesar’s Palace sports book.

My prediction for this game will be a defensive slugfest, we’re going to hit the under posted by Vegas, and we’re going to see a new national champion this year. James Madison is a very well rounded team. They may not be as battle tested as the Bison are, but it feels like it’s time for a new champion to be crowned in FCS. It also wouldn’t surprise me to see these two playing again in Frisco in 2021.

This game will be played in Frisco, Texas at Toyota Stadium. The game will kick off at 12pm ET on January 11th and be aired on ABC. Tickets are still available through VividSeats at the time of this writing.

The FCS Wedge – 2019-1219 – Rd4 PREVIEW

1.) Games of the week/previews.

Montana State @ North Dakota State

Weber State @ James Madison

2.) Three Big Questions

Who wins the Walter Payton Award?

Who wins the Buck Buchanan Award?

Do you open gifts on Christmas Eve?

2019-1219 – Rd4 PREVIEW

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The FCS Wedge – 2019-1218 – Rd3 REVIEW

1) The Big Story
Defensive Snoozefest

North Dakota State 9 Illinois State 3

James Madison 17 Northern Iowa 0

Montana State 24 Austin Peay 10

Weber State 17 Montana 10

2.) A couple of questions…

Is defense boring?

What’s happened to FCS passing attacks?

AGS Playoff pick’em update.

2019-1218 – Rd3 REVIEW

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The FCS Wedge – 2019-1212 – Rd3 PREVIEW

1.) Games of the week/previews

Northern Iowa @ James Madison ESPN2

Montana @ Weber State ESPN2

Austin Peay @ Montana State ESPN3

Illinois State @ North Dakota State ESPN

2.) Three Big Questions

-Attendance is down all over. What’s up?

2019-1205 – Rd2 PREVIEW

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The FCS Wedge – 2019-1211 – Rd2 REVIEW

1) The Big Story
Three road upsets

Northern Iowa 13 South Dakota State 10

Illinois State 24 Central Arkansas 14

Austin Peay 42 Sacramento State 28

Recaps

James Madison 66 Monmouth 21

Montana 73 Southeast Louisiana 28

Montana State 47 Albany 21

Weber State 26 Kennesaw State 20

North Dakota State 37 Nicholls State 13

2.) A couple of questions…

AGS Playoff pick’em update

If we reseeded the playoffs from this point, how would you rank the teams 1-8?

Who had the worst performance in round 2?

2019-1211 – Rd2 REVIEW

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