2019 Patriot League Preview: Colgate

Colgate Raiders

2018 Record: 10-2 (6-0)

Head Coach: Dan Hunt, 6th Season (36-23, 24-6)

Last League Title: 2018

Last FCS Playoff Appearance: 2018, Quarterfinalist

2019 Schedule

8/24 Villanova

8/31 Air Force

9/7 BYE

9/14 @ William & Mary

9/21 Maine

9/28 @ Dartmouth

10/5 Lehigh

10/12 Bucknell

10/19 @ Cornell

10/26 @ Holy Cross

11/2 @ Georgetown

11/9 Fordham

11/16 @ Lafayette

11/23 BYE

Overview

Colgate enters 2019 on the heels of one their best seasons ever at the FCS level. The 2018 team was led by one of the statistically great defenses in the subdivision’s history. The Raiders gave up a grand total of 29 points (3.6 ppg) in their 9 games against FCS competition (FBS Army scored 28)! The Raider’s “D” pitched five shutouts and had a stretch of 32 scoreless quarters! The offense, while not overly explosive, was extremely steady throughout the year (30.1 ppg). Even special teams had their moments to shine. Chris Puzzi’s game winning FG against James Madison punched Colgate’s ticket to the Quarterfinals. Unfortunately for Colgate, Puzzi’s FG would be the final points of the year as the eventual national champion North Dakota State Bison blanked the Raiders 35-0 the following week in Fargo.

The question now is what does Colgate do for an encore? They return a handful of All-League selections and plenty of experience in key positions. The major concerns are at wide receiver, linebacker and in the secondary. There’s also a pretty daunting schedule to navigate.

GoColgateRaiders.com

Offense

There’s a lot to like (1st Team All-PL QB and excellent OL) about the Colgate offense heading into the 2019 season but there’s also two serious question marks, WR and RB. The unit was extremely efficient last year against the weaker competition but when facing the better teams it often struggled. With offensive coordinator Chris Young moving on to Elon after 16 seasons in Hamilton and no replacement being named, it appears Hunt will have more of an influence on the offense this season.

Leading the way on offense is not only the best returning QB in the Patriot League (Preseason Offensive POY), but one of the better signal callers in all of FCS, junior Grant Breneman (160.5 ppg 6 TDs 4 TDs passing, 7 TDs rushing in ‘18). The preseason Payton Award candidate is especially dangerous when he gets outside of the pocket. If there’s one area he could use some improvement it’s throwing to the second and third level from the pocket. Making that task a little trickier will be a very green group of wide receivers.

Amazingly, due to graduation and players leaving the program Colgate does not return a single wide receiver that caught a pass in 2018. While experience is clearly lacking, the one thing Colgate does have at the WR position is size; senior’s Nick Gill and Frank Rica III are 6’3 as it junior Nick Draught. Then there’s 6’4 freshman Ryan Cekay who could blossom into a redzone terror. Keep an eye on shifty fellow freshman Rory Boos in the slot as the season progresses. Breneman will likely lean on 1st Team All-PL TE Nick Diaco (9 rec 114 yards) in key situations before the new crop of wide receivers settle in.

Another area of concern on offense heading into the season is at running back. The loss of fifth year stud James Holland will hurt the rushing and passing attack. Taking over the RB duties will be the duo of senior Alex Mathews (147 yards 5 TDs in ’18) and junior Malik Twyman (292 yards 1 TD). Diminutive sophomore John Cox (5’7 200) should see his role increase in 2019. Mathews (Preseason 1st Team All-PL) and Twyan should from a solid duo behind what will be one of the top offensive lines in all of FCS.

Along with Breneman at QB, the strength of the Raider offense will be the OL. A pair of 1st Team All-Patriot Leaguer’s OT Jovaun Woolford and G Jack Badovinac lead the way. Senior Charlie Holsopple, Juniors Sam Diehl and Jayvion Queen seem like the leaders in the clubhouse to start at the other OL positions. All three have All-League potential. Sophomores Michael Griggs and Shiva Puttagunta should also be in the mix to see time as the season goes along.

Grant Breneman

Defense

It’s safe to say that an encore performance of the 2018 Raider defense will be impossible. Between graduation and an uptick in competition, the historical stats and complete domination the Colgate “D” reveled in last season is a thing of the past. That’s not to say the 2019 edition won’t be the best unit in the league, because it will, or it won’t be quite good nationally, because it will be.

The strength of the defense in 2019 will be the defensive line. 1st Team All-American (STATS) DE Nick Wheeler is the ultimate disrupter off the edge while Cam Rohr (6’2 315)is an excellent cog in the middle. Junior Abdoul Kouyate will see significant time at the other end position. Senior Jacob Escaro, junior Owen Rosenberger, sophomore E.J. Simmons and freshman Will Anderson (Navy transfer) should all see important snaps as well.

The linebacker unit will be led by senior 1st Team All-PL selection Nick Ioanelli (6 TFL, 28 solo in ’18). Senior Shane Shaffner, juniors Blane Briggs and Trevor Thompson seem likely to start in defensive coordinator Paul Shaffner’s 3-4 alignment. Freshman Tyler Flick was an excellent athlete (All-State HS RB) who could see significant time. Replacing the caliber of T.J. Holl (17 TFLs, 121 total tackles) and Dillon Deluliis (73 total tackles) will be nearly impossible but there is some good experience returning. However, depth could be an issue.

Like at linebacker, the secondary returns a stud in 1st Team All-PL (STATS 2nd Team All-American)senior CB Abu Daram-Swaray but lost a lot of experience and production. Taking over at the other CB position will likely be either senior Jordan Jefferson or sophomore Collin Heard. Both got a lot of reps last year in reserve roles. Aiden Gaertner and Marques Bruce seem to have the inside track to the starting safety positions. Kyan Brumfield and talented freshman Keshaun Dancy should see significant time as well in the secondary.

Nick Wheeler
Herosports

Special Teams

1st Team All-PL PK Chris Puzzi leads the specials teams unit. The senior’s most memorable kick last year was his 38 yard buzzer beater against JMU in the second round of the FCS playoffs. Abu Daramy-Swaray will likely again have a significant role in the return game. TySean Sizer and perhaps fresham Rory Boos will get a few opportunities in the return game as well. The punting duties will likely be handled by senior Tommy Halkyard (37.4 avg in ’18).

Outlook

While Colgate returns a strong talent base and experience at key positions, the Raiders will be hard pressed to come close to last year’s magical run. First, Colgate lost a tremendous amount of production due to graduation. Every team suffers graduation losses but rarely do so many key players leave at once. Wide receiver, linebacker and the secondary are without question a major concern heading into the season.  Secondly, the schedule is going to be much harder in 2019. Colgate benefited greatly by feasting on one of the weakest schedules in all of FCS last season; 28-58 record of FCS competition/0 teams with a winning record.

Heading into the season Colgate appears to have just enough to squeeze out another league title and trip to the playoffs. However, neither is a foregone conclusion. The Raiders margin for error this season will be much smaller than it was in 2018. They certainly can’t afford Breneman getting banged up like he was down the stretch in 2018.

Prediction: 8-4 (5-1)

2019 Patriot League Preview: Bucknell

Bucknell Bison

2018 Record: 1-10 (1-5)

Head Coach: Dave Cecchini, 1st year (17-38 career record)

Last League Title: 1996

Last FCS playoff Appearance:  Never

2019 Schedule

8/31 @ Temple

9/7 @ Sacred Heart

9/14 Villanova

9/21 BYE

9/28 Princeton

10/5 Holy Cross

10/12 @ Colgate

10/19 @ Towson

10/26 @ Lafayette

11/2 BYE

11/9 Lehigh

11/16 Georgetown

11/23 @ Fordham

Overview

2019 ushers in the Dave Cecchini era in Lewisburg. This comes after the Bucknell administration opted not to bring back Joe Susan for a 10th season. Susan was let go after a disastrous one win 2018 campaign; the Bison’s fourth straight losing season. Cecchini comes to Central Pennsylvania after serving as Valparaiso’s head coach for the last five seasons. Prior to that, the former Lehigh All-American WR served as the offensive coordinator at his alma mater from 2010 thru 2013. Before his stint at Lehigh, he was the OC at Harvard and The Citadel.

There’s no question Cecchini knows offense and Patriot League football. He also knows what it’s like to try and turn around a morbid program. Bucknell is without question one of toughest jobs in all of FCS due to its location, ho-hum tradition and general apathy that surrounds the program. All things considered, Valparaiso might be the most difficult job in the subdivision.

Dave Cecchini (left)
BucknellBison.com

Offense

It will be up to Cecchini and offensive coordinator Jason Miran to formulate a strategy to get the Bison offense out of their multi-year slump (13.4 ppg in ’18). The lack of offense under Joe Susan’s watch further drained the life out of a Bucknell program that has struggled for decades to stir up excitement. One of the best ways to get people interested in Bison football is to have an offense that scores points and generates big plays. Losing is bad enough. But losing in a boring, lifeless manner is arguably the worst way to go down.

The straw that stirs the drink on offense is obviously the quarterback. Heading into the 2019 season Bucknell has three signal callers with significant experience. Sophomore QB Tarrin Earle (386 yards 3 TD, 2 INT in 4 games) should have the inside track to the starting position. Earle was a highly touted prospect out of New Jersey and did some good things when given the opportunity late last season. Senior John Chiarolanzio (434 yards 0 TDs, 6 INTs in 4 games) and Junior Logan Bitikofer (1050 yards, 7 TDs, 8 INTs in 6 games) will vie for playing time. Bitikofer is the most likely to push Earle in fall camp.

The strength of Bucknell’s offense should be the running game. In fact, heading into the season the Bison have the deepest, most proven stable of running backs in the Patriot League. The return of Chad Freshnock (1,139 yards/16 TDs career) is significant. The bruising senior RB was injured last August and missed the entire 2018 season. Joining him will be shifty sophomore Jared Cooper (525 yards, 2 TDs). Cooper also emerged as a reliable pass catcher (38 rec 287 yards 2 TDs). Marquis Carter gives the Bison a third quality back. Carter was expected to be the starting RB last year but he was lost for the season following an injury in the 2018 opener against William & Mary.

Sophomore WR Brandon Sanders (44 rec 516 yards 0 TDs) is coming off a great rookie season and will be the focal point of the passing attack. Sanders numbers in 2018 were especially impressive when factoring in the revolving door at QB during the course of the season. Senior Justin Bethea (21 rec 250 yards 1 TD) seems likely to be penciled in at the other receiver position. Slot WR/RB Stefone Moore-Green is talented enough to find an important role in Miran’s offense. Senior Marcus Ademilola (missed all of ’18 with an injury) should vie for all league honors at TE.

The offensive line returns a plethora of experience and versatility. Junior guard P.J. Barr anchors the unit. Fellow Juniors Simor Krizak and Justis Peppers (6’4 330) seem like a safe bet to start at the tackle positions. Seniors Chuck Sanders, Erik Lukner and Justin Falcone (missed ’18 w/injury) along with sophomore Michael Killiri figure to be key contributors along the OL as well.

Chad Freshnock
BucknellBison.com

Defense

Like in 2017, the Bucknell defense was rather feast or famine (28.3 ppg/388 ypg allowed) last season. The Bison emerged as one of the top defensive units in the country during Susan’s first 5-6 years but there’s been a steady decline in recent seasons. The ups and downs on defense combined with an inept offense created the perfect recipe for  10 losses in 2018. First year defensive coordinator Ryan Manalac will be in charge of retooling the once proud Bucknell “D”.

Leading the way on defense is hybrid LB Simeon Page (9 TFL/4.5 sacks in ’18). Despite missing 4 games in 2018, the junior still garnered 1st team All-PL honors. Senior Sam Chitty (74 tackles in ’18) and Rick Mottram (10 TFL in ’18) are expected to join Page as starters in Manalac’s 4-3 base “D”. Jon Fox, Gerrit Van Itallie and Ryan Brida should also see significant time.

In the trenches, Fifth year senior Joe Shiano and junior Roger Mellado give the Bison two quality/experienced defensive ends. Senior John Hunt (6’0 300) figures to anchor the middle of the line. Hunt started the first 4 games of 2018 before suffering a season ending injury. 6’7 270 pound junior NNamdi Unachukwu will also start/see significant time assuming Manalac sticks with the 4-3 alignment. Seniors Sean Naiman, Blake Fletcher and Jimmy Sheehan, Junior Clay Myers and Sophomore Grayson Cherubino will to be key rotation players along the “D” line.

The Bison enter 2019 with serious question marks in the secondary. The cornerback and safety positions appear to be wide open heading into the season opener against Temple. Senior Mike Caruso, Junior Eric Butler and Sophomores Sterling Deary and Micah Dennis were all mainly role players in 2018. As a result, the door could be open for talented freshman Jonathan Searcy to work his way up the depth chart at cornerback. Gerrit Van Itallie will start at the hybrid safety/LB position while juniors Brandon Benson and Conner Romango should battle it out for the other starting spot. Freshman Justin Murray is a highly decorated DB out of Texas who will play safety in college. Expect Murray to get on the field early and often.

Simeon Page
BucknellBison.com

Special Teams

Fifth year senior Alex Pechin just might go down in history as the best punter/kicker in PL history. The 1st Team All-American (STATS) has a great chance to continue his career in the NFL if he so chooses. Junior Ethan Torres will handle the FG duties (5/8, long of 37 yards in ’18). Marquis Carter and Brandon Sanders should be Bucknell’s main punt/kickoff return weapons.

Alex Pechin
BucknellBison.com

Outlook

To be frank, Dave Cecchini inherits a mess in 2019. While Bucknell reached a level of respectability during Susan’s first few years, the wheels really started to fall off the last 2-3 seasons. There’s no doubt  Bucknell has quality individual pieces dotting the roster. The sophomore class is especially strong. Getting several key players back from season ending injuries in 2018 should provide a huge boost. Still, top to bottom the Bison lack the personnel to finish in the upper half of the league.

The schedule is extremely difficult for a team coming off a 1-10 record. Heading into the season it’s hard to see Bucknell managing more than two wins (Sacred Heart and Lafayette). If Cecchini can work his magic with the offense and the secondary comes together then another win or two is possible. The Bison are probably two or three years away from having a legitimate chance of ending their league title and playoff droughts.

Prediction: 2-9 (1-5)

The FCS Wedge – 2019-0807 – Wk0.1 PREVIEW

Topic 1: Preseason Poll

  • Preseason ballots and the way a voter (these two at least) comes up with their T25 submission.  It involves a little help from SID’s around the country, surfing websites, and generally being attentive in the off season to personnel changes.

Topic 2:  Discussing the poll results

  • AGS Poll Preseason 2019 Top 25 Results
  • Lance & Kris go over the entire T40 but in this episode (1 of 4 preseason episodes) they go into the 31-40 a bit more in depth to look at what might be expected this season.

This is the first show of the 2019 season and if you haven’t done so go subscribe to The FCS Wedge on Apple Podcasts or Stitcher and get it sent right to your phone.  We will love having you stop by this site each Wednesday going forward for our new episodes.

If the player does not show up for you click this link:

The FCS Wedge – 2019-0807 – Wk0.1 PREVIEW

AGS Poll: Preseason 2019 Top 25 Results

As the calendar is about to hit August college football is right around the corner and with that comes the preseason release of the AGS Top 25. 84 voters from the AnyGivenSaturday.com user community submitted ballots to create this consensus. Defending champion North Dakota State returned at #1. They were followed by last year’s runner-up Eastern Washington at #2. A familiar face in James Madison rose 6 spots from their final 2018 position to start off at #3.  One of last year’s semifinalists in South Dakota State was #4 and UC Davis rounded out the top 5 coming in at #5 after bursting onto the national scene in 2018. Each of the top 4 teams received first place votes which was the most teams to receive #1 votes since 2016.

Among the teams the AGS community sees making the biggest leaps in 2019 are the Towson Tigers who rose 13 spots from the final 2018 poll to the #13 ranking in this poll. Illinois State jumped up 18 spots to come in right behind them at #14. Furman rose 10 spots to #17 and Montana climbed 14 spots to #25. While many of the teams at the top of the poll are familiar names overall 12 of the 40 teams listed in the 2019 preseason poll were not listed in the 2018 preseason poll.

There were 10 conferences represented in the top 25 (and the other 3 all had at least one team among the ORV). They were led by the Big Sky, CAA, and MVFC who each placed 5 teams into the top 25. The OVC, SoCon, and Southland all had 2 teams and the Big South, Ivy League, Patriot League, and MEAC each had a single team placed into the top 25.

We’d also like to send a special thank you to the Sports Information Directors at the following schools for taking the time to send us some information on their football teams that allowed us to make this preseason poll the best it could be: Alabama State, Butler, Cal Poly, Campbell, Charleston Southern, Chattanooga, Davidson, Dayton, Eastern Washington, Furman, Grambling, Idaho, Illinois State, Indiana State, Jacksonville, Kennesaw State, Mercer, Montana, Montana State, Norfolk State, North Alabama, North Dakota State, Northern Colorado, Portland State, Sacramento State, South Dakota, South Dakota State, Southern Illinois, Southern Utah, Stetson, UC Davis, Weber State, Wofford, and Youngstown State.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 2037 59
2 Eastern Washington Eagles 1902 8
3 6 James Madison Dukes 1888 12
4 -1 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1836 5
5 UC Davis Aggies 1818
6 -2 Maine Black Bears 1524
7 Weber State Wildcats 1456
8 2 Wofford Terriers 1420
9 4 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 1320
10 1 Nicholls State Colonels 1183
11 -5 Kennesaw State Owls 1118
12 4 Montana State Bobcats 949
13 13 Towson Tigers 929
14 18 Illinois State Redbirds 872
15 -1 Northern Iowa Panthers 780
16 -8 Colgate Raiders 691
17 10 Furman Paladins 639
18 5 Elon Phoenix 604
19 5 Indiana State Sycamores 510
20 -5 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 441
21 -10 Princeton Tigers 376
22 -2 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 367
23 NR Central Arkansas Bears 346
24 -7 North Carolina A&T Aggies 339
25 14 Montana Grizzlies 287
ORV:
26 -4 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 226
27 -8 Stony Brook Seawolves 206
28 NR Sam Houston State Bearkats 196
29 -11 Dartmouth Big Green 160
30 9 Duquesne Dukes 93
31 NR Yale Bulldogs 85
32 NR Eastern Kentucky Colonels 75
33 5 Chattanooga Mocs 74
34 -5 Incarnate Word Cardinals 71
35T NR New Hampshire Wildcats 52
35T -5 San Diego Toreros 52
37 -7 Alcorn State Braves 47
38 -13 Lamar Cardinals 40
39 -4 Samford Bulldogs 33
40 -3 Western Illinois Leathernecks 29


Dropped out of the poll: 

Harvard Crimson
Idaho State Bengals
Monmouth Hawks
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Rhode Island Rams

Join the discussion here: https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?231057-AGS-Poll-Results-WEEK-0-POLL-2019-SEASON

Will EKU be a Top 25 team in 2019?

How shared information from EKU appeals to me as a voter:

EKU football 2019

  • Went 7-4 in 2018.
  • Ended 2018 on a 4-game winning streak.
  • Finished the season ranked 35th in the STATS FCS Poll.
  • Is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
  • One of only 27 teams to win seven or more games against Division I teams during the 2018 regular season.
  • 18 starters back in 2019.
  • Newcomers include two FBS offensive linemen and former Oregon State starting quarterback Conor Blount.
  • 48 of the 61 players listed on the season-ending depth chart will be back in 2019.
  • Lost only 18 players who had ever played in a game.
  • Suffered tough losses to FCS teams Marshall and Bowling Green in 2018. Eastern trailed the Thundering Herd by just seven points in the third quarter and led the Falcons until late in the fourth quarter.
  • Defense finished fifth in the nation with 19 interceptions.
  • Second in the OVC in points allowed per game and total defense in 2018.
  • Ranked 26th in the nation in rushing offense.
  • Led the OVC and finished 7th in the nation in time of possession.
  • Leodis Moore III led the OVC and was 9th in the country in INTs per game. He returns for his senior season in 2019.
  • Quarterback Parker McKinney threw for 333 yards in the season finale, becoming the first true freshman in program history to eclipse the 300-yard mark in a game.

First of all, the original instinctual reaction would be to ask, “Who did you play?” A quick look at Massey shows they did beat SEMO, which is a surprise that wasn’t included in the list. For some reason they are rated low in most of the computer rating systems. That’s usually a semi-barometer for a lot of voters.

The home losses  at the hands of Jacksonville State and Murray State didn’t sit well with voters last season, and I probably wouldn’t have had them in my top 30 last season. They would have been right below that, though.

However, the 2019 poll reflects a new season and this statistical outline reflects many strong points. First, they had a true freshman QB finish out the 2018 season with a very solid game.   They do return 48 out of 61 players from last season’s depth chart and 18 starters.  That’s a strong factor in wanting to vote for them.

Another bonus is the mention that they have two FBS OL transfers. Transfers are often an enigma when it comes to what they are going to be worth, but if they are coming from the FBS at the OL position, they’re probably going to be big guys.

EKU’s defense was mostly stout last season and they do well at controlling the time of possession.  I think they would be worth a 20-25 slot as a lot of quality teams had big graduating classes. Having a solid core returning provides tremendous appeal to a preseason poll voter.

EKU 2019 Football Schedule

AGS Poll: Final 2018 Top 25 Results

With the completion of the 2018 FCS season last Saturday comes the final release of the AGS poll this season. Due to the fact that there were 5 rounds of playoff games for voters to mull over we saw quite a bit of churn especially towards the bottom half of the poll from the final regular season poll. Not surprisingly North Dakota State was the unanimous #1 going wire-to-wire this year after winning their 7th FCS title in the last 8 years. They were followed by runner-up Eastern Washington at #2 and semifinalists South Dakota State and Maine at #3 and #4, respectively. UC Davis climbed up a spot to #5 to round out the top 5.

As for teams making big leaps they were headlined by Northern Iowa who jumped up 11 spots to #14 after beating Lamar in the first round and giving UC Davis all they could handle in the second round. Southeast Missouri State climbed up 8 spots to a season high at #15 after upsetting Stony Brook in the first round. Montana State rose 5 spots to #16 after a solid win over Incarnate Word in the first round. Duquesne shot up 11 spots to make their first ever appearance in the AGS top 25 coming in at #21 following their surprising (and convincing) first round win over Towson. Lamar also cracked the AGS top 25 for the first time ever rising 2 spots to come in at #25 after taking UNI to the wire in the first round.

Surprisingly enough there wasn’t much for big drops in this poll. Teams like Weber State, Stony Brook, and Elon took modest 4 spots drops to #7, #19, and #23 after falling a bit short of expectations in the playoffs. Indiana State also dropped 4 spots to #24 and Furman dropped 5 spots and out of the top 25 to #27 despite being (somewhat controversially) left out of the playoff field. The biggest fall of this poll belonged to Towson who plummeted 13 spots all the way out of the top 25 finishing at #26 after a lopsided first round upset loss to Duquesne.

The CAA led the way placing 6 teams into the top 25. They were followed by the Big Sky and MVFC who each had 4 and the Ivy League, OVC, SOCON, and Southland who each had 2 teams in the top 25. In all there were 11 conferences represented in the top 25 and all 14 conferences (including FCS Independents) were represented in the poll including the ORV teams.

Full results below:

Rank Change Team Total Points First Place Votes
1 North Dakota State Bison 1775 71
2 Eastern Washington Eagles 1701
3 2 South Dakota State Jackrabbits 1620
4 5 Maine Black Bears 1499
5 1 UC Davis Aggies 1462
6 -2 Kennesaw State Owls 1374
7 -4 Weber State Wildcats 1366
8 Colgate Raiders 1313
9 -2 James Madison Dukes 1142
10 1 Wofford Terriers 1061
11T 1 Nicholls State Colonels 973
11T -1 Princeton Tigers 973
13 1 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 802
14 11 Northern Iowa Panthers 705
15 8 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 682
16 5 Montana State Bobcats 598
17 North Carolina A&T Aggies 555
18 -2 Dartmouth Big Green 538
19 -4 Stony Brook Seawolves 375
20 -2 Delaware Fightin’ Blue Hens 357
21 11 Duquesne Dukes 333
22 2 East Tennessee State Buccaneers 332
23 -4 Elon Phoenix 326
24 -4 Indiana State Sycamores 255
25 2 Lamar Cardinals 249
ORV:
26 -13 Towson Tigers 228
27 -5 Furman Paladins 166
28 San Diego Toreros 108
29 -3 Incarnate Word Cardinals 96
30T 5 Alcorn State Braves 20
30T -1 Idaho State Bengals 20
32 2 Illinois State Redbirds 18
33 -3 Monmouth Hawks 13
34 4 Harvard Crimson 12
35 -2 Samford Bulldogs 8
36T -5 Rhode Island Rams 7
36T NR Western Illinois Leathernecks 7
38 -2 Chattanooga Mocs 3
39 NR Montana Grizzlies 2
40 NR North Dakota Fighting Hawks 1

Dropped out of the poll:
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Join the discussion here: http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?221036-AGS-Poll-Results-FINAL-POLL-2018-SEASON

The FCS Wedge – 2019-0102 – Wk. 17 National Championship Preview

Topic 1: Games

  • North Dakota State vs. Eastern Washington (finally)

Topic 2:  Awards

  • Player – Offense, Defense
  • Coach

Topic 3: Best sub .500 team

  • Cal Poly
  • The Citadel
  • New Hampshire

These are teams that played very strong schedules and could be on the cusp of having very good season next year.

This is the final show of the season and we thank you all for listening in and I personally thank Lance s& Kris for such great work again this year.

The FCS Wedge – 2018-1218 – Wk16 (Rd.4) REVIEW

Topic 1 Games

  • North Dakota State 44 South Dakota State 21
  • Eastern Washington 50 Maine 19

Topic 2 What we learned

  • Weaker conferences like the NEC, Big South, and Patriot are still quite a ways behind the power conferences.
  • It’s really hard to reach the Championship Game.
  • Home field matters.

Topic 3:

  • Are the playoffs only about crowning a champion?
  • Has the FCS become boring?
  • Are FCS teams less talented today than a decade ago?

This is the last show until after the Christmas break when we will come back right after New Year to breakdown the title game as well as what our thoughts from this terrific season of FCS Football.

MVFC in the Semifinals – In Review

MVFC LogoThe Scores

(for both games, not just MVFC)

South Dakota State – 21
North Dakota State – 44

Maine – 19
Eastern Washington – 50


South Dakota State at North Dakota State

The Not-Dakota-Marker game started off this time around as a defensive battle, with a couple of 3-and-outs to start the game. The Bison would break the stalemate, using a 32-yard pass from QB Easton Stick to RB Seth Wilson to get down close to the end zone and a 5-yard run from Stick in for the TD. SDSU responded on their next drive, going to RB Pierre Strong Jr. for a couple of big runs including a 30-yard weaving TD run to tie things up. The drive wasn’t without issue for the Jackrabbits, as QB Taryn Christion was hit while going to the ground and was down for a few minutes. Despite only being out for one play, he seemed somewhat shaken up, and combined with a few other hits throughout the rest of the game, looked like it had a negative affect on his playing ability. Early in the 2nd quarter, NDSU got down to the 30 before having to go for a FG, but the kick pulled wide right and the score remained tied. Late in the first half, NDSU pulled ahead again after a 4-play drive involving a couple of 15-yard passes and a 34-yard run by QB Stick straight up the middle (including a RB-style stiff-arm of an SDSU defender) and into the end zone. This made the score 14-7, which would hold through halftime.

Coming out of break, NDSU started with the ball and on the first play from scrimmage RB Wilson took it 78 yards before being pulled down from behind by SDSU CB Marshon Harris at the 3. After being assessed a penalty for the horse-collar tackle, RB Bruce Anderson was able to run it the final yard into the end zone, putting the Bison ahead 21-7. SDSU’s next drive was highlighted by a big 47-yard pass to WR Isaiah Hill and capped off by an 8-yard pass to TE Blake Kunz between a couple of NDSU defenders, making it a 1-score game again. The Bison came right back with a methodical drive covering 75 yards in 10 plays and finding the end zone again on a 14-yard pass to RB Bruce Anderson. SDSU was held to a 3-and-out on their next drive and NDSU blew things open with a 41-yard TD run by RB Anderson, breaking a couple of tackles and scampering down the sideline into the end zone, making it 35-14. The Jackrabbits weren’t going to go away quietly though, as QB Christion launched a perfectly-placed 52-yard TD strike to WR Cade Johnson for a TD to pull within 14 near the end of the 3rd quarter. Into the 4th quarter though, NDSU executed one of their slow, defense-killing drives that they’re known for, eating up just over 9 minutes and 61 yards in 15 plays and ending with a 32-yard FG. SDSU wasn’t able to get anything going on their next drive, turning the ball over on downs, and NDSU didn’t even need 90 seconds to score again, with QB Stick running 28-yard for a TD. The XP attempt failed, making it 44-21. SDSU was able to get down to the NDSU 39 yard line on what would be their final drive, before SS Robbie Grimsley intercepted the ball at the 5 and took it back out to the 38. NDSU RB Adam Cofield had a 51-yard run after what appeared to be an initial stop that got the Bison down to the SDSU 6 yard line. With slightly over a minute left in the game, up by 23, and with SDSU only having 1 time out left, they probably could have gotten one final TD, but instead chose to kneel a couple of times, running out the clock, and securing their spot in the FCS championship game for the 7th time in the last 8 years. Despite the decisive win, NDSU was actually penalized 9 times in the game for 70 yards (much of it in the first half), which was more penalties than they’d had in any game this season.

SDSU QB Taryn Christion threw for 180 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 interception while running for 32 yards. RB Pierre Strong was the vast majority of the ground game, picking up 135 yards and 1 TD. WR Cade Johnson had 3 catches for 89 yards and 1 TD. LB Christian Rozeboom led the Jackrabbits with 11 tackles (8 solo) including 1 for loss and a forced fumble (was recovered by NDSU though). Safety Joshua Manchigiah picked up 10 tackles (6 solo), and punter Brady Hale averaged 40 yards on 6 punts with 2 inside the 20.

NDSU QB Easton Stick passed for 169 yards and 1 TD and ran for 147 yards and 3 TDs. His combined 316 yards of offense is his best this season (possibly career best, I’m not digging that far back in the archives though). He’s had more combined TDs this season, but the 3 rushing TDs appear to be a career best for him as well. RB Seth Wilson picked up 86 yard and RB Bruce Anderson had 79 and 2 TDs on the ground with 1 receiving TD. WR Darrius Shepherd led the Bison with 4 catches for 71 yards. Punter Garrett Wegner had only 2 punts in the game, but averaged 47.5 yards on them with a long of 54. On defense, LB Dan Marlette led the team with 8 tackles (5 solo) including 1 for loss and a pass breakup. DE Derrek Tuszka picked up a sack among his 4 tackles and SS Robbie Grimsley had the essentially game-sealing interception returned 33 yards.

South Dakota State ends their season at 10-3 overall, with 2 of those losses against NDSU. Because we’re saying goodbye to another MVFC team, we also say goodbye to the senior Jackrabbits. These names include QB Taryn Christion, RB Isaac Wallace, O-linemen Sepestiano Pupungatoa and Tyler Weir, Punter Brady Hale, LBs Dalton Cox and Eric Kleinschmit, and DBs Jordan Brown, Brandon Snyder, and Makiah Slade.

North Dakota State improves to 14-0 and get a 3-week break before facing off against Eastern Washington on January 5th in Frisco, TX (Fargo South) for the FCS Championship Game.


How’d I Do?

I predicted a 36-28 NDSU win. It was a 44-21 NDSU win. Christion seemed to struggle quite a bit at times after that rough hit fairly early in the game. He made some excellent passes at times, but also missed on some that would have been fairly routine for him usually. Otherwise I think the margin would have been closer to what I thought.

The FCS Championship Game

There’s no “next weekend” because the last two teams have a bit of a holiday break. The championship game is on Saturday, January 5th at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, TX. With Eastern Washington rolling over Maine by 31 points, they get to face off against the Bison. The two teams have a short but interesting history against each other, which I’ll review, as well as previewing the championship game, once we get a bit closer to kickoff for that game.

MVFC in the Semifinals – Preview

MVFC LogoHere we are…the granddaddy of them all…this one’s for all the marbles…the…wait…this isn’t the championship game? Ok, fine…the “unofficial” MVFC Championship Game is this weekend with a rematch of a game that happened about 2 ½ months ago when the Jackrabbits visited Fargo to compete for the Dakota Marker trophy. This time around, it’s the playoffs, and while the Dakota Marker isn’t up for grabs this time, a spot in the FCS championship game is.

Couple of quick things:

  • I’ll be using full-season stats, because most of the games will not be in-conference matchups.
  • Rankings of stat categories will be ranking within the entire FCS (out of 124 teams)
  • I will usually round to the nearest yard for things like yards per game

All times are listed as Central time zone and the rank numbers are now going to be based on the seed numbers as assigned by the playoff committee. With only two games total this weekend, here’s both of them along with starting times. Both games will be shown on ESPN2.

Fri 12/14 at 7 PM – #5 South Dakota State at #1 North Dakota State
Sat 12/15 at 1 PM – #7 Maine at #3 Eastern Washington


# 5 South Dakota State at #1 North Dakota State

The Series: Last weekend, SDSU beat Kennesaw State in their first ever matchup. Also, NDSU beat Colgate in their first ever matchup. This weekend is a completely different story, as these two teams have spent much of their histories in the same conference including 83 years together in the old North Central Conference…how’s that for conference stability. They moved up to DI together in mid-2000’s, and since, have become two of the most dominant teams in the FCS and both members of the MVFC. The Jackrabbits and Bison have faced off 108 times going back to 1903, with NDSU holding a 61-42-5 series record, and they’ve played at least once every year since 1946. Going back to the start of the 2016 season, NDSU has lost a total of 3 games…2 were against SDSU. In the last 7 years (going back to the start of 2012) this game will be the 11th meeting…an average of 1.57 games per season…including 3 playoff meetings. Oddly enough, they’ve ended up playing each other in the playoffs every other year: 2012, 2014, 2016, and now 2018. So, to say that these two schools/teams/fanbases are already familiar with each other…that’d be one hell of an understatement.

SDSU’s Record: The Jackrabbits went 8-2 overall with a 6-2 conference record in the regular season. Their opener at FBS Iowa State was cancelled due to weather. They then hosted Montana State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff, winning both games handily, by 31 and 84 points, respectively. In the MVFC, they lost at NDSU by 4, beat Indiana State by 3 in OT and then defeated Youngstown State before dropping a defensive battle to UNI. They followed that up with wins over Illinois State, Missouri State, Southern Illinois, and South Dakota. As a seeded team, they had the first round of the playoffs off, crushed Duquesne 51-6 two weeks ago in a snowstorm, and then handed #4 seed Kennesaw State a 10-point loss at KSU in the rain.

NDSU’s Record: The Bison are undefeated this season, going 11-0 overall with an 8-0 conference record in the regular season. They decimated Cal Poly, North Alabama, and Delaware to start their season. They then went through the MVFC portion of the season with a 4-point win over SDSU and wins over UNI, WIU, ILSU, USD, then a surprisingly close game against YSU before stomping all over MSU and SIU. As the #1 seed, they also had a first-round bye and home field advantage throughout the playoffs. They hosted Montana State two weeks ago, dropping a 42-point victory on the Big Sky team, then invited Colgate to town for some Bison hospitality, where they were, by all accounts, extremely friendly to any visiting fans, and the exact opposite to the team during the game, shutting out the #8 seeded Raiders 35-0.

About South Dakota State: I think most of this is old news by now, but I’ll recap it anyway. SDSU has the #7 offense in the FCS, averaging 491 ypg with 44.3 ppg (3rd). Their ground game is 17th (235 ypg) and the passing game is 30th (256 ypg), so they’re pretty well balanced. QB Taryn Christion finished 7th in Walter Payton Award voting, had 237 ypg and 30 TDs passing with 7 interceptions and ran for 25 ypg with 6 TDs. Christion is also 5th in the FCS for passing efficiency. Primary receiving targets are WRs Cade Johnson (104 ypg with 16 TDs) and Adam Anderson (59 ypg with 7 TDs). On the ground, RB Pierre Strong and Mikey Daniel have been the big playmakers after early-season starters Isaac Wallace and CJ Wilson were forced to miss large portions of the season with injury. Wilson did come back and play sparingly against KSU last weekend, but in the last 5 games that the Jackrabbits have played, Strong is averaging 156 ypg and has 10 TDs and Daniel has 64 ypg. PK Chase Vinatieri has missed a few FGs this season, going 14 of 21, but has the leg to have hit a 57-yarder in UNI’s dome earlier this season. Their punter, Brady Hale, averages 42.8 yards per kick on 50 punts with 7 of over 50 and 22 inside the 20-yard-line. QB Christion, WR Johnson, and O-Lineman Tiano Pupungatoa were all named first-team All-MVFC offensive players.

SDSU is 46th in total defense, giving up 367 ypg, but 13th in scoring defense, only allowing 20.5 ppg. They’re 38th against the pass (200 ypg) and 56th against the run (167 ypg). LB Christian Rozeboom leads the team with 7.83 tackles per game, has 9.5 tackles for loss, 2 interceptions, 2 forced fumbles, and a fumble recovery. DB Jordan Brown had 2.33 tackles per game, but also had 3 interceptions and 11 passes defended as well as a forced fumble. DE Ryan Earith has 9 tackles for loss this season including 5 sacks and 9 QB hurries. DT Krockett Krolikowski has been very good this year, but hasn’t played since their first playoff game against Duquesne, due to injury, and it sounds like he’s probably out for this game as well. LB Rozeboom and DB Brown were both first-team All-MVFC players.

About North Dakota State: The Bison offense sits at #18 in the FCS for yardage (460 ypg) and 6th in scoring (41.5 ppg). Their offense is heavily reliant on the run game putting up 274 ypg (9th) and really only use passing selectively to open up an opposing defense or take advantage of mismatches. They’re 87th in the FCS in terms of raw yardage (186 ypg) through the air, but are 3rd in passing efficiency with 168.14 rating. Like I’ve mentioned frequently before, they don’t pass a ton, but when they do, they are highly effective at it. The leader on that side of the ball is Walter Payton Award Finalist and MVFC Offensive Player of the Year QB Easton Stick. Stick passes for 184 ypg with 25 TDs and only 5 interceptions and runs for 32 ypg with 11 TDs. He’s also been sacked only 11 times through 13 games this season. He’s obviously a great player, but a lot of credit for that can also go to their stellar offensive line, highlighted by Rimington Award (top center in the FCS) winner Tanner Volson as well as All-MVFC first-teamer Zack Johnson. NDSU has a handful of very good RBs who all do a very good job including Bruce Anderson (77 ypg w/ 7 TDs), Lance Dunn (68 ypg w/ 12 TDs), and Ty Brooks (55 ypg w/ 5 TDs). When Stick does pass, it’s often to WR Darrius Shepherd (also a very good kick returner…4th in the FCS) who had 67 ypg and 7 TDs, or if in shorter down situations, TE Ben Ellefson is often relied upon with 8 receiving TDs. Punter Garret Wegner is solid with an average of 43.1 yards per punt on 54 kicks with a long of 61 and 25 dropped within the red zone.

On defense, NDSU has been (for quite a while) and continues to be one of the the most suffocating squads in college football outside of the FBS Top 25. They give up 279 ypg (4th) and a stingy 11.1 ppg (2nd). They’re 12th in rushing defense allowing 107 ypg, and 10th in pass defense giving up 172 ypg. They have a number of excellent defensive players, including LB Jabril Cox who finished 4th in Buck Buchanan Award voting, has 6.46 tackles per game including 9.5 for loss, 4 sacks, 4 interceptions, and 7 passes defended. SS Robbie Grimsley averages 5.92 tackles per game, and has 5 interceptions and 5 pass breakups. DE Greg Menard has 8 sacks and 8 QB hurries. Grimsley finished 9th in Buchanan award voting, and all three players are first-team All-MVFC.

My Take: This weekend’s game has taken on an additional “wrinkle” with the contract situations for both coaches. NDSU HC Chris Klieman has already been named the new HC for FBS Kansas State, but plans to continue coaching NDSU until they are done with the playoffs. Also, current DC Matt Entz has already been named the new HC. SDSU HC John Stiegelmeier meanwhile, has just signed a 5-year contract extension through 2023 to stay with SDSU. It remains to be seen how the knowledge of Klieman leaving NDSU will affect how the Bison play, but if I had to put money on any team being able to handle late-stage playoff games with coaching changes…it’d be NDSU. It could be that the distraction of the situation and playing a team they’re so familiar with might shift things a bit one direction…then again, maybe the NDSU players will want to send their coach off with a big win and they’ll really step up even more than they have been. SDSU over the last few years has really been one of maybe a couple of teams able to seriously challenge NDSU on any regular basis and it feels like they were really built to beat the Bison. They beat a lot of other teams too, of course, but they’re set up well to compete favorably with their northern neighbors. Still, NDSU has the advantage in this game, being in the Fargodome and because they always seem to have another gear when it gets to the playoffs. For SDSU to win this, they’re going to have to play probably their best game of the season and not make any dumb mistakes. They’ll need to take advantage of any opportunities that present themselves and not make any trips to the red zone that end up with 0 points. I hope it’s a close exciting game, but my guess on this one is a 36-28 NDSU victory.

For more discussion and analysis, here’s the thread on AnyGivenSaturday.com for this game: http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?219772-Semifinal-5-South-Dakota-State-1-North-Dakota-State


#7 Maine at #3 Eastern Washington

Yeah, I know…not MVFC teams, but I just wanted to touch on this one a bit, since whoever wins this will take on the winner of SDSU @ NDSU in the championship game. Eastern Washington has a high-powered offense scoring over 44 ppg this season and highlighted by QB Eric Barriere (173 ypg and 17 TDs passing, with 50 ypg and 7 TDs rushing) and RB Sam McPherson (99 ypg w/ 12 TDs). Maine got to this point via their #1 ranked run defense. They put quite a bit of pressure on opposing QBs, sitting at #2 in sacks and include LBs Sterling Sheffield (who finished 13th in Buck Buchanan Award voting) and Deshawn Stevens, and DL Kayon Whitaker, who all have over 9 sacks this season. RB Ramon Jefferson is a threat on the ground with 88.36 ypg and 8 TDs.

Personally, I think it’d be fun to see Maine in the championship game, since it’s been 5 years since they even appeared in the playoffs and I don’t think they’ve ever been in the championship game before, but many signs point to Eastern Washington having the overall advantage in this game. There are a couple of things that Maine does have going for them though…of Eastern Washington’s two losses this year, the only one that was against an FCS team was against Weber State, who, like Maine, has a high-quality defense, and who was beaten by Maine just last weekend. Also, Maine was picked in the preseason to finish 8th out of 12 in the CAA this year, so to be the #7 seed and this deep into the playoffs…they kinda have nothing to lose.

I’ll admit, this pick is definitely the less likely result, but what I’m hoping to see is a 21-17 Maine victory.

For more discussion and analysis, here’s the AGS thread for this game: http://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?219803-7-Maine-at-3-Eastern-Washington