AGS Poll: Week 2 Top 25 Results

Week 2 was an unusually stable one in the AGS Top 25 for it being this early in the season. With only 6 total losses (only 2 vs FCS teams) amongst top 25 teams there wasn’t a lot of movement. The top 4 were unchanged from last week with North Dakota State, James Madison, South Dakota State, and Eastern Washington maintaining their positions at #1-#4 respectively. Maine got back into the top 5 for the first time since the final 2018 poll to round out the top 5.

As for teams moving up Montana State led the way rising 3 spots to #12 after their win over fellow ranked foe Southeast Missouri State. Villanova took advantage of some losses in front of them sliding up 4 spots to #19 after a 2-0 start. Jacksonville State got back on track this week with a win over Chattanooga and subsequently got a 3 spot bump into a tie for #22. They shared the #22 spot with Youngstown State who rose up 6 spots to achieve their first AGS Top 25 ranking since the preseason 2018 poll. Elon also climbed back into the top 25 moving up 3 spots to #24 after taking out The Citadel.

There wasn’t much for teams dropping in the rankings and still maintaining their spot in the top 25. The only team to drop more than 2 spots and still land in this week’s top 25 was Southeast Missouri State who fell 5 spots to #21 after their aforementioned loss to Montana State. Despite being idle Wofford fell out of the top 25 as did Indiana State who almost fell completely out of the poll after being upset by Dayton last Saturday.

In terms of conference representation the CAA led the way putting 6 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the Big Sky and MVFC with 5 each, the Southland with 3, and the OVC with 2 teams in the top 25. Once again 9 conferences were represented in the top 25.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 2221 80
2 James Madison Dukes 2113 7
3 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 2064 2
4 Eastern Washington Eagles 1905 1
5 1 Maine Black Bears 1713
6 -1 UC Davis Aggies 1700
7 Weber State Wildcats 1691
8 Northern Iowa Panthers 1573
9 1 Towson Tigers 1346
10 1 Central Arkansas Bears 1301
11 -2 Kennesaw State Owls 1280
12 3 Montana State Bobcats 1189
13 Furman Paladins 1084
14 -2 Nicholls State Colonels 1082
15 -1 Illinois State Redbirds 1045
16 2 Montana Grizzlies 1010
17 4 Villanova Wildcats 652
18 2 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 639
19 -2 North Carolina A&T Aggies 627
20 2 Southeastern Louisiana Lions 434
21 -5 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 364
22T 3 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 353
22T 6 Youngstown State Penguins 353
24 3 Elon Phoenix 300
25 -1 Princeton Tigers 239
ORV:
26 3 Sam Houston State Bearkats 193
27 -5 Wofford Terriers 183
28 -2 Stony Brook Seawolves 76
29 NR Mercer Bears 64
30 5 South Carolina State Bulldogs 53
31T 2 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 46
31T 1 Yale Bulldogs 46
33 4 Duquesne Dukes 43
34T NR Austin Peay Governors 32
34T Dartmouth Big Green 32
36T -5 Eastern Kentucky Colonels 24
36T NR Southern Illinois Salukis 24
38 -19 Indiana State Sycamores 21
39 1 Lamar Cardinals 19
40 NR McNeese State Cowboys 16

Most significant win:
Most significant loss:

Dropped out the poll:
Cal Poly Mustangs
Chattanooga Mocs
The Citadel Bulldogs
New Hampshire Wildcats

Join the discussion here: https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?233507-AGS-Poll-Results-WEEK-2-POLL-2019-SEASON

Patriot League: Week 3 Preview

It’s week 3 and the Patriot League is still looking for its first win (0-8). The added restrictions the Patriot League place upon its teams continue to adversely affect the on-field results. As bad as 2018 was for the league, this year seems to trending in an even worse direction.

Things don’t figure to get much easier for the six league members that are in action Saturday given a relatively tough slate of games. Colgate gets a much needed bye after a brutal two game stretch to open their 2019 campaign.

Marist (0-0) at Georgetown (0-1, 0-0) 12:30 P.M. Cooper Field; Washington D.C.

Live Stream: GUHoyas.com

The Need to Know: The Hoyas will try to avoid an 0-2 start when they host Marist Saturday afternoon in Washington D.C.. Georgetown opened up the 2019 season with a disappointing 27-20 loss to Davidson. Like Davidson , Maris is a member of the Pioneer Football League. The Red Foxes were picked to finish 4th in the PFL’s preseason poll and placed one player, OL Dan Wittekind, on the preseason all-league team. Marist finished 2018 5-6 overall and 5-3 in league play. The Hoyas easily dispatched of the Red Foxes 39-14 last season.

For the second straight week (allowed 481 yards vs Davidson) the Hoya “D” will be tested by a veteran offense. Marist returns a plethora of experience and production at the skill positions. The Hoyas have the personnel on defense to bounce back. Their fate will come down to quarterback Gunther Johnson and “O” ability to step up and produce for 4 quarters. Home-field and a game worth of experience should help Georgetown eek out a victory.

Prediction: Georgetown 27 Marist 24

Lafayette (0-1, 0-0) at Monmouth (0-1) 1 P.M. Kessler Stadium; West Long Branch, NJ

Live Stream: ESPN3

The Need to Know: The Leopards take the 60 minute bus ride across the Garden State to take on the Monmouth Hawks. Lafayette will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing season opening loss to William & Mary. The Leopards held a 10-6 halftime lead before surrendering 24 unanswered points in the third quarter. Monmouth is coming off a 48-13 shellacking by FBS Western Michigan. The Hawks were picked to finish 2nd in the Big South after last year’s solid 8-3 (4-1) record. Monmouth is led by an excellent trio of skill players on offense. QB Kenji Bahar, RB Juwan Farri and RB Pete Guerriero were Preseason All-Big South selections.

Lafayette “D” must be able to contain Monmouth’s offense in order to have a chance because points figure to be at a premium for the Leopards. Lafayette head coach John Garrett appears to have opted for the starting quarterback by committee approach (Cole Northrup started against W&M 10-17 129 yards, 1 rushing TD). Who the leads the offense is obviously less important than how well they do it. Garrett will need the offense to produce in order to beat a good Monmouth team.

Prediction: Monmouth 34 Lafayette 13

New Hampshire (0-0) at Holy Cross (0-1, 0-0) 1 P.M. Fitton Field; Worcester, MA

Live Stream: Patriot League Network

The Need to Know: Holy Cross welcomes New England rival New Hampshire to historic Fitton Field Saturday afternoon. The Crusaders return home after last week’s disappointing blowout loss to Navy. The Wildcats will be opening their season after a week 1 bye. New Hampshire will be starting the season without their longtime head coach Sean McDonnell while he addresses a health issue. Former All-American quarterback and Payton Award winner Ricky Santos was named the interim head coach in late August. New Hampshire was pegged for 7th in the preseason CAA Poll. The Wildcats finished 4-7 last season which was their first losing record since 2003. The poor season also ended their record consecutive FCS/1-AA Playoff appearance streak at 14 years.

This is a very important game for both teams. New Hampshire is looking to bounce back from their worst season in well over a decade while Holy Cross is seeking their first signature win of the Bob Chesney era. The odds seem a bit stacked against the Wildcats considering they’re starting redshirt freshman Brett Edwards at quarterback, it’s their first game, they’ll be will be without their two time Eddie Robison Award (best coach in FCS) winning coach and they’re on the road. Holy Cross seems primed to take advantage of such a situation. Quarterback Connor Degenhardt (16-29 167 yards vs Navy) and the Crusader offense need to step up in order to prevail.

Prediction: Holy Cross 28 New Hampshire 24

Fordham (0-1, 0-0) at Ball State (0-1) 2 P.M. Scheumann Stadium; Muncie, IN

Live Stream: ESPN3

The Need to Know: Fordham will be looking to erase last week’s heartbreaking loss to Central Connecticut State from their memory when they travel to the Heartland to take on FBS Ball State. The Cardinals started their season with a hard fought 34-24 loss to in-state rival Indiana. Ball State Quarterback Drew Plitt had an excellent game (298 yards 2 TDs 1 INT) in defeat.  It was the Cardinals defense (474 yards allowed) that proved to be their undoing. Ball State was picked to finish 5th in the MAC West Division following last year’s 4-8 record.  Ball State has not had a winning record since former Lehigh head coach Pete Lembo led them to a 10-3 record in 2013.

Fordham is clearly the underdogs against the deeper, more physically gifted Cardinals. But that doesn’t mean the Rams can’t put forth a respectable effort against David Letterman’s alma mater. Ram quarterback Tim DeMorat (PL Offensive Player of the Week) leads an offense capable of moving the ball and limiting Ball State’s possessions. How Fordham’s defense stacks up against Plitt, RB Caleb Huntley a group of dangerous pass catchers will determine how competitive this game is for 60 minutes.

Prediction: Ball State 31 Fordham 21

Bucknell (0-1, 0-0) at Sacred Heart (0-1) 6 P.M. Campus Field; Fairfield, CT

Live Stream: NEC Front Row

The Need to Know: Bucknell and Sacred Heart will both be looking to put opening week blowout losses behind them when the two tangle in the Nutmeg State Saturday evening. Bucknell was soundly beaten 56-12 by a solid Temple (FBS) squad while Sacred Heart was thumped 42-14 by #6 Maine in Orono. The Pioneers shared the NEC Title with Duquense last season (7-4) but lost out on the auto-bid to the playoffs due their head-to-head loss to the Dukes. Sacred Heart was tabbed to finish 2nd in the Preseason NEC poll and placed two players on the Preseason All-Conference team; RB Jordan Meechum (1,396 yards in ’18) and DE Chris Agyemang (15.5 TFL in ’18). The Pioneers have posted winning records in 5 out of the last 6 seasons.

Bucknell will continue to rely to on their defense until their new head coach Dave Cecchini figures out the current log jam at quarterback and  RB Chad Freshnock is able to return from injury. Despite the Bison being clearly outmatched last week against Temple they competed hard for 60 minutes. That type of effort will be needed again this week against a tough Sacred Heart team.

Prediction: Sacred Heart 34 Bucknell 27

Lehigh (0-1, 0-0) at #21 Villanova (1-0) 6 P.M. Villanova Stadium; Radnor Township, PA

Live Stream: FloFootball

The Need to Know: Lehigh makes the relatively short bus ride down the PA Turnpike to take on their CAA nemesis, the Villanova Wildcats. The Mountain Hawks are coming off a crushing 14-13 loss to St. Francis. Villanova opened their 2019 season August 24th with a dominating 34-14 win over Colgate then enjoyed an early season bye last weekend . Villanova used a powerful ground attack (239 yards) and Daniel Smith’s efficient day through the air (14-29 205 yards 3 TDs) to dispatch of Colgate. The Villanova defense held the Raiders rushing attack to 77 yards and scored a TD on a pick six.

Lehigh’s offense, especially their line, must play significantly better if they want to have a chance at the big upset. Defensively, the Mountain Hawks undersized line will have a very tough time matching Justin Covington and Villanova’s physical running attack. Based on each team’s first game the Wildcats seem well positioned to improve upon their ridiculous 33-4 all-time record against opponents from the Patriot League.

Prediction: Villanova 38 Lehigh 13

The FCS Wedge 2019-0904 – Wk2 PREVIEW

These are the games that are previewed for week 2 in the FCS

Southeast Missouri State @ Montana State
North Dakota @ North Dakota State
Chattanooga @ Jacksonville State
Delaware @ Rhode Island
Cal Poly @ Weber State

Possible FBS upsets this week

Kennesaw @ Kent State
Maine @ Georgia Southern
Fir,am @ Georgia State
Southern Illinois @ UMass

What has happened to the Patriot League lately? Why do they seem to being going backwards now that they have scholarships?

LISTEN HERE

The FCS Wedge 2019-0904 – Wk1 REVIEW

1) The Big Story – One FBS win on the docket.

Central Arkansas 35 Western Kentucky 28

Southeast Missouri 44 Southern Illinois 26

Southeast Louisiana 35 Jacksonville State 14

Montana 31 South Dakota 17

Towson 28 The Citadel 21

North Carolina A&T 24 Elon 21

South Carolina State 28 Wofford 13

2.) AGS Poll – Discussion of how the voter’s felt about the performances from the first week of action.  By the way check out the nice work done on the graphic by our own Chad Lenz.  Thank you Mr. Lenz, well done sir.

CLICK HERE FOR PODCAST

Big Sky Quad Shot: Week 1

After a long hiatus the football season has returned! I guess to a lesser extent, I’ve returned too. Been a hectic year of adulting but I think I have things under control now. I know you, the loyal readers of this blog, missed it.

That was sarcasm.

The first week or two of the Big Sky season is hard to judge any of the teams on based on their play up and play down games, so I’ll try to reserve too much judgement for any single team at the time. There were some games that the Big Sky probably should have won, like Weber State over San Diego State and if Northern Colorado could have put together a little bit of offense I think they could have beaten San Jose State.

Northern Arizona collected a nice win over Missouri State. Montana picked up a nice win over South Dakota, as it’s always nice to knock off a Missouri Valley team. Portland State kept things well within their grasp against the SEC’s Arkansas. Cal Poly hammered on San Diego, and UC Davis was really never out of their game against California.

Weber State and San Diego State went about as I expected, just a lack of points. I thought Weber may win that game earlier last week, and had it not been for a kick return called back they probably would have won that game. The Aztecs are a reasonably good Mountain West team with an elite running back in Juwon Washington, however, just couldn’t generate enough offense to get anything on the board against a sturdy Aztec defense.

I thought Jake Meier would have a better game against California, but under Justin Wilcox the Bears have fully transitioned from Sonny Dykes’ run and shoot offense to a more balanced team that can keep opponents in check, such as they did to the Aggies on Saturday. UC Davis will still be a tough team in the Big Sky this season despite the loss of Keelan Doss to their offense.

Again, too early to tell how good and bad any of these teams are at the moment. Montana State still looks like it might not have a quarterback after a rough showing in Lubbock over the weekend. Eastern Washington is still in a transition period of Gage Gubrud transferring and Eric Barriere stepping in to take over the Eagle offense. Sacramento State did a good thing this weekend and blew out a D2 opponent instead of losing to them, that’s progress for the Hornets. I’m sure the tens of Hornet fans will appreciate that comment.

Onto the rest..

Scores

Missouri State 23
Northern Arizona 37

Northern Colorado 18
San Jose State 35

Montana 31
South Dakota 17

Eastern Washington 14
Washington 47

Idaho 7
Penn State 79

Portland State 13
Arkansas 20

Montana State 10
Texas Tech 45

San Diego 34
Cal Poly 52

UC Davis 13
California 27

Weber State 0
San Diego State 6

Southern Oregon 19
Sacramento State 77

Southern Utah 23
UNLV 56

 

Big Sky Player of the Week

This week’s Big Sky player of the week is Cal Poly quarterback Jalen Hamler. Hamler was 8/11 for 221 yards and three touchdowns, while also rushing for 96 yards and two scores as the Mustangs upset San Diego in San Luis Obispo this past weekend.

 

Big Sky MVP Candidates

Jalen Hamler, QB, Cal Poly – 8/11 for 221 yards, 3 TDs, 96 yards rushing and 2 TDs
Dalton Sneed, QB, Montana – 37/52 for 430 yards and 3 TD, 1 rushing TD
Case Cookus, QB, Northern Arizona – 18/29 for 290 yards and 2 TD
Kevin Thomson, QB, Sacramento State – 14/20 for 303 yards and 4 TD, 90 rushing yards and 1 TD
Eric Barriere, QB, Eastern Washington – 21/35 for 211 yards and 1 TD

 

Big Sky Power Rankings

Eastern Washington
UC Davis
Weber State
Montana State
Montana
Northern Arizona
Cal Poly
Sacramento State
Portland State
Idaho State
Northern Colorado
Southern Utah
Idaho

 

The Quad Shot

Over the weekend on Twitter the Wyoming Barstool account tweeted something about maybe they should be in the SEC after beating Missouri. Idaho’s Barstool twitter account replied with a comment like, “We’ll take your place in the Mountain West.” I laughed like a maniac when I saw that because Idaho may not even be good enough to be in the Big Sky, or the Sun Belt, much less the Mountain West. I think that particular experiment is probably forever put to bed.

I thought that Montana State and Eastern Washington would get blown out much worse than they did. Good job to those teams for at least putting up a fight in their FBS play up games. Thought for sure Texas Tech would run up 60 points on that Bobcat defense. Which, if you look at the total yards they in fact did pummel the Cats despite an almost even TOP. Would hate to think Big Sky teams are starting to play defense after all these years.

Thought Northern Colorado had a reasonable chance at beating San Jose State on the road. The Spartans are in for another year of being hot garbage and their stadium only has half the seats that it normally does this season due to some remodeling.. the stadium was still only a third full, clocking in a little over 13K for the game. The Bears kept it close’ish but couldn’t quite get the points on the board. I’m not convinced SJSU would be competitive in the Big Sky.

Cal Poly running up the score on San Diego is something I didn’t see coming. The Mustangs don’t usually explode like that, but here they ran up 386 yards on 49 carries to beat the Toreros. It’s always interesting to see San Diego play these types of games.. it seems like they go relatively untested in their conference schedule. Getting kicked in the teeth during non-conference and in the playoffs suggests they might generally be paper tigers. There’s going to be some upset Torero fans after reading that, but it’s true.

AGS Poll: Week 1 Top 25 Results

It was a topsy turvy week in the AGS top 25 in week 1 with 14 of the top 19 teams in the preseason poll taking losses. Despite that the top of the poll stayed pretty stable. North Dakota State remained at #1. They were followed by James Madison and South Dakota State who each moved up a spot after taking close losses to FBS foes. Eastern Washington dropped 2 spots down to #4 and UC Davis maintained their #5 ranking.

As for other teams on the move Northern Iowa moved up 7 spots to #8 after taking Iowa State to 3 overtimes before ultimately dropping a tight one. Central Arkansas used a win over FBS Western Kentucky to shoot up 12 spots to #11. North Carolina A&T and Montana each moved up 7 spots to #17 and #18, respectively, after solid wins to start off their seasons. Villanova and Southeastern Louisiana also sky rocketed up to #21 and #22, respectively, after not even receiving votes in the preseason poll following impressive week 0/1 showings.

With that movement there were plenty of teams going in the opposite direction headlined by Wofford who plummeted 14 spots into a tie at #22 after a loss to South Carolina State. Jacksonville State dropped 16 spots to barely hang on at #25 after their loss to aforementioned Southeastern Louisiana which kept their streak of consecutive weeks in the AGS top 25 alive now standing at 75 (which is the 3rd longest active streak behind North Dakota State and South Dakota State). Elon and Colgate dropped out of the top 25 after taking on season opening losses – in Colgate’s case a pair of season opening losses.

For conference representation the Big Sky, CAA, and MVFC each placed 5 teams into the top 25. There were followed by the Southland with 3 and the OVC and SOCON who each put 2 teams into the top 25. Overall there were 9 conferences represented amongst the top 25.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 2191 78
2 1 James Madison Dukes 2044 7
3 1 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 2008 3
4 -2 Eastern Washington Eagles 1912 1
5 UC Davis Aggies 1859
6 Maine Black Bears 1766
7 Weber State Wildcats 1579
8 7 Northern Iowa Panthers 1379
9 2 Kennesaw State Owls 1269
10 3 Towson Tigers 1259
11 12 Central Arkansas Bears 1151
12 -2 Nicholls State Colonels 1089
13 4 Furman Paladins 994
14 Illinois State Redbirds 985
15 -3 Montana State Bobcats 888
16 4 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 730
17 7 North Carolina A&T Aggies 723
18 7 Montana Grizzlies 682
19 Indiana State Sycamores 681
20 2 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 518
21 NR Villanova Wildcats 341
22T NR Southeastern Louisiana Lions 328
22T -14 Wofford Terriers 328
24 -3 Princeton Tigers 301
25 -16 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 281
ORV:
26 1 Stony Brook Seawolves 233
27 -9 Elon Phoenix 208
28 NR Youngstown State Penguins 178
29 -1 Sam Houston State Bearkats 176
30 -3 Chattanooga Mocs 154
31 1 Eastern Kentucky Colonels 89
32 -1 Yale Bulldogs 61
33 -7 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 60
34 -5 Dartmouth Big Green 59
35T New Hampshire Wildcats 50
35T NR South Carolina State Bulldogs 50
37 -7 Duquesne Dukes 41
38 NR Cal Poly Mustangs 38
39 NR The Citadel Bulldogs 33
40 -2 Lamar Cardinals 29

Most Significant Win: Central Arkansas Bears
Most Significant Loss: Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Dropped out of the poll:
Alcorn State Braves
Colgate Raiders
Incarnate Word Cardinals
Samford Bulldogs
San Diego Toreros
Western Illinois Leathernecks

Join the discussion here: https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?232932-AGS-Poll-Results-WEEK-1-POLL-2019-SEASON

Patriot League Week 2 Preview

All seven Patriot League teams are in action this weekend after Colgate-Villanova got the 34th season of Patriot League football started last Saturday.

Saint Francis (0-0) at Lehigh (0-0) 12:30 P.M. Goodman Stadium Bethlehem, PA

Live Stream: Patriot League Network

The Need to Know: For the second straight year St. Francis makes the 4 hour trek from Loretto to Bethlehem to face Lehigh in the season opener. The Mountain Hawks snuck past the Red Flashes 21-19 last season thanks to a blocked field goal as time expired. St. Francis was picked 6th in the preseason NEC poll on the heels of last year’s 4-7 campaign. The Red Flashes are starting several new faces at the skill positions on offense.  As a result, they might lack  the weapons and experience to test Lehigh’s questionable “D”.

Lehigh’s offense must contend with a veteran St. Francis defense that returns six starters from a unit that was statistically (290.3 ypg in’18) among the best in FCS last season. Tyler Monaco made his first career start against St. Francis last year so he got a taste of what he’ll be going up against. The Mountain Hawks talent and experience on offense should ultimately prove to be the difference.

The Pick: Lehigh 30 Saint Francis 20

Georgetown (0-0) at Davidson (0-0) 1 P.M. Richardson Stadium Davidson, NC

Live Stream: GUHoyas.com

The Need to Know: Georgetown’s most eagerly anticipated football season in at least two decades kicks off Saturday against the Davidson Wildcats. The Wildcats themselves enter the 2019 season with some momentum of their own following last year’s 6-5 record. Davidson was picked to finish 5th in the 10 team Pioneer Football League. The Hoyas must contend with a Wildcat offense that led FCS in ypg (561) and rushing (442). Davidson’s powerful rushing attack is led by Wesley Dugger (1,241 yards in ’18).

Georgetown is the deeper, more talented team but Davidson has a chance to make this game interesting if their offense can pick up where it left off last year. Getting the “O” going won’t be easy against a Hoya defense which should be one of the better units in FCS.

The Pick: Georgetown 37 Davidson 24

Bucknell (0-0) at Temple (0-0) 3 P.M. Lincoln Financial Field Philadelphia, PA

Live Stream: ESPN3

The Need to Know: The Dave Cecchini era officially gets underway when the Bison travel to the “City of Brotherly Love” to take on the Temple Owls (FBS). It’s the first meeting between the two Pennsylvania schools since 1970. The Keystone State schools battled annually from 1927-1970 for the “Old Shoe Trophy”. Temple was picked 4th in the AAC East following last season’s 8-5 mark. Like the Bison, the Cherry and White will be led by a first year head coach. Rod Carey headed to North Broad Street after spending six years at Northern Illinois as head coach.

The Owls are the far superior team in every aspect. They’re led on offense by NFL prospect Anthony Russo (2,563 yards 14 TD 14 INT) at quarterback and a veteran OL. The Bison will need to possess the ball and hope for several turnovers to come their way in order to be competitive for 60 minutes. Odds are this one gets out of hand in a hurry.

The Pick: Temple 59 Bucknell 13

#13 Colgate (0-1) at Air Force (0-0) 3:30 P.M. ET Falcon Stadium Colorado Springs, CO

Live Stream: ESPN3

The Need to Know: Colgate heads to Colorado to take on Air Force for the second time in the last six seasons (AF 38-13 in ’13). The Raiders will be trying to bounce back from last week’s lopsided loss to Villanova while the Falcons will be kicking off their 2018 campaign. Air Force (5-7 in ’18) was picked to finish third in the Mount West Conference’s “Mountain Division”.  Their defense is led by two preseason all-league selections; DL Jordan Jackson and DB Jeremy Fejedelem. Offensively the Falcons return two capable quarterbacks (Isaiah Sanders/Donald Hammond III), a veteran RB and four offensive lineman. The pieces are in place for the Falcons option attack to be highly productive.

Colgate has a very tall task trying to avoid a 0-2 start against a potentially 8-9 win Air Force team at 6,000 feet. The Falcons are a perfect 23-0 all-time against 1-AA/FCS teams. The Raiders need to slow down the Air Force option attack and generate big plays on offense to have a chance of remaining competitive for 4 quarters.

The Pick: Air Force 51 Colgate 17

Holy Cross (0-0) at Navy (0-0) 3:30 P.M. Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium Annapolis, MD

Live Stream: CBSsports.com

The Need to Know:  For the first time ever Holy Cross and Navy will do battle on the gridiron. Both teams enter 2019 looking to bounce back from rather disappointing 2018 seasons (Holy Cross 5-6/Navy 3-10). The Midshipmen were projected to finish 5th in the AAC West Division following last year’s 10 loss season. Despite Navy’s struggles last year they continued to have one of the top rushing attacks in FBS (276 ypg). The Middies defense last in ’18 had a hard time keeping opponents off the scoreboard (35.5 ppg allowed) and remains a concern heading into the opener against the Crusaders.

If Holy Cross’s quarterback Connor Degenhardt can handle the jitters of making his first carrier start in a hostile environment the Crusaders have the weapons to move the ball on the Navy defense. The issue for Holy Cross will be the inexperienced defense trying to contain the Middies well-oiled triple-option offense.

The Pick: Navy 49 Holy Cross 27

Lafayette (0-0) at William & Mary (0-0) 6 P.M. Zable Stadium Williamsburg, VA

Live Stream: Flofootball.com

The Need to Know: Lafayette and William & Mary will meet for the fifth time (5 all-time meetings) in the last seven years Saturday evening in Williamsburg. The Leopards won the inaugural meeting in 2012 while the Tribe have won the last three contests (most recent 34-7 at Lafayette in ’15). This will be the first game the Tribe have played at the 1-AA/FCS  level (1982-present) without Jimmye Laycock as their head coach (1980-2018). Mike London, who led Richmond to the 2008 FCS National Title, takes over for Laycock. The Tribe finished 4-6 in Laycock’s final season and were picked to finish 11th in the CAA this year. William & Mary has won 33 out of their last 35 games against non-conference FCS teams. Interestingly, the only two losses during that period came against Patriot League foes, Lafayette in 2012 and Colgate last season.

Both teams possessed anemic offenses (W&M 13 ppg/Laf 13.6 ppg) in 2018 and neither are expected to light it up this season. The defenses are the strength of the Tribe and Pards so the recipe is there for a low scoring game. The Tribe have the more talented roster top to bottom which should carry them to the win.

The Pick: William & Mary 21 Lafayette 13

Central Connecticut State (0-0) at Fordham (0-0) 6 P.M. Jack Coffey Field Bronx, NY

Live Stream: Patriot League Network

The Need to Know: Perhaps the most intriguing game featuring a Patriot League team this weekend resides in the Bronx when the Devils and Rams meet for the third straight year. Central Connecticut State is expected to challenge for the NEC title (picked 3rd in preseason poll) in Ryan McCarthy’s first season as head coach. The Devils “O” was the top scoring (33.8 ppg) unit in the NEC last season with McCarthy as the offensive coordinator. The unit returns a veteran offensive line and one of the best running backs in the NEC, Aaron Dawson (896 yards 13 TDs).

The outcome of this game might  boil down to the Devils excellent offensive line versus Fordham’s retooled d-line. Central Connecticut State is breaking in a new quarterback and figures to rely on the rushing attack to set the tone. This game feels like a toss-up on paper so the home team gets the slightest of edge.

The Pick: Fordham 27 Central Connecticut State 24

2019 Patriot League Preview: Lehigh

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

2019 Record: 3-8 (2-4)

Head Coach: Tom Gilmore, 1st Season, Career Record (72-81, 41-40)

Last Patriot League Title: 2017

Last FCS Playoff Appearance: 2017

2019 Schedule

8/31 Saint Francis

9/7 @ Villanova

9/14 @ UC-Davis

9/21 BYE

9/28 Merrimack

10/5 @ Colgate

10/12 BYE

10/19 @ Fordham

10/26 Georgetown

11/2 Holy Cross

11/9 @ Bucknell

11/16 @ Sacred Heart

11/23 Lafayette

Overview

Former Holy Cross head coach (’04-’17) Tom Gilmore enters his first season as the commander of the Lehigh program. Gilmore takes over for Andy Coen who was unfortunately forced to retire due to Early-onset Alzheimer’s. To many, Gilmore was a surprising hire given the fact he was abruptly fired by Holy Cross midway through the 2017 season.  The Crusader program really struggled the last six years of his tenure after a promising first few seasons. He inherits a Lehigh program just two seasons removed from back-2-back Patriot League titles. Lehigh did struggle mightily in Coen’s last season as head coach. Effort and preparation were often lacking. Likely due to the strain the staff was under. The one thing that last season cannot excuse is the chronically terrible defense (35.9 ppg allowed in ’18).

If Gilmore wants the Mountain Hawks to make a run at a 13th Patriot League Title the “D” must improve drastically. The schedule is tricky but negotiable relative to other teams in the league.

Tom Gilmore
Lehighsports.com

Offense

The 2018 offense entered the season with high hopes before ultimately crashing and burning in rather epic fashion (16.6 ppg). Between poor intangibles and subpar offensive line play the unit failed to gain traction outside of two games, Bucknell and Lafayette. This year there’s far more stability which should go a long way in increasing productivity. Lehigh’s skill position players are among the best in the league. The “Os” fate will come down to the line and offensive coordinator Scott Brisson’s ability to mesh with new quarterback Tyler Monaco.

Senior Tyler Monaco takes over for Brad Maybes as the Mountain Hawk’s quarterback. The Florida native is well versed in the offense and has gotten a few opportunities to acquire game experience. Monaco has the potential for a breakout year given Lehigh’s talent at the skill positions. Junior Addison Shoup is expected to back up Monaco.

The Mountain Hawks return an excellent wide receiver combo. Preseason All-PL selection Jorge Portorreal (55 rec 794 yards 3 TDs) led the conference in yards last season and finished second in receptions. Devon Bibbens (33 rec 576 yards 3 TDs) gives Lehigh an extremely dangerous #2 WR. Sophomores Austin Damach and De’Shun Mickens provide the “O” with good size (both 6’3) and depth out wide. Senior Matt Prendergast and sophomore Alex Snyder will likely battle it out for time at TE. Freshman Ian O’Connor has the potential to see meaningful reps as well.

Lehigh must replace one of the best running backs in program history, Dominic Bragalone. Trying to fill those shows will be sophomore Rashawn Allen (337 yards 3 TDs in ‘18). The Georgia native showcased tremendous talent as Bragalone’s primary backup in 2018.  Junior Evan Chadbourn and sophomore Peter Lucas should also see significant time.

The biggest question is in the trenches. The Mountain Hawk’s OL struggled to run and pass block throughout last season. Injuries were partly to blame for a lack of continuity. Even so, far too many one-on-one battles were lost. Seniors Nick Rosen (G) and Alex Motley (T) along with juniors Chris Fournier (T) and Matt Fest (G) are expected to start. Justin Gurth (So) and Ryan Oneidas (Jr) will be in the running for the center spot. There are some quality pieces in place but it ultimately has to produce in order for the offense to return to form.

Jorge Portorreal
Lehighsports.com

Defense

The Lehigh defense has been among the very worst in FCS for the better part of the last 5-6 years. During that time it has surrendered points (35 ppg ’15, 26 ppg ’16, 41 ppg ’17, 35 ppg ’18) and yards (454 ypg ’15, 418 ypg ’16, 477 ypg ’17, 446 ypg ‘18) in bountiful proportions. Defensive coordinator Mike Kashurba has his work cut out in his second year on the staff. He was Gilmore’s DC at Holy Cross. The Mountain Hawks return an excellent secondary and a solid group of line backers. The DL has experience but depth and size remain a major concern.

If the “D” is going to make a legitimate improvement under the new staff the secondary will likely be leading the way. The Mountain Hawks return a loaded defensive backfield despite failing to place a single player on the Preseason All-PL Team. Fifth year senior Sam McCloskey (77 TT in ‘18) and Riley O’Neil (62 TT in ‘18) have been mainstays on the defense since they arrived at Lehigh. The cornerback position is set with senior Marquis Wilson and junior Jaylen Floyd returning as starters. Depth and experience could be an issue as the season progresses.

The linebacker unit has the potential to be solid so long as the injury bug does not hit. There’s not a lot of experience waiting in the wings. Senior Keith Woetzel (6.5 TFL in ‘18) led the team in tackles last season returns to anchor the inside. Juniors Erik Slater, Pete Haffner, Nate Norris and Jon Seighman will be the major contributors. Riley O’Neil is expected to play the hybrid LB/S position that has become quite common in recent years. Freshman Jackson Michaels has the size and skill to work his way into the rotation as the season progresses.

The biggest question/concern is along the defensive front. The recent editions have failed to stop the run and struggled to pressure the quarterback; aka “the perfect storm”. The 2019 defense’s fate lies with the lines ability to significantly improve in those two crucial areas. Fifth year senior Juwan Morrow (5.5 TFL in ’18) and senior Davis Maxie (32 TT) will likely start at end. Sophomores Bartek Rybka and Michael Laurencelle will see time in the middle of Kashurba’s 3-4 defense. Juniors Jack Kircher and Zac Troxell should also see significant action. Senior Colin Nace will have an important role once he returns from injury.

Riley O’Neil
Lehighsports.com

Special Teams

Lehigh should have one of the better return units in the Patriot League. Jorge Portorreal and Jaylen Floyd are experienced returners with big play potential. The kicking game on the other hand figures to be much more of an adventure. Do it all Ed Mish graduated leaving the kicking duties to senior Alex Henning and/or Dylan Van Dusen. Henning saw significant time in 2017 when Mish missed time with an injury.

Overview

Lehigh enters 2019 with the feel of an ultimate wildcard. There are still plenty of players left from the Mountain Hawks 2016 and 2017 Patriot League Championship teams which provides a nice intangible. The Mountain Hawks continue to have one of, if not the most athletically gifted roster in the league. But there are still questions along the offensive and defensive line which is never a good thing. Tom Gilmore’s handling of the transition will also play a major role in how the 2019 season unfolds.

For Lehigh football, last season was one they wish never happened for multiple reasons. The struggles on and off the field the program faced were well documented. The Mountain Hawks now get to turn the page to a whole new chapter. The Mountain Haws should be considerably better under Gilmore’s watch in the short term. Odds are the defense will still be the Achilles heel to some extent. The schedule is tricky without being truly difficult which should open the door for a winning record.

How he and the staff gels will determine Lehigh’s ceiling beyond 2019.

Prediction: 6-5 (3-3)

2019-0828 – Wk0.4 PREVIEW

Well it is the final preseason show and run down of the AGS Top 40.  This week the Top 10 take the spotlight.  The list of teams covered are as such:

1 North Dakota State Bison
2 Eastern Washington Eagles
3 James Madison Dukes
4 South Dakota State Jackrabbits
5 UC Davis Aggies
6 Maine Black Bears
7 Weber State Wildcats
8 Wofford Terriers
9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks
10 Nicholls State Colonels

Near the end of the show Lance & Kris go over the three big questions for the first week of the FCS season!

1) What will be the best shots at FCS over FBS upsets?

2) Give me one team out of the top 10 that will earn a seed this year.

3) Give me one team in the current top 10 that will miss the playoffs all together.

Lance has more that one so this ought to be interesting.

Podcast Link

2019 Patriot League Preview: Lafayette

Lafayette Leopards

2018 Record: 3-8

Head Coach: John Garrett, 3rd year (6-16, 5-7)

Last Patriot League Title: 2013

Last Playoff Appearance:  2013

2019 Schedule

8/31 @ William & Mary

9/7 @ Monmouth

9/14 Sacred Heart

9/21 @ Albany

9/28 Penn

10/5 BYE

10/11 @ Princeton

10/19 @ Georgetown

10/26 Bucknell

11/2 Fordham

11/9 @ Holy Cross

11/16 Colgate

11/23 Lehigh

Overview

The 2010’s go down in history as the decade in Lafayette football’s long history. As the decade nears its conclusion the Leopard’s record stands at a cringe worthy 30-70. They have failed to notch a single winning season through the first nine years of the 2010s. The lone highlights for the Leopards to this point are a surprising run to the 2013 Patriot League that included two upset wins over nationally ranked Fordham and Lehigh along with the 2014 win over the Mountain Hawks at Yankee Stadium. This current “debacled decade” comes after the program enjoyed considerable success from 2004 through the 2009 season.

If Lafayette wants to close out this decade on a high note and build momentum for the 2020s the offense must improve significantly in John Garrett’s third year. There’s plenty of experience at key positions so the potential is there for an increase in productivity. The defense returns 2 Preseason All-PL selections but must overcome depth issues along the defensive line and at linebacker if it wants to be more formidable than last year’s edition (29 ppg allowed). All three phases of the team will be tested by a challenging 12 game slate.

John Garrett
LehighValleyLive.com

Offense

Lafayette’s offense has been among the very worst in all of FCS the last two seasons (12 ppg in ’17, 13 ppg in ’18). Head Coach John Garrett has full control of the “O” so much of the unit’s struggles fall on his shoulders. Garrett and Kort Shankweiler (QB Coach) must get improved play from the quarterback position if the offense is going become more productive. The rushing attack took a step forward in 2018 (87 ypg) after totaling an anemic 430 (39 ypg) yards in 2017.

Junior Sean O’Malley has started every game for Lafayette since he matriculated to the Eastern Pennsylvania school from his hometown of Beverly Hills California. O’Malley struggled for the majority of the 2018 campaign (158 ypg 4 TDs 12 INTs) but seems firmly entrenched as the starter heading into the season opener against William & Mary. Fellow junior Cole Northrup provides an experienced back up. Sophomore Troy Fisher and freshman Keegan Shoemaker could find themselves battling it out for reps if O’Malley continues to struggle.

If the quarterback play improves Lafayette has the weapons at wide receiver to have a solid passing attack. The top three pass catchers (Pearson, Revere and Spigner) from 2018 return. Senior and Preseason All-PL selection Nick Pearson (41 rec 592 yards) gives the Leopards a true #1 out wide. Fellow senior Julian Spigner (20 rec 188 yards) and junior Quinn Revere (38 rec 336 yards 2 TDs) from a trio capable of big things. Freshman Jordan Hull has the talent to work his way into a meaningful role as the season progresses.  Jake Taggert appears to have the inside track start at TE. The junior missed the majority of last season with an injury. Senior Demetrius Breadlove made the switch from defensive line to TE during the offseason.

The offensive line has contributed to the Leopards troubles over the last few years. First year OL coach Christian Pace has a relatively experienced group with good size to work with. Senior Jake Marotti (Preseason All-PL) and junior Gavin Barclay are expected to be the starting tackles. Juniors Taron Hampton and John Burke will likely be at center and guard respectively. There are several sophomores (Josh Roberts, Ben Wild, Joe Grundhoffer, Casey McCollum) that will be in the mix for the other starting guard spot and/or rotational playing time. Freshman Nathan Slater is worth keeping an eye on as the season moves along.

The ground attack went from inept in 2017 (39 ypg) to simply bad in 2018 (87 ypg).  The lack of production is not due to subpar talent. It comes down to the OL, the ability to pass and Garrett’s play calling. Junior Selwyn Simpson (352 yards 2 TDs)is locked into the starting role. Simpson is a skilled, powerful runner who could have a breakout season if those three things improve. Senior Mike Dunn and junior J.J Younger will also see significant time. Younger is the pass catching threat out of the backfield.

WR Nick Pearson

Defense

Lafayette has some quality individual talent on defense but overall depth could become a serious problem if there’s any amount of attrition. The “D” allowed a less than ideal 29 ppg in 2018. To be fair, the unit was often put in bad spots last season thanks to the offense’s struggles.

Heading into the season the strength of the defense is the secondary. Preseason All-PL selection Yasir Thomas (48 TT) will be the leader of the defense from the safety position. A pair of seniors, Eric Mitchell (2 TFL) and Tre Jordan (26 TT), provide plenty of experience at cornerback. Senior Colin Thorne, sophomore Romeo Wykle and freshman DeRon Gilbert will likely battle it out for playing time at the other safety position. There’s several sophomore and freshman that will compete for playing at time at CB.

Lafayette must replace their top two tacklers from last year at linebacker. Juniors Major Jordan (66 TT) and Ryan Dickens appear to be locks for two of the three starting positions in defensive coordinator Manny Rojas’s 4-3 scheme.  Keith Earle’s move from DE to LB gives the Leopards a big, physical presence in the second level of the “D”. Sophomores Ty Hranicka and Christian Holler should see significant reps.

The defensive line is led by Preseason All-PL DE Malik Hamm (15 TFL). The sophomore had a spectacular freshman year and seems destined for national honors before too long. With Breadlove’s and Earle’s position change there’s no clear cut favorites at the other three starting spots. Senior Ryan Barnett, junior Harrison Greenhill, sophomore Ian Grayson saw significant time last year. Lafayette has only seven DL listed on their roster so depth is an obvious concern. Another issue is the lack of size along the front; only one player (Grayson) listed over 265 pounds. Given the limited depth and size up front there’s a good chance the Leopards will once again struggle to stop of the run (154 ypg allowed in ’18).

DE Malik Hamm
GoLeopards.com

Special Teams

Junior Jeffrey Kordenbrock is a talented kicker who can handle all three responsibilities if need be. Kordenbrock was especially impressive kicking field goals last year (7/11 overall, 5/9 from 40-49). J.J. Younger has plenty of experience returning kicks.

Outlook

It’s certainly not a reach to suggest that this is an extremely important season for John Garrett and the Lafayette football program. Garrett came to Easton with the expectation that he would get the offense rolling again after it hit a wall in Frank Tavani’s final few seasons.  Amazingly, the “O” has actually gotten worse in Garrett’s first two years at the helm. It likely won’t improve until the head coach and quarterback are able to get on the same page. Garrett must be willing to make a switch at QB if the incumbent Sean O’Malley continues to be ineffective.

When the dust settles odds are Lafayette will close out the 2010s without a winning season. The offense seems destined to struggle to score until the OL and quarterback raise their level of play. The defense has some nice pieces but overall suffers from a lack of size in the trenches and depth at each level. Add in a schedule that is extremely challenging and the recipe is there for another ugly season on College Hill.

Prediction: 2-10 (1-5)