The FCS Wedge – 2018-1016 – Wk7 REVIEW

Lance & Kris start off the Week 7 review by going over the games listed below.

North Dakota State 34 Western Illinois 7

Weber State 14 Eastern Washington 6

Delaware 28 Elon 16

Furman 34 Wofford 14

UC Davis 44 Idaho State 37 OT

Maine 38 Rhode Island 36

A discussion on the movements in the AGS Poll this week is up next.

Then the boys go into some topics about what we know or don’t know at this point in the season.

The MVFC is once again king but is it as deep?

Are UC Davis and Idaho State the two best teams in the Big Sky?

Is the SOCON a one bid league right now?

North Dakota is the most underrated team in FCS but Idaho State is right up there with them.

Is he SLC also a one bid league?

MVFC Week 7 In Review

MVFC LogoApologies in advance, but this review is going to be a bit shorter than my usual ones. Apparently sitting outside at Hanson Field watching football for 3 hours in 45-degree weather is not conducive to great health, so I’ll just do a quick hit of the highlights.

The Scores

Missouri State – 29
Indiana State – 26

Southern Illinois – 3
Illinois State – 51

Youngstown State – 7
South Dakota State – 36

North Dakota State – 34
Western Illinois – 7

Northern Iowa – 42
South Dakota – 28

Missouri State at Indiana State

Missouri State pulled ahead early in this game with 3 TDs in the first half, two on runs by MSU RB Donovan Daniels. INSU RB Ja’Quan Keys helped keep the Sycamores in this game though, with a couple of rushing TDs in the second half (to go along with 1 in the first). A FG by INSU PK Jerry Nunez gave Indiana State a 5 point lead, but on essentially the final drive of the game, MSU took advantage of an ISU holding penalty to convert on 4th and 5 and extend the drive. Then, with 16 seconds left in the game, on 4th and goal, MSU QB Peyton Huslig hit WR Lorenzo Thomas on a 4-yard TD pass. The Bears would go for 2, fail on a pass attempt, but were given a second chance to try after a pass interference penalty on the Sycamores. They’d get the extra 2 on a run by RB Jeremiah Wilson to give Missouri State the 3-point win.

MSU QB Peyton Huslig had 169 yards and 1 TD passing and 34 yards rushing. RB Donovan Daniels had 62 rushing yards including 2 TDs. LB Angelo Garbutt and S Titus Wall each had 11 tackles in the game, with Garbutt also getting 1 sack. INSU RB Ja’Quan Keys had a great performance, running for 141 yards and 3 TDs. LB Jonas Griffith finished the game with 17 tackles (6 solo) and Punter Travis Reiner averaged 50 yards per punt on 3 punts.

Missouri State is now 4-2 overall…the first time the Bears have had a 4-2 record since October 2007 and are 2-1 in the MVFC. They welcome Western Illinois to Springfield, MO next weekend. Indiana State is 2-4 with an 0-3 MVFC record. They’ll head over to Carbondale, IL to play Southern Illinois.

Southern Illinois at Illinois State

I knew Illinois State’s defense was good, but this was even more of an impressive performance than I expected. SIU was held scoreless in the first half, while ISU put up 4 TDs and a FG (mostly in the 2nd quarter) to take a 31-0 halftime lead. Outside of a 26-yard SIU FG, it was more of the same in the second half, with the Redbirds continuing to pull ahead en route to a 51-3 victory.

The points were pretty well spread around the offense for ILSU, with QB Brady Davis throwing 4 TD passes to 4 different receivers: WRs Andrew Edgar, Spencer Schnell, and Braxton Haley, and TE Robert Gillum. Davis was awarded the MVFC Newcomer of the Week award for his 4-TD performance. The other 3 TDs were by 3 different runners: RB James Robinson with 202 yards and 1 TD rushing, RB Markel Smith with 143 yards and 1 TD, and backup QB Jake Kolbe with 1 attempt…1 yard for 1 TD. LB Zackary Mathews led the team with 8 tackles (3 solo). SIU’s best performance came from WR Raphael Leonard with 81 receiving yards on 7 catches and LB Bryce Notree led the Salukis with 10 tackles (3 solo).

Southern Illinois drops to 1-5 overall and 0-3 in the conference. They welcome the Indiana State Sycamores to town next weekend. Illinois State is now 5-1 with a 2-1 conference record, but will have a tough run the next few weeks, heading up to Fargo to take on North Dakota State next weekend before playing South Dakota State and UNI in back-to-back weekends. With the current state of things, it looks like ISU at NDSU and then SDSU at ISU the next weekend will likely decide who’s going to be the conference champion this year.

Youngstown State at South Dakota State

The Penguins kept things close for a while, putting up a TD in the first quarter against the Jackrabbits TD (XP missed) and FG, only down by 2. Unfortunately for YSU, it would be their only points of the game. Meanwhile SDSU picked up a few more to take a 16-7 lead into halftime, and then pull ahead for good on 3 TD runs including a long 49-yarder by QB Taryn Christion and finish with 36-7 win.

YSU QB Montgomery VanGorder threw for 202 yards and 1 TD, but also had 2 INTs. The lone TD to TB Christian Turner. RB Tevin McCaster was held to 60 yards on 22 attempts and LB Armand Dellovade led the Penguins with 7 tackles. SDSU QB Taryn Christion only threw for 78 yards and 1 TD, but also ran for 89 yards and 2 TDs. RB C.J. Wilson ran for 119 yards and 1 TD after RB Isaac Wallace went out with an injury. I have not heard for sure, but unfortunately for the Senior RB, it looks like he might be done for the season, and barring a possible medical redshirt, possibly even his football career. WR Cade Johnson picked up a receiving TD on his only catch of the game (for 23 yards). LB Christian Rozeboom and CB Zy Mosley each had INTs while DE Ryan Earith and LB Seven Wilson led the team with 7 tackles each (4 solo for both) and Earith had a sack. SDSU Punter Brady Hale won the MVFC Special Teams Player of the Week award after kicking 7 punts averaging 42.6 yards per, including a 57-yarder and dropping 2 within the 20 yard line.

Youngstown State drops to 2-4 with a 1-2 MVFC record and heads back home to play the other DI South Dakota team…the Coyotes. SDSU is sitting at 4-1 overall with a 2-1 conference record and heads down to Cedar Falls to take on Northern Iowa.

North Dakota State at Western Illinois

(AKA the reason I now have a cold)

Outside of a couple of drives, this game was pretty much all about the Bison defense. Early in the 2nd quarter, WIU had their only lead of the game after a 5 yard TD pass to WR Isaiah Lesure gave the Leathernecks a 7-3 advantage. From then on though, NDSU was able to surge ahead, putting together a drive with a few long runs by RBs Bruce Anderson and Lance Dunn and QB Easton Stick and then later in the quarter, a fumble by WIU was picked up by LB Dan Marlette and returned 38 yards to the end zone. In the second half, NDSU held WIU scoreless and put up 3 more TDs of their own to win by a final of 34-7.

NDSU QB Easton Stick threw for 123 yards and 1 TD and ran for a net of 2 (after getting sacked 4 times by the WIU defense). RBs Lance Dunn and Ty Brooks each ran for 1 TD, with Dunn leading the team with 64 rushing yards. WR Darrius Shepherd had 5 catches for 67 yards and 1 TD. CB Marquise Bridges forced the fumble that was returned for TD by the previously-mentioned LB Marlette. LB Jabril Cox and S Michael Tutsie each had INTs, while FS James Hendricks had 2 INTs and 3 tackles to earn the MVFC Defensive Player of the Week award. WIU QB Sean McGuire threw for 209 yards and 1 TD, but also had 3 INTs (the 4th INT coming off of backup QB Connor Sampson). WR Isaiah Lesure had a career day catching 12 passes for 170 yards and the lone TD. The WIU ground game woes continued, as the Leathernecks only totaled 9 yards rushing in the game. LB Quentin Moon and D-lineman Khalen Saunders led WIU with 11 tackles each. Saunders also had 2 sacks and a forced fumble (recovered by NDSU).

As a Leatherneck fan, I feel like I do need to point out that all 4 of the interceptions came on the last 4 WIU drives late in the 3rd and in the 4th quarters once NDSU was up by a few and they were trying to force some big plays to get WIU back into the game. The Leatherneck defense performed very well for the most part, although there’s only so much you can do when you give the defending national champions 5 turnovers and usually pretty good field position.

Anyway, NDSU is now a perfect 6-0 and 3-0 in the conference and welcome Illinois State to the Fargodome next weekend. WIU falls to 2-4 overall and 1-2 in the MVFC, although thankfully (for me), the last 5 games are potentially winnable if we’re able to get our offense moving a bit better. They head down to Missouri State next weekend.

Northern Iowa at South Dakota

The first half was a very back-and-forth game, with 4 lead changes and going into halftime with the Panthers up 21-13. Late in the 3rd, a long drive for the Coyotes would tie things up at 21, but UNI would respond with a quick 5-play drive to retake the lead on a 21-yard TD pass. They’d then pull further ahead after an INT gave UNI good field position, on one 25-yard TD pass. On the next play from scrimmage for USD, a fumble recovered in the end zone by UNI put them ahead by 21. The Panther defense gave up one more TD, but held South Dakota the rest of the game to win 42-28.

UNI QB Eli Dunne threw for 257 yards with 4 TDs, ran for 7 yards and 1 TD, and won the MVFC Offensive Player of the Week award. The yards and TDs were fairly evenly spread out, with 7 receivers catching at least 3 passes for 20+ yards but nobody having more than 41 yards. TD catches were by WRs Nick Fossey and Jaylin James, RB Marcus Weymiller, and TE Briley Moore. LB Chris Kolarevic continued his excellent first season on the field with 11 tackles (8 solo), DB Xavior Williams had the INT and DB Zac Kibby, DL Elerson Smith, and LB Rickey Neal each forced fumbles, 2 of which were recovered by UNI. USD QB Austin Simmons threw for 325 yards and 2 TDs, but also had 1 INT and a fumble that turned the ball over. RB Brandon Thull ran for 37 yards and 1 TD. WR Dakarai Allen had 6 catches for 98 yards and 1 TD, and RB Kai Henry had the other TD catch. DB Andrew Gray led the Coyotes with 13 tackles (9 solo) and DL Kameron Cline had 4 tackles, 4 for loss (1 sack) and a forced fumble. Punter Brady Schutt had 3 kicks for 50.7 yards per punt average.

UNI finds themselves at 3-3 with a 2-1 conference record and welcomes South Dakota State to the UNIDome next weekend. South Dakota is also 3-3 with a 2-1 MVFC record and heads over to Ohio to take on Youngstown State.

MVFC Standings

Team, Overall (MVFC)
North Dakota State, 6-0 (3-0)
Northern Iowa, 3-3 (2-1)
South Dakota, 3-3 (2-1)
Missouri State, 4-2 (2-1)
Illinois State, 5-1 (2-1)
South Dakota State, 4-1 (2-1)
Western Illinois, 2-4 (1-2)
Youngstown State, 2-4 (1-2)
Indiana State, 2-4 (0-3)
Southern Illinois, 1-5 (0-3)

How’d I Do?

MSU @ INSU – I thought Bears 38-32. It was Bears 29-26. I overestimated the offenses a bit, but fairly close in terms of the spread.

SIU @ ILSU – I thought Redbirds 37-14. It was Redbirds 51-3. Overestimating SIU’s offense in this case. I knew ISU’s defense was good having seen them live the weekend before. I figured it’d be a pretty solid win though.

YSU @ SDSU – I thought Jackrabbits 47-18. It was Jackrabbits 36-7. Again with the overestimating offenses apparently. Dead-on with the spread though (29 points). Big time rebound for the Bunnies.

NDSU @ WIU – I thought Bison 28-16. It was Bison 34-7. Turnovers…sure…5 turnovers…that I didn’t really expect. I figured WIU’s defense would do ok, and they did, but was hoping our offense would be able to do a little more. It wasn’t a complete blowout, so I’ll call it a “win” in terms of my prediction.

UNI @ USD – I thought Coyotes in a close one, 31-30. It was Panthers in a less-than-close one, 42-28. It was pretty close for a good part of the game, until a couple of turnovers really pushed this one UNI’s way. Congrats to the Panther defense for proving me wrong.

Previously I was 7-3 in my picks. Add in 4-1 this week and I’m at 11-4 overall.

Up next week is the “who wants it least” game with Indiana State at Southern Illinois, Western Illinois hoping to rebound at Missouri State, “Top o’ the conference to ya” matchup with Illinois State at North Dakota State, South Dakota State and Northern Iowa coming off of big wins going head-to-head at the UNIDome, and South Dakota taking the long flight out to nearly Pennsylvania to take on Youngstown State.

AGS Poll: Week 7 Top 25 Results

Week 7 was the craziest week in the AGS poll to date in 2018 with 8 teams in the top 25 falling to teams ranked lower than them and the movement within the poll reflected that. North Dakota State remained the unanimous #1 team. Following them was MVFC rival South Dakota State who, at #2, achieved their highest ranking ever in the AGS Poll. James Madison moved back up a bit to #3 and they were followed by Kennesaw State at #4 and UC Davis, who continues to achieve program best rankings in the AGS Poll, moving up 3 spots to #5.

As for other risers on the week Illinois State and Towson each moved up 4 spots to #6 and #8, respectively, as they continue impressive seasons. Weber State used an upset of previously 2nd ranked Eastern Washington to move up 5 spots to #10. Maine and Stony Brook also took advantage of some losses above them to each move 4 spots to come in at #13 and tied at #15, respectively. East Tennessee State cracked the AGS top 25 for the first time in program history moving up 6 spots to #20. Northern Iowa also moved back into the top 25 after a 1 week absence coming in at #23. Delaware shot up 10 spots into a tie #24 after upsetting Elon.

In regard to teams going the other direction Eastern Washington dropped 5 spots to #7 following their aforementioned loss to Weber State. Elon fell 9 spots to #12 after being upset by Delaware. Wofford also fell 7 spots down to #14 after receiving their first FCS loss of the season at the hands of SOCON rival Furman. Nicholls plummeted 11 spots down into a tie at #24 after being stunned by Abilene Christian. North Carolina A&T, South Dakota, and Montana all fell out of the top 25 after dropping games on Saturday.

In terms of conference representation the CAA led the way again placing 7 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the Big Sky, MVFC, and Southland with 4 teams each and the SOCON who placed 2 teams into the top 25.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 2275 91
2 2 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 2128
3 2 James Madison Dukes 2063
4 2 Kennesaw State Owls 1942
5 3 UC Davis Aggies 1796
6 4 Illinois State Redbirds 1675
7 -5 Eastern Washington Eagles 1614
8 4 Towson Tigers 1546
9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1534
10 5 Weber State Wildcats 1510
11 McNeese State Cowboys 1404
12 -9 Elon Phoenix 1372
13 4 Maine Black Bears 1119
14 -7 Wofford Terriers 975
15T 3 Colgate Raiders 874
15T 4 Stony Brook Seawolves 874
17 -3 Rhode Island Rams 665
18 3 Central Arkansas Bears 575
19 3 Princeton Tigers 487
20 6 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 423
21 3 Idaho State Bengals 393
22 3 Sam Houston State Bearkats 377
23 4 Northern Iowa Panthers 342
24T 10 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 276
24T -11 Nicholls State Colonels 276
ORV:
26 10 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 261
27 2 Dartmouth Big Green 200
28 -12 North Carolina A&T Aggies 145
29 2 Missouri State Bears 138
30 Montana State Bobcats 133
31 1 Chattanooga Mocs 106
32 -12 South Dakota Coyotes 38
33T NR Florida A&M Rattlers 10
33T NR Furman Paladins 10
35 2 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 9
36 -13 Montana Grizzlies 6
37 -4 Western Illinois Leathernecks 4

Most significant win: Weber State Wildcats
Most significant loss: Wofford Terriers

Dropped out of the poll:
Villanova Wildcats
Tennessee State Tigers
Western Carolina Catamounts
Sac State Hornets
Incarnate Word Cardinals

Join the discussion here: http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?215312-AGS-Poll-Results-WEEK-7-POLL-2018-SEASON

MVFC Week 7 Preview

MVFC LogoOn to week 7 of the regular season. NDSU is still good…Missouri State is decent…Indiana State has…an offense?…really?…they haven’t had one of those in like, nearly a decade….crazy.
All times listed as Central time zone and ranking numbers based on the AGS Poll. Here’s the full list along with starting times and places you can find them on TV/streaming video:

Saturday, October 16th
1:00 PM – ORV Missouri State (3-2, 1-1 MVFC) at Indiana State (2-3, 0-2 MVFC), ESPN+
2:00 PM – Southern Illinois (1-4, 0-2 MVFC) at #10 Illinois State (4-1, 1-1 MVFC), ESPN3
2:00 PM – Youngstown State (2-3, 1-1 MVFC) at #4 South Dakota State (3-1, 1-1 MVFC), ESPN+
6:00 PM – #1 North Dakota State (5-0, 2-0 MVFC) at ORV Western Illinois (2-3, 1-1 MVFC), ESPN+
6:00 PM – ORV Northern Iowa (2-3, 1-1 MVFC) at #20 South Dakota (3-2, 2-0 MVFC), ESPN+

Missouri State at Indiana State – 1 PM on ESPN+

Last Year: Missouri State won 59-20 in Springfield, MO

So, at the beginning of the season, most people probably had this game circled on their calendar as the one that would really decide…once and for…well…this season at least…who would finish last place in the conference. Since then though, MSU has huge wins against currently #10 Illinois State, Northern Arizona, and a very strong performance against #20 South Dakota. Indiana State doesn’t have quite as many successes, but they have won 2 (that’s two more than last year) and put up 51 points last weekend taking current #4 South Dakota State to OT in Brookings. So, while it doesn’t appear that either team are “world beaters” at this point, both have, for the most part, been outperforming expectations at this point and it’s entirely possible when it all shakes out at the end of the season, that neither team is at the bottom of the conference and that MSU could conceivably have a winning record.

Missouri State QB Peyton Huslig leads the team in both passing (208.8/game with 6 TDs and 7 INTs) and rushing (63.6/game with 5 TDs). RB Jason Randall is averaging just under 60 ypg on the ground with 5 TDs as well. The Bears top receiver in yardage is WR Damoriea Vick with 46.2/game although he doesn’t have any receiving TDs. WRs Tyler Currie and Antwan Woods and TE Jordan Murray all have 2 receiving TDs each. Placekicker Parker Lacina is a perfect 5 for 5 on FGs for the season including kicks from 40 and 42 yards out and is 20 for 21 on XPs. LB McNeece Egbim leads the team in tackles with 42 (26 solo) and has 2 sacks. DE Matt McClellan is tied with two NDSU players for the most sacks in the conference so far with 4.5 through 5 games.

Indiana State QB Ryan Boyle has been throwing for 155 ypg with 2 TDs and 1 INT, but the player with the most impact on the Sycamores offense is RB Ja’Quan Keys who is currently leading the conference with 130.2 rushing ypg and has 8 TDs. No player has over 50 receiving yards per game, although WRs Dante Hendrix and Rontrez Morgan are just under that with Morgan having both of the receiving TDs thrown this year. LB Jonas Griffith has 54 tackles (30 solo) and an INT, and DB Jamal Jones has 38, with 27 of those being solo tackles as well as a fumble recovery. Griffith is currently 2nd in the MVFC in tackles per game

Both teams seem to be improved over the last few years and both teams have shown that they can, at times, put up some pretty big numbers offensively. Even though the game is at ISU and it’s their Homecoming, I feel like Missouri State is currently a bit ahead of Indiana State in their “improvement”. I think the Bears pull out a fairly high-scoring win (not like last week’s INSU@SDSU game level of “high scoring” though)…around 38-32.

Southern Illinois at #10 Illinois State – 2 PM on ESPN3

Last Year: SIU beat ILSU 42-7 in Carbondale

Unlike the previous two teams, Southern Illinois looked like they weren’t going to be too bad this year, but outside of an early win over Murray State, they haven’t quite been able to put together a win, losing 1-score games to South Dakota and Youngstown State in back-to-back weeks. Illinois State, meanwhile, has an impressive record with wins over FBS Colorado State and then last week against Western Illinois and with an odd loss at Missouri State being the only blemish.

Southern Illinois QB Sam Straub has been throwing for 286 ypg and has 9 TDs along with 8 INTs. Straub also runs for ~25 ypg and has 2 rushing TDs, but RB DJ Davis is the one getting most of the ground yardage with 120/game (good for #2 in the MVFC currently) and 3 TDs. WR Raphael Leonard gets 77 ypg and 4 receiving TDs so far, while TE Nigel Kilby may only have 34 ypg but also has 4 receiving TDs. Defensively, DE Bryce Notree leads the Salukis with 36 tackles (26 solo), 2 sacks and 1 INT. DE Anthony Knighton leads the team with 3.5 sacks. Both of those defensive players are Sophomores…in fact, none of the top 11 tacklers on SIU’s defense are Seniors, so that may be something to watch for next year with a more experienced defense on the field.

Illinois State QB Brady Davis averages 211 ypg with 10 TDs through the air and has 0 INTs so far this season (although a couple of passes in last week’s game should have been INTs if the WIU defenders didn’t have the nasty habit of dropping balls when they’re thrown directly at them….but I digress), and Davis has 1 rushing TD. The key to the Redbirds offense is RB James Robinson who has 116 ypg and 8 TDs. RB Markel Smith does pretty well too with 60 ypg and 2 TDs so far. The top receiver is WR Spencer Schnell, who has hauled in 30 catches for 86.4 ypg and 4 TDs. LB Zackary Mathews has 46 tackles so far (26 solo) and 1 sack, and DB Luther Kirk has 3 INTs returned a total of 51 yards including 1 for TD last week to go along with 23 tackles. Punter JT Bohlken currently leads the conference with a 45.1 yard per punt average with 13 inside the 20 and 13 of 50+ yards (out of 28 total punts). There’s still a lot of season to go, but that punting average is currently the 6th best in MVFC history.

Despite having some definite issues (lack of a good passing game being the big one), Illinois State is playing some good football right now…Southern Illinois on the other hand, has been struggling. This game is at ISU; at Homecoming; and while maybe not quite as big of a football rivalry as they have with WIU, ISU and SIU have played 81 times going back to 1929 and also play in the same conference for all sports (so that adds some depth to the rivalry); plus they’re going to want some revenge against an SIU team that unexpectedly crushed them last year. I personally feel like ISU is going to put together a really good game this weekend and roll against the Salukis…37-14.

Youngstown State at #4 South Dakota State – 2 PM on ESPN+

Last Year: Youngstown State beat South Dakota State 19-7 in Youngstown, OH

The Penguins were able to pull off a win last week at home against SIU on a FG in the final 30 seconds of the game, however it’s been a rough season so far for YSU, having lost to Non-Scholarship Butler to start the season and losing to WIU two weeks ago. South Dakota State meanwhile were on the verge of losing back-to-back games for the first time since 2015, requiring an overtime period to defeat Indiana State after losing a close game at rival NDSU the previous week.

YSU QB Montgomery VanGorder has been passing for 229 ypg this season with 10 TDs and 5 INTs as well as running for just over 25 ypg. The receiving TDs get spread around pretty well, with WRs Zach Farrar, Samuel St. Surin, Darius Shackleford, Natavious Payne, Jermiah Braswell and TB London Pearson having 1 receiving TD each, while WR Kendric Mallory and TE Miles Joiner each have 2. RB Tevin McCaster is the big threat on offense though, with a 107 ypg average and 6 TDs rushing. LB Armand Dellovade has 43 tackles (26 solo) with 1 sack and 1 INT. DE Shereif Bynum is doing well, with 22 tackles, but 8 of them for loss (2nd in the MVFC) including 4 sacks and 7 QB hurries.

SDSU QB Taryn Christion is having a great year, ranking 3rd in the MVFC for yards per game (270.5), 1st in passing TDs (15), and is 35 points ahead of the #2 QB (NDSU’s Easton Stick) in QB Efficiency. His top receivers are WRs Cade Johnson (102.8 ypg and 7 TDs) and Adam Anderson (93.2 ypg and 3 TDs and are currently the two top receivers in the MVFC in yards per game. RB Isaac Wallace has been getting it done on the ground, averaging over 103 ypg with 4 TDs so far, including the game-winner last week in OT. LB Dalton Cox leads the Jackrabbits in tackles with 24 (14 solo) and LB Christian Rozeboom appears to have taken a step back from his impressive performances of the last two years with 23 tackles currently.

Last week, I predicted a big win for SDSU over Indiana State…I, and probably most people, were very surprised at how that one played out. This week, SDSU is going to want to prove that last week was a fluke…playing at home, at Hobo Day (Homecoming), against one of only 3 teams to beat them last year (so they’ll want revenge). Youngstown State has, so far, shown very little to indicate that they can compete with the top teams of the conference, and I don’t think they’ll fare very well in Brookings. I think SDSU will struggle a little at stopping YSU’s McCaster, but YSU will struggle a lot at stopping all aspects of the Jackrabbit offense….47-18 South Dakota State wins.

#1 North Dakota State at Western Illinois – 6 PM on ESPN+

Last Year: NDSU won 24-12 in Fargo

Alright…time for my Leathernecks. After a tough loss at in-state rival Illinois State last weekend that was a close game up until the last few minutes, WIU is looking at a 2-3 record and likely can only lose one more game if they want a shot at the playoffs. Thankfully we return home this week to play…um…#&%*. The NDSU Bison are, as I’m sure everyone is aware, the defending national champions, are the unanimous #1 team in the FCS, and have won their 5 games this season by an average of nearly 27 points.

Anyway, here’s the stats…

NDSU QB Easton Stick is having a great year. He’s only thrown for 170 ypg and 9 TDs, but only has 1 INT and also runs for an average of nearly 39 ypg and 7 TDs. He’s 9th in the conference in yardage, but 2nd in the conference in efficiency. That’s in large part, due to RBs Bruce Anderson (98.4 ypg and 3 TDs) and Lance Dunn (63.4 ypg and 4 TDs). Their stats may not look huge, but that’s mostly because the Bison have been so far ahead in many games that they’ve been able to take the starters out early relatively often. WR Darrius Shepherd is the top receiving threat when Stick does throw the ball, with 17 catches for 63.8 ypg and 4 TDs. The other big thing NDSU has going for them is their defense…#1 in the conference in points allowed, yards allowed…by ground, air, and combined, and sacks. Oh, and they’re also the least penalized team in the MVFC as well. Safety Robbie Grimsley leads the team with 38 tackles (20 solo) and 1 INT. LBs Dan Marlette (32 tackles, 5 for loss) and Jabril Cox (31 tackles, 3 for loss, 2 INTs returned for TDs) are absolute beasts, and D-linemen Cole Karcz and Greg Menard each have 4.5 sacks.

WIU QB Sean McGuire hasn’t been doing too badly either, throwing for nearly 269 ypg and 13 TDs and as of last weekend, is now WIU’s all-time leader in career TDs and passing yards. He does tend to force things a bit and occasionally make bad decisions, as evidenced by the 6 INTs he’s thrown, including a pick-6 against ILSU last week. The top receivers in yardage are WR John Brunner (66.4 ypg and 2 TDs) and Tony Tate (55 ypg and 2 TDs) but the one who actually gets the most catches is RB Steve McShane. McShane is only averaging 54.8 ypg w/ 2 TDs on the ground, but also has 39 ypg and 4 TDs receiving. He’s also a special teams threat, returning punts an average of 14.1 yards per with 1 TD. Otherwise though, the Leathernecks are averaging under 100 rushing yards per game, which is…you know…not great. On defense, LBs Quintin Moon (55 tackles, 36 solo, 3 forced fumbles, 1 fumble recovery) and Zach Glisan (47 tackles, 27 solo) are doing well, with Moon leading the MVFC in tackles, both combined and solo. LB Pete Swenson has also stepped up this year, leading the conference in tackles for loss with 10 (4 sacks).

I’m not going to say that Western doesn’t have a chance in this game, but it’s going to be tough. On the plus side, NDSU is known for dropping usually 1 conference game a year before barreling through the rest of the year and into the playoffs…also they have seemed to have difficulties playing in Macomb, winning by 8 in 2016 and needing two TDs in the 4th to come from behind and win by 7 in 2014…so that tells me there’s the potential for this to be a “trap game” for the Bison. Then again…the odds are not in the Leathernecks favor in this one. I’m going to have to go with a 28-16 win for NDSU in this game and hope that I’m proven wrong.

Northern Iowa at #20 South Dakota – 6 PM on ESPN+

Last Year: UNI won 34-29 in Cedar Falls, IA

UNI is coming off a home loss to NDSU where they were able to stick with the Bison for 3 out of 4 quarters. Like WIU, they’re also 2-3 and 1-1 in the conference and can really only drop one more to have a reasonable shot at the playoffs. South Dakota, on the other hand, has won their first two conference games (they haven’t played either of the XDSU’s yet though), winning by 7 last week at home against Missouri State.

Northern Iowa QB Eli Dunne is averaging 199 ypg with 8 passing TDs, although QB Colton Howell has also started 1 game and played a decent amount of time this year, throwing for 43 ypg and has 1 passing TD and 1 rushing TD. The top receiving targets are TE Briley Moore (55.2 ypg w/ 2 TDs) and freshman WR Deion McShane (51 ypg w/ 2 TDs and the younger brother of WIU’s Steve McShane). RBs Trevor Allen and Marcus Weymiller each have 2 rushing TDs and 68 and 53 yards per game on the ground respectively. R. Freshman LB Chris Kolarevic leads the Panthers with 54 tackles (17 solo) with 2 for loss and 1 INT and was recently named to the Jerry Rice Award watch list (top freshman in the FCS). LB Duncan Ferch is right behind at 48 tackles (12 solo) with 2.5 for loss and 2 INTs. UNI’s placekicker Austin Errthum has been doing pretty well, making 8 out of 10 FGs with 2 in the 40+ range (long of 46) and is 15 out of 15 on XPs.

South Dakota QB Austin Simmons has done a great job filling a Streveler-sized hole in the Coyote offense, leading the conference with nearly 320 ypg and 10 TDs with 3 INTs as well as running for 2 TDs. WRs Dakarai Allen (78 ypg and 3 TDs) and Levi Falck (nearly 58 ypg and 1 TD) get the most catches. None of the USD RBs average over 46 ypg, although Ben Klett (3 TDs) and Kai Henry (2 TDs) get the most. On defense, twin brothers Alex (LB) and Andrew (DB) Gray lead the team in tackles. Alex has 45 (29 solo) with 2 sacks, 1 INT and 1 fumble recovery, while Andrew has 40 (18 solo) with 2 INTs, 2 forced fumbles, was named MVFC defensive player of the week the last two weeks in a row and was named the STATS FCS Defensive player of the week last week. DL Darin Greenfield leads the team in tackles for loss with 6, sacks (3), and QB hurries (6). Placekicker Mason Lorber has struggled with FGs however, making 6 out of 11 attempts.

This game is tough to pick for me. UNI has a worse record against a little tougher schedule so far, USD is a little better with a little easier schedule. If I had to pick one team who’s better right now on a neutral field…I’d probably go with UNI, but not by much. However, this isn’t on a neutral field and I think that gives a slight edge to USD. Most predictions out there have the margin within a point or two and mine is no different…I’m going to have to pick South Dakota in a nailbiter…31-30.

Patriot League Week 7: What was will never be again?

While it might seem unfathomable in 2018, there was a time, not too long ago, when the Patriot League was capable of producing multiple Top 25 teams! As the league is sadly trending towards having just one team finish with a winning record for a second straight year, more and more questions are being raised about its overall health. The lack of red-shirts and smaller roster sizes relative to other FCS conferences are without question a major handicap. Long time Lehigh Head Coach Andy Coen referenced some of the hurdles he and his fellow Patriot League coaches are facing in a local paper following his team’s historic loss to Princeton. Some of his points were certainly valid but it still doesn’t explain the numerous lopsided losses or why Colgate has been able to navigate the rough waters to a 5-0 record and national ranking. The Patriot League will never be on the CAA’s or MVFC’s level but it most certainly should be better than it currently is. It’s up to the coaches and administrators to right the ship or reconsider the league’s place within the FCS landscape.

Friday

Holy Cross (1-5, 0-2) at Harvard (2-2) 7 P.M. Harvard Stadium Cambridge, MA

Live Streaming: ESPN+

The Pick: Holy Cross makes the short trip to Cambridge to take on Harvard for the 70th time. The Crimson own a commanding 42-25-2 lead in the series that dates back to 1904. Holy Cross’s last win at historic Harvard Stadium was in 2000 (7 straight losses).  While Harvard appears to be more vulnerable than usual heading into this game, the Crusader offense (15 ppg) doesn’t seem capable of putting up enough points to take advantage. Geoff Wade remains the starter for this one despite throwing 7 INTs to just 5 TDs so far this season. Harvard has also seen inconsistent quarterback play from starter Jake Smith (162.5 ypg 2 TDs 4 INTs) even though he has one of the top WR’s in FCS, Justice Shelton-Mosley, to work with. In a game that figures to be relatively low scoring, field position and turnovers will be a major factor in determining the outcome. The Crimson have two guys on offense, RB Aaron Shampklin (132ypg 5 TDs) and Shelton-Mosley out wide, who are more than capable of making a game changing play. First year Holy Cross Head Coach Bob Chesney needs Geoff Wade to get the ball in the hands of Blaise Bell and Richie DeNicola. Until that happens the run first offense will continue to bog down.

Harvard 24 Holy Cross 13

Saturday

Cornell (2-2) at #18 Colgate (5-0, 3-0) 12 P.M. Andy Kerr Stadium Hamilton, NY

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The Pick: Colgate and Cornell will meet for 100th time this weekend when the undefeated and nationally ranked Raiders host the extremely dangerous Big Red. Despite dominating their Central New York rival in recent years (won 9 out of the last 10 meetings) and the hot start to the season, Colgate enters this one as a narrow favorite. The Raiders top ranked scoring defense (4.6 ppg allowed) will face their stiffest test so far this year with Cornell’s balanced attack (163 rushing ypg, 166 passing ypg) invading Andy Kerr Stadium. Cornell quarterback Dalton Banks will test a Colgate secondary that be without All-PL CB Abu Daramy-Swaray. The Colgate offense should be able to move the ball on a fairly leaky Big Red (422 ypg allowed) “D”. The key for the Colgate “O” will be avoiding costly penalties and turnovers. Cornell has already faced Delaware (L), Yale (L) and Harvard (W) this year so they know what it’s like to play quality competition. Have those games prepared Cornell to pull the upset? Perhaps not, but they’ll make a run at it. This is a critical game for Colgate’s playoff aspirations should they stub their toe in league play.

Colgate 27 Cornell 24

Fordham (0-5) at Lehigh (1-4) 12:30 P.M. Goodman Stadium Bethlehem, PA

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The Pick: Two of the Patriot League’s three winningest programs this decade head into this game with a shockingly bad 1-9 combined record. Both teams are coming off especially disappointing/demoralizing losses. Lehigh’s 66-7 blowout loss to Princeton was the Mountain Hawks worse defeat since 1993 (77-14 @ Idaho). The Tigers racked up 733 yards of offense on the often maligned Lehigh defense. Fordham heads to Bethlehem on the heels of a lackluster 23-11 home loss to Georgetown. It was the Ram’s first loss to Georgetown in 7 years. Fordham’s offense once again failed to gain traction (9 ppg) despite quarterback Tim DeMorat having an extra week to prepare due to the early season bye.  These are two proud programs that have upperclassman on their respective rosters that know what success tastes like. Fordham needs a “W” to keep hope alive of a winning season. If Lehigh has any aspirations of a 3-peat they must be able to defend their home turf. They need Brad Mayes and Dominic Bragalone to have a breakout game. Both teams have lost energy and focus far too often through the first month of the season. This game will come down to who wants it more.

Lehigh 31 Fordham 23

Bucknell (1-5, 1-1) at Monmouth (3-2) 1 P.M. Kessler Stadium West Long Branch, NJ

Live Streaming: ESPN+

The Pick: Bucknell heads to the Jersey Shore looking to avenge last year’s 35-13 setback to eventual playoff bound Monmouth.  The Bison are licking their wounds after being thoroughly outclassed at home by undefeated Colgate last weekend. The Bucknell offense that showed promise the week before against Holy Cross could not get anything going against the Raiders top-rated “D”. Logan Bitikofer was under constant duress when attempting to pass. To make matters worse, he received very little help from the rushing attack (35 yards). The sledding figures to be considerably easier against a Monmouth defense that is surrendering yards (444 ypg) and points (39 ppg) in bunches. While the Bison aren’t going to light up the scoreboard on Saturday, they should be able to put up enough points to give themselves a chance so long as the “D” finds a way to slow down the Monmouth QB-RB duo of Kenji Baha (266 ypg passing) and Pete Guerriero (111 ypg rushing). Bucknell will put a good fight but without catching a few breaks they’ll secure their 4th straight losing season.

Monmouth 37 Bucknell 24

Georgetown (2-4, 1-0) at Lafayette (1-4, 0-1) 3:30 P.M. Fisher Field Easton, PA

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The Pick: Before the season started the odds seemed rather long that Georgetown and Lafayette would enter their mid-October clash off a win but that happens to be the case. Thanks to a stifling defensive performance, the Hoyas head to the Lehigh Valley off a rousing road win over Fordham in the Bronx. The win snapped Georgetown’s 15 game losing streak against Patriot League foes. Prior to the victory over Fordham, the Hoyas last league conquest was against Bucknell on October 24, 2015. Lafayette’s bye week allowed Head Coach John Garrett and his team to savior their win over Central Connecticut State for a few more days. If the Leopards want to make it consecutive wins they’ll need the offense to build off of their performance against CCSU. Quarterback Sean O’Malley (328 yards 1 TD 0 INT against CCSU) has to spread the ball around (8 different receivers caught a pass) like he did two weeks ago in order for the offense to move the ball. It’s once again apparent the Leopards can’t run the ball (54 ypg, 121st in FCS) so they’re forced to be pass first. On paper these seem like two evenly matched teams. Neither squad has had any consistency on offense or defense to start the year. If the Lafayette offensive line can protect O’Malley the Leopards seem more likely to eek out enough points to win.

Lafayette 20 Georgetown 17

The FCS Wedge – 2018-1009 – Wk7 PREVIEW

Kris & Lance give us some great analysis of what they think will happen coming up in these pivotal games this weekend.

Eastern Washington @ Weber State

Idaho State @ UC Davis

Maine @ Rhode Island

Montana @ North Dakota

Northern Iowa @ South Dakota

Elon @ Delaware (trap game alert of the week)

James Madison @ Villanova (A very likely must win game with JMU coming to town…that’s a rough one)

The FCS Wedge – 2018-1009 – Wk6 REVIEW

Topics covered in today’s show include:

Montana loss – 22-20 to Portland State

Weber State loss NAU 28-24

Sac State loss 41-27 to Cal Poly

Idaho State 62-28

The AGS Poll

Elon 27 James Madison 24

North Dakota State 56 Northern Iowa 31

Maine 13 Villanova 10

Towson 52 Stony Brook 28

Illinois State 33 Western Illinois 16

Wofford 21 Chattanooga 10

The last of the early conference grading.

Southern

NEC

Southland

SWAC

Ivy

OVC

It is a longer than normal show that is jam packed with good information.

AGS Poll: Week 6 Top 25 Results

We saw a few significant upsets shake up the AGS top 25 in week 6. For the first time all year there was a good amount of movement within the top 5. North Dakota State retained it’s #1 position garnering all 89 1st place votes. After that Eastern Washington moved up 2 spots to #2. Elon, following their monumental win at James Madison, moved up 5 spots to their highest ever ranking in the AGS Poll coming in at #3. South Dakota State slid down 1 spot to #4 and aforementioned James Madison dropped 3 spot to #5.

As for the other risers on the week Towson used a big win over fellow ranked CAA foe Stony Brook to move up 6 spot to #12. South Dakota moved into the top 25 again after a 3 week absence moving up 6 spots to #20. Princeton made their first appearance in the top 25 this year after reeling off their 4th straight dominant victory of the season rising 5 spots to #22. Idaho State also made their debut in the 2018 AGS Top 25 rising 8 spots to #24 after dominating in-state rival Idaho. Sam Houston State ended their 2 week absence rising 4 spots to come in at #25 after defeating their Southland rival Stephen F Austin.

As for teams going the other way Weber State dropped 9 spots to #15 after being upset by Northern Arizona. Stony Brook took a 7 spot tumble down to #19 after their aforementioned loss to Towson. Montana plummeted 9 spots to #23 after being upset at home by Portland State. Northern Iowa, Villanova, Missouri State, and Western Illinois all dropped out of the top 25 after sustaining losses over the weekend.

In terms of conference representation the CAA led the way placing 6 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the Big Sky with 5 and the MVFC and Southland with 4 teams each in the top 25.

Full details below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 2225 89
2 2 Eastern Washington Eagles 2056
3 5 Elon Phoenix 1986
4 -1 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1952
5 -3 James Madison Dukes 1843
6 -1 Kennesaw State Owls 1793
7 Wofford Terriers 1657
8 1 UC Davis Aggies 1469
9 2 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1349
10 3 Illinois State Redbirds 1315
11 -1 McNeese State Cowboys 1314
12 6 Towson Tigers 1277
13 2 Nicholls State Colonels 1083
14 3 Rhode Island Rams 1025
15 -9 Weber State Wildcats 1003
16 North Carolina A&T Aggies 941
17 4 Maine Black Bears 689
18 4 Colgate Raiders 630
19 -7 Stony Brook Seawolves 572
20 6 South Dakota Coyotes 369
21 4 Central Arkansas Bears 344
22 5 Princeton Tigers 303
23 -9 Montana Grizzlies 288
24 8 Idaho State Bengals 283
25 4 Sam Houston State Bearkats 257
ORV:
26 4 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 216
27 -7 Northern Iowa Panthers 207
28 -9 Villanova Wildcats 97
29 8 Dartmouth Big Green 88
30 1 Montana State Bobcats 75
31 -8 Missouri State Bears 71
32 -4 Chattanooga Mocs 46
33 -9 Western Illinois Leathernecks 26
34 2 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 25
35 5 Tennessee State Tigers 16
36 -2 North Dakota Fighting Hawks 12
37 NR Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 10
38 1 Western Carolina Catamounts 7
39 -7 Sac State Hornets 5
40 NR Incarnate Word Cardinals 1

Most significant win: Elon Phoenix
Most significant loss: James Madison Dukes, Montana Grizzlies (tie)

Dropped out of the poll:
Yale Bulldogs
Harvard Crimson

Join the discussion here: http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?214648-AGS-Poll-Results-WEEK-6-POLL-2018-SEASON

MVFC Week 6 In Review

MVFC LogoThe Scores

North Dakota State – 56
Northern Iowa – 31

Western Illinois – 16
Illinois State – 33

Missouri State – 28
South Dakota – 35

Southern Illinois – 14
Youngstown State – 17

Indiana State – 51
South Dakota State – 54
Overtime

North Dakota State at Northern Iowa

NDSU often seems to struggle in the UNIDome for some reason and this game would be no different for much of it. UNI struck first on the 3rd play from scrimmage with a 64-yard TD pass to TE Briley Moore. They’d stop the Bison and put together another TD drive, topped off with an 8-yard run by Marcus Weymiller to take an early 14-0 lead. Late in the 1st, NDSU got their first points with a 20-yard TD catch by WR Darrius Shepherd. Early in the 2nd, NDSU tied things up with a 3-yard TD pass to RB Lance Dunn. UNI WR Jaylin James hauled in a 24-yard TD pass to retake the lead. Dunn ran for an 8-yard TD to again tie things up, this time at 21. As time ran out in the first half, UNI kicker Austin Errthum hit a 32-yard FG to take a 24-21 lead into halftime.

In the 3rd quarter, NDSU QB Easton Stick threw a 22-yard TD pass to the WR Shepherd and put the Bison ahead for the first time in the game. Near the end of the quarter on 4th and 2, UNI QB Eli Dunn threw a 26-yard TD pass to freshman WR Deion McShane and would pull ahead 31-28. The 4th quarter, however, it looks like UNI’s defense pretty much ran out of juice, as NDSU would hit a 75-yard TD pass to RB Bruce Anderson, a 1-yard rush by QB Stick, a 31-yard rush by Stick, and a 25-yard run by RB Adam Cofield to blow open a big 56-31 lead, which would be the final score.

NDSU QB Easton Stick threw for 179 yards and 4 TDs and rushed for 35 yards and 2 TDs and was awarded the MVFC Offensive Player of the Week award. RB Bruce Anderson ran for 170 yards and caught 1 75-yard TD pass. RB Lance Dunn ran for 104 with 1 TD and caught 1 3-yard TD pass. LB Dan Marlette led the Bison with 9 tackles (6 solo), CB Marquise Bridges had an INT that he returned 29 yards in addition to 5 tackles, and DE Greg Menard had 5 tackles including 1.5 sacks.

UNI QB Eli Dunne had 362 passing yards and 3 TDs with 1 INT. TE Briley Moore caught 3 passes for 96 yards and 1 TD, and WRs Jaylin James and Deion McShane each had 5 catches including 1 each for TDs. RB Marcus Weymiller had the most ground yards with 57 and 1 TD. LB Duncan Ferch topped the UNI defense with 12 tackles (3 solo) and 1 tackle for loss. LB Chris Kolarevic and DB Korby Sander were right behind with 11 and 10 tackles respectively.

NDSU remains perfect for the season, 5-0 overall and 2-0 in the MFFC and will head down to Macomb to take on Western Illinois next weekend. UNI falls to 2-3 with a 1-1 MVFC record and travels to South Dakota.

Western Illinois at Illinois State

In the 101st meeting of the Leathernecks and Redbirds, WIU took the first lead of the game on their first drive ending in a 16-yard TD pass from QB Sean McGuire to WR Tony Tate. The XP attempt, however, was blocked, picked up ISU DB Willie Edwards and returned all the way back to the other end zone, which, for those of you who aren’t aware, is scored essentially like a 2-point conversion, but for the other team…so, it was 6-2 Leathernecks at that point. Early in the 2nd quarter, ISU would take the lead, scoring on a 12-yard TD run by RB James Robinson to go ahead 9-6. A few drives later, ISU would pull within scoring range and hit a 22-yard FG by JT Bohlken and would have a 12-6 lead. Near the end of the first half, WIU RB Steve McShane returned a punt 23 yards (on a 45 yard punt) and on the next play, McShane hauled in a 35-yard TD catch to give WIU a 13-12 lead going into the break.

In the 3rd quarter, there was a whole lot of defense, but the only points came on a FG by WIU kicker Sam Crosa from 21 yards out to pull ahead a little more, 16-12. Early in the 4th, Robinson found his way into the end zone again on an 11-yard run which gave the Redbirds the 19-16 lead. Then, with 4 ½ minutes left in the game, things completely unraveled for WIU, when the QB McGuire was forced out of the pocket and, while scrambling around, threw an INT to ISU DB Luther Kirk who returned it for a TD to give them a 10 point lead. A 4-and-out for WIU on their next drive allowed ISU to eat up most of the rest of the clock and finished with a 2-yard TD run by Robinson to put the final score at 33-16 Redbirds.

WIU QB Sean McGuire threw for 220 yards and 2 TDs with 1 INT and, despite the mostly poor performance, his stats were enough to move him up to #1 in Western Illinois history in both career passing yards (8,269 in his career) and passing TDs (64). WR Tony Tate hauled in 2 catches for 87 yards and 1 TD (one, a 71 yard catch that was only saved from being a TD by a shoestring tackle after a long gain). RB Steve McShane had 4 catches for 41 yards and 1 TD. The Leathernecks had practically no success on the ground, rushing for a team total of 57 net yards…2.7 yards per run. LB Quentin Moon had 11 tackles (7 solo) and DL Khalen Saunders finished with 9 tackles (2 solo) including 2.5 for loss (1 sack). WIU Punter Adam Fellner had 9 punts averaging 45.2 yards per punt.

ILSU QB Brady Davis was held to 120 yards passing with 0 TDs or INTs. WR Spencer Schnell had most of those yards, nabbing 7 catches for 79 yards. The air game wasn’t really needed, however, as RB James Robinson carried most of the workload, rushing for 145 yards and 3 TDs. LB Zackary Mathews led the Redbirds with 7 tackles (6 solo) and DE Romeo McKnight had 5 including a sack. DB Luther Kirk had 1 tackle, but also had the “pick-6” to help put the game away for ISU. ISU Punter JT Bohlken had a great game, with 9 punts and a 47 yards per punt average including 5 inside the 20, and 4 of 50+ yards including a 61-yarder.

Western Illinois falls to 2-3 overall, 1-1 in the MVFC and will head home to take on North Dakota State next weekend. Illinois State rebounds from last week’s loss and has a 4-1 overall record and is 1-1 in the MVFC. They’ll bring in Southern Illinois next weekend for the Redbird’s Homecoming.

Missouri State at South Dakota

Coming off the heels of an impressive win against Illinois State, the Missouri State Bears headed north to take on the South Dakota Coyotes. On the first drive, USD drove down the field and RB Ben Klett took it the last 3 yards into the end zone to start off 7-0. MSU responded on their next drive, moving 75 yards down the field and finishing with a 10-yard TD run by QB Peyton Huslig to tie things up. Late in the 1st, USD’s Klett would again find the end zone on a 19-yard run. Early in the 2nd, MSU would again tie the game on a 32-yard run by Huslig. USD attempted a 36-yard FG on their next drive, but it sailed wide right. The Coyotes’ kicker, Mason Lorber, got a chance to redeem himself later in the quarter, hitting one from 22 yards out to take a 3-pt lead. Again the Bears would respond, this time with an 11-yard TD pass to WR Antwan Woods, which would give them a 21-17 lead heading into halftime.

Early in the 2nd half, USD DB Andrew Gray picked off a MSU pass which set up a drive capped off with another Ben Klett rushing TD, this time covering 2 yards, giving South Dakota a 3 point lead again. On the next MSU drive, Andrew Gray forced an MSU fumble which gave USD a short field and eventually resulted in a 39-yard FG. MSU wasn’t about to give up though, hitting a 10-yard TD pass to WR Tyler Currie to take a 1 point lead. The USD kicker, Lorber, missed a 42-yard attempt, but then early in the 4th, an 81-yard drive would finish with a TD pass to WR Levi Falck and a successful 2-point conversion to put the Coyotes up 35-28. MSU would use a 7+ minute drive to cover 77 yards and get down to the 1 yard line, but on 3rd and 1, stopped for no gain, then 4th and 1, a loss of 2 to turn the ball over on downs. They weren’t able to get any closer the rest of the game, which gave South Dakota the 35-28 win.

MSU QB Peyton Huslig had 283 yards on 21 completions with 2 TDs and 1 INT and led the Bears in rushing with 91 yards and 2 TDs. WR Tyler Currie caught 7 passes for 113 yards and 1 TD. LB Angelo Garbutt came up with 11 tackles (9 solo) with 1.5 for loss and LB McNeece Egbim had 10 stops (9 solo) with 1 for loss. DE Matt McClellan had 2 sacks out of his 5 solo tackles.

USD QB Austin Simmons threw for 337 yards and 1 TD. WRs Dakari Allen and Levi Falck had 73 receiving yards on 5 catches and Falck had 1 TD catch. RB Ben Klett ran for 96 yards and 3 TDs. DB Andrew Gray earned the MVFC Defensive Player of the Week award for the second week in a row with his 10-tackle performance (7 solo) with 2 forced fumbles and an INT. Gray’s twin brother, LB Alex Gray, also had 10 tackles (8 solo) including 1 for loss. Punter Brady Schutt had an impressive day, averaging 49.3 yards on 3 punts.

Missouri State drops to 3-2 with a 1-1 conference record and hits the road again, traveling to Indiana State next weekend. South Dakota’s win gives them a 3-2 record as well, but they’re 2-0 in the MVFC and will stay at home to welcome Northern Iowa to Vermillion.

Southern Illinois at Youngstown State

Two fairly decent offenses against two lackluster defenses usually shapes up for a high scoring game. Apparently someone forgot to tell the Salukis and Penguins. Early in the 1st quarter, Youngstown State hit a 32-yard FG for the first points of the game. SIU wasn’t able to capitalize on an interception by SIU LB Airan Reed two drives later and were forced to punt. The first drive of the 2nd quarter ended with a TD run by SIU RB D.J. Davis to give the Salukis a 7-3 lead, and then with about 4 ½ minutes left in the half, a 24-yard FG by YSU kicker Zak Kennedy pulled the Penguins within 1. SIU would miss a 44-yard FG and YSU’s next drive would end with an interception by SIU DB Jeremy Chinn in the end zone and returned 51 yards to mid-field to preserve the 7-6 score at halftime.

A 7 minute drive by YSU to start the second half stalled out and Kennedy missed a 42-yard FG. In the 4th, SIU QB Matt DeSomer ran 1 yard for a TD to cap off their own 7+ minute drive that started in the 3rd, and would give SIU a 14-6 lead. Youngstown put together another long drive, which looked like it was going to be cancelled out by an interception by SIU Safety Joe Patterson, but a pass interference call against SIU gave the ball back to YSU and RB Tevin McCaster took it into the end zone 3 plays later on a 1-yard run. A 2-point conversion was successful and the game was tied at 14. SIU was held to a 3-and-out that ended up pushing them 13 yards back, and then YSU was able to get close enough to hit a 34-yard FG to take the win, 17-14.

SIU QB Matt DeSomer threw for 105 yards and ran for 100 yards and 1 TD. RB D.J. Davis had 65 yards and 1 TD rushing. The top receiver for SIU was WR Raphae Leonard, although it was only 49 yards on 4 catches. CB Madre Harper led the Salukis in tackles with 9 (8 solo) and LB Airan Reed and S Jeremy Chinn each had interceptions.

YSU QB Montgomery VanGorder had 137 yards passing with 2 INTs and ran for 48 yards. RB Tevin McCaster had 116 yards and a TD. The top YSU receiver was WR Zach Farrar with 3 catches for 36 yards. CB Chrispin Lee and LB Christiaan Randall-Posey each had 11 tackles (9 solo).

Southern Illinois drops to 1-4 overall and 0-2 in the conference and heads to Normal, IL next weekend to take on Illinois State. Youngstown State is now 2-3 overall, 1-1 in MVFC games and will play at South Dakota State in a week.

Indiana State at South Dakota State

Meanwhile in Brookings, South Dakota State seemed to have left their defense in Fargo last week. On the first drive of the game, SDSU QB Taryn Christion hit a 12-yard pass to WR Adam Anderson for a TD to go up 7-0. INSU responded on their next drive, finishing with a 1-yard run by QB Ryan Boyle to tie the game. SDSU RB Isaac Wallace fumbled the ball giving it back to the Sycamores, which they turned into a 33-yard FG by kicker Jerry Nunez to take a 10-7 lead. SDSU WR Jacob Brown hauled in a 9-yard TD catch early in the 2nd and the Jackrabbits were up by 4. INSU WR Rontrez Morgan took a 22 yard pass into the end zone for a TD, but then South Dakota State responded with a drive ending in a 5-yard TD pass to RB Mikey Daniel, giving SDSU a 21-17 lead going into halftime.

In the 3rd, SDSU pulled ahead even more on a TD pass to RB Isaac Wallace and then an Indiana State fumble by Boyle gave the ball back to the Jackrabbits. SDSU took 5 plays to get down the field and then on a fake FG attempt, kicker Chase Vinatieri ran it in for another TD and SDSU was up 35-17. The Sycamores were not about to go away quietly, as a 62-yard TD run by RB Ja’Quan Keys pulled INSU back within 11. On the next drive, a 69-yard run by RB Pierre Strong set up a 3-yard TD pass to the WR Anderson. Early in the 4th, Indiana State capped off a drive that began in the 3rd with a 4-yard run by QB Boyle for a TD and the “Trees” were back within 11. SDSU got close enough on their next drive for a 30-yard Vinatieri FG, but INSU came back with a 35-yard TD pass to WR Morgan to be down by just 7. SDSU ran the ball quite a bit on the next drive to try to run down the clock but was only able to get close enough for a 27-yard Vinatieri FG…”Bunnies” up by 10 with just over 3 minutes to go. 4 plays into the next drive, another long TD run by ISU RB Keys (57 yards this time) pulled them within 3. The defense then held SDSU to a 3-and-out and used timeouts to only allow 27 seconds to tick off the clock, giving ISU the ball with 1:39 left and down by 3. Back-to-back passes of 30 and 47 yards got ISU across the field pretty quickly and close enough for a 25-yard FG by Jerry Nunez to tie up the game as time expired.

Into overtime, the Sycamores started with the ball and got down to the 1 yard line, but was only able to come away with a FG. The Jackrabbits then got close and RB Wallace took them the final 2 yards for a TD, giving South Dakota State the 54-51 win in overtime.

ISU QB Ryan Boyle threw for 276 yards and 2 TDs with 0 INTs and ran for 60 yards and 2 TDs. The Junior Iowa transfer earned the MVFC Newcomer of the Week award for his performance. WR Rontrez Morgan hauled in 9 catches for 155 yards and 2 TDs, while RB Ja’Quan Keys ran for 159 yards with an 8.4 yards per run average with 2 TDs. LB Jonas Griffith led the team with 18 tackles (11 solo) and DB Jamal Jones was right behind with 17 (12 solo). Kicker Jerry Nunez hit FGs from 33, 25, and 20 yards out. Center Wyatt Wozniak was awarded the MVFC Offensive Lineman of the Week award.

SDSU QB Taryn Christion threw 20 passes on 31 attempts for 229 yards and 5 TDs. WR Adam Anderson hauled in 4 of those for 57 yards and 2 TDs, TE Kallan Hart also had 57 yards, and WR Jacob Brown had a receiving TD. RB Pierre Strong led the team with 95 rushing yards, RB Isaac Wallace had 81 rushing yards and the game-winning TD as well as 39 yards and 1 TD receiving. Chase Vinatieri earned the MVFC Special Teams Player of the Week award for his FGs from 30 and 27 yards as well as his 15-yard TD run.

Despite the impressive offensive effort, Indiana State drops to 2-3 and 0-2 in the conference and will head back home, bringing in Missouri State for the Sycamores Homecoming next week. South Dakota State will spend the week figuring out where their defense has gone to before inviting Youngstown State to town for the Jackrabbits “Hobo Days” (Homecoming) game.

MVFC Standings

Team, Overall (MVFC)
North Dakota State, 5-0 (2-0)
South Dakota, 3-2 (2-0)
Illinois State, 1-1 (4-1)
South Dakota State, 3-1 (1-1)
Missouri State, 3-2 (1-1)
Northern Iowa, 2-3 (1-1)
Western Illinois, 2-3 (1-1)
Youngstown State, 2-3 (1-1)
Indiana State, 2-3 (0-2)
Southern Illinois, 1-4 (0-2)

How’d I Do?

NDSU at UNI – I thought NDSU would win by around 30-21…they won 56-31. NDSU has been a bit more impressive offensively than I expected although I’m kinda surprised they gave up 31 points to…well…anybody (outside of someone like Penn State, Ohio State, or ‘Bama). NDSU won by more than I thought they would, but I’m still counting it in the win column for me.

WIU at ILSU – I thought…well…I hoped…that WIU would win by 3. It was close for a while…minus the last 4 ½ minutes of the game, I might have been right, but it was not to be. WIU lost and so did I on my pick. On the plus side, at least the predicted thunderstorms for the day stopped shortly before the game was to start and held off pretty much the entire day, so it was a nice day to watch football, weather-wise.

MSU at USD – I predicted a 32-24 USD win at Dakota Days and it was…a 35-28 win for USD. I’d call that pretty close.

SIU at YSU – I thought there wouldn’t be much defense in this game and predicted a 42-38 YSU win. I was wrong about the lack of defense, but pretty close on the margin, with YSU winning by 3.

INSU at SDSU – I (and probably most people) expected a complete blowout; my prediction was 55-10 SDSU. I was nearly dead-on for SDSU’s points (54)…but that was only after INSU had put up 51 and taken them to OT. Yes, SDSU won, but this game was so far from what I expected, I don’t feel like I can count this as a win for my prediction.

Last week I was 4-1, so adding in 3-2 for this week’s games, I’m 7-3 overall.

Up next week are early afternoon games involving Missouri State at Indiana State, Southern Illinois at Illinois State, and Youngstown State at South Dakota State, then evening games of North Dakota State at Western Illinois and Northern Iowa at South Dakota.

Patriot League Week 6: Dwindling Daylight and Dwindling Hope

With the first month of the season in the books it’s safe to say that nationally ranked Colgate is the team to beat as league play really gets going. Thanks to a quirk in scheduling, the Raiders will be halfway to back-2-back Patriot League Championships with a win over Bucknell today. The leaves haven’t even reached their peak in Hamilton yet! Meanwhile, the other the five Patriot League teams in action this week are in dire need of a victory just to keep hope of a winning season alive.

#22 Colgate (4-0, 2-0) at Bucknell (1-4, 1-0) 12 P.M. Christy Matthewson Stadium Lewisburg, PA

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The Pick: Colgate will look to continue their dominance over Bucknell this century (15-2) when the two Patriot League foes due battle in Central Pennsylvania. Both teams enter this game off emotional wins. Colgate’s 23-0 victory over William & Mary gave the Raiders a second (New Hampshire) CAA scalp this year. That’s a regular season feat no other Patriot League program can claim. Meanwhile, the Bison head home after taking down Holy Cross in Worcester. Bucknell’s offense was sparked by the recent switch to sophomore Logan Bitikofer (19-29 193 yards 1 TD 1 INT) at quarterback. That spark will need to turn into a full on inferno if the Bison’s offense is going to put up points against Colgate’s top ranked defense (5 ppg allowed). The Raiders defense is more than capable of making an inexperienced QB’s life miserable. The Bison will put up a good fight at home but are outmanned in nearly all aspects. This is shaping up to be Colgate’s best team since 2003.

Colgate 27 Bucknell 13

Holy Cross (1-4, 0-2) at New Hampshire (0-4)12 P.M. Wildcat Stadium Durham, NH

Live Streaming: NBCSports.com/Boston

The Pick: This is a desperation game for both teams as the calendar turns to October. New Hampshire entered the season with a Top 10 ranking but a blowout loss to arch-rival Maine in the opener started a 4 week spiral. Preseason All-CAA QB Trevor Knight was injured the lopsided loss to the Black Bears. Without one of the top quarterbacks in FCS the Wildcat offense has struggled (8 ppg) mightily. Holy Cross also knows a thing or two about a bogged down “O” (18 ppg) this season. Outside of strong second halves against Yale and Colgate the Crusaders have been unable to establish much of a passing or rushing attack (2.6 ypc last week against Bucknell). Geoff Wade is expected to get the start this week but don’t be surprised if Emmitt Clifford sees time if the offense continues to struggle. This is hard game to get a read on given how poorly both teams have played to start the year. There is one key intangible that does favor New Hampshire. The Wildcats should have plenty of motivation to avenge last year’s blowout loss in Worcester. Plus, they’re at home.

New Hampshire 30 Holy Cross 14

Georgetown (1-4) at Fordham (0-4) 1 P.M. Jack Coffey Field Bronx, NY

Live Streaming: Patriot League Network

The Pick:  Georgetown heads to the “Big Apple” to take on Fordham in the Patriot League opener for both teams. Fordham is coming off a much needed bye following 4 straight double digit losses to start the 2018 campaign. First year coach Joe Conlin must find a combination along the offensive line that can protect the quarterback and open up some holes for the Rams talented RB’s. The Fordham ground attack has been among the worst in FCS (13 ypg) through the first four games. After showing promise against Central Connecticut State, QB Tim DeMorat is expected to get his second straight start. In keeping with the common theme this weekend, Georgetown needs to find a way to generate points. They put up 39 in the season opener but have been stuck in neutral, boarding on reverse, since (7.5 ppg). QB Gunther Johnson (188 ypg 5 TD 3 INT) has been serviceable. It’s the continued lack of production from the running back (Jackson Saffold 146 yards total) position that holds the offense back. For all their struggles, Fordham has a roster with littered with really talented players. That alone should get them some league wins.

Fordham 24 Georgetown 10

Lehigh (1-3) at Princeton (3-0) 1 P.M. Princeton Stadium Princeton, NJ

Live Streaming: ESPN+

The Pick: Lehigh is another team that needed last week’s early season bye. After a solid week one win over Saint Francis it was 3 straight ugly Saturdays for the Mountain Hawks. The offense (15 ppg) has failed to gain traction despite having the QB-RB duo of Brad Mayes (160 ypg) and Dominic Bragalone (86 ypg). Both players have seen a significant decrease in their production this year relative to their career averages. Their struggles can largely be contributed to an offensive line that has been mostly a revolving door due to a rash of nagging injuries. As a result, there’s been little to no continuity within the unit through the first four games. Princeton on the other hand has had no such troubles on offense to start the year (48.7 ppg). The Tiger “O” gets its mojo from QB John Lovett. The dynamic signal caller is averaging 214 ypg passing and 97.7 ypg rushing (leads the team). Lovett has accounted for 14 TDs (9 passing, 5 rushing) in 3 games! If Lehigh wants to avoid another disappointing non-conference outcome they must get the offense going. If the “O” can’t sustain drives the defense will tire like it did against Penn. Odds are the Mountain Hawks keep it interesting for a while before the Tigers pull away in the second half.

Princeton 45 Lehigh 28